Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited (ADANIPORTS) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹453.27 – ₹1,883 · fair‑value band ₹387.14 – ₹1,360 · the ₹1,824 price screens above the ₹1,041 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 18, 2026.
Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited, together with its subsidiaries, develops, operates, and maintains port infrastructure in India and internationally.
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Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited, together with its subsidiaries, develops, operates, and maintains port infrastructure in India and internationally. The company is involved in the operation of ports and terminals, including bulk and break bulk, container, liquid, dry bulk, general, LPG/LNG, and crude cargo; terminal and ports related infrastructure development activities; and development of infrastructure at contiguous Special Economic Zone at Mundra. It also offers logistic services, which include logistic parks, container rail and bulk cargo logistic solutions, and warehousing, as well as auto, road, and agri logistic services. In addition, the company operates a fleet of dredging and reclamation service equipment comprising cutter suction, trailing suction hopper, water injection, grab, and specialized dredgers; split hopper, flat top, and jack up barges; and multi utility craft, survey vessels, floating crane, drag flow unit, and floating booster, as well as dozers, excavators, loaders, and other equipment. Further, it provides non-scheduled passenger airline services; hospital and related services; and marine services, such as pilotage, laying, mooring of vessels at berth and mid-stream, and maintenance of buoys. Additionally, the company engages in the development, construction, operation, and maintenance of railway corridors; land development activities; integrated textile park and container freight station businesses; develops inland container depots; owns and operates harbour tugs, barges, other port crafts, ocean towage and offshore support vessels; warehousing and storage facilities, hospital, and other related services; and provision of cargo storage-cum logistics services. Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Ahmedabad, India.
Stock analysis
Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited (ADANIPORTS) currently trades at ₹1,824, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹1,041, implying the stock looks roughly 75.3% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ₹1,730 per share, and 1 of the 26 models we run sit above the ₹1,824 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ₹114.64, and 25 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ₹387.14 (bear) to ₹1,360 (bull), the price of ₹1,824 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited reported revenue of ₹387B in FY2026 versus ₹171B in FY2022, a compound +22.6%/yr. Reported net income was ₹128B in FY2026, compounding +27.2%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap ₹4.0T (≈ $41.7B) · P/E ratio 31.3 · P/S ratio 10.3 · EPS (TTM) ₹58.32 · Dividend yield 0.4% · Net margin 33.1% · Return on equity 15.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 12.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high and 41% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 13% fair-value upside, at −43%, ADANIPORTS screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹387.14Fair Value ₹1,041Bull ₹1,360
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹24.16 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+27.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+22.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+25.3%
Revenue growth 22 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+30.8%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
≈ +13.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+13.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.4%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.21% vs 15%, picking up
Profit margin 2004 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.2% → 45%
⚠ Rate on operating basis: 2026 sits 55% above its own trend.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+52.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+13.5%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
Compare Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Marine Shipping · 229 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score50 · Below median
Fair Value upside−39% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)16% · Top 25%
Return on assets7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)33% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)41% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth27% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.4% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.53× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)31.3× · Priciest 25%
P/B4.38× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)10.87× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF1.5× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA20.6× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 33
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 23
PAST (return on equity)62· sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)74· sector 89
DIVIDEND (yield)8· sector 52
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ADANIPORTS
Frequently asked questions
Is Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited (ADANIPORTS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹1,041 versus a price of ₹1,824, about −43% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ADANIPORTS?
Our model-based fair value for Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited is ₹1,041 (as of Sep 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹1,824.
What is the quality score of ADANIPORTS?
Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited (ADANIPORTS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹1,041 (as of Sep 18, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹387.14, optimistic scenario ₹1,360. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹1,041, about −43% upside versus a price of ₹1,824 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹387.14, optimistic scenario ₹1,360. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited (ADANIPORTS)?
Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹387B (latest available figure, as of Sep 18, 2026).
Does Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited pay a dividend?
Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.41% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 18, 2026).
What growth is priced into Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited (ADANIPORTS)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited would have to grow free cash flow by +52.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +25.3 % per year. As of Sep 18, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ADANIPORTS use?
Our models discount Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited at 10.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.51, country premium for India. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited that is +52.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited (ADANIPORTS) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited grew +25.3 % a year. The price currently implies +52.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited (ADANIPORTS) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited (+52.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited (ADANIPORTS)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.72 %: that much free cash flow Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited (ADANIPORTS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited it is ₹1,041 per share (as of Sep 18, 2026), against a price of ₹1,824. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 18, 2026, ADANIPORTS trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹1,824, fair value ₹1,041, a gap of about −43% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ADANIPORTS?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹1,824); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹1,041). For Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited the two are ₹783.34 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited worth?
The market values Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited at about ₹4.0T (market capitalisation, as of Sep 18, 2026). Per share that is ₹1,824; our models calculate a fair value of ₹1,041 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ADANIPORTS?
Our models span a range for Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited: cautious scenario ₹387.14, base ₹1,041, optimistic ₹1,360 per share (as of Sep 18, 2026, price ₹1,824). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ADANIPORTS?
Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 31.3 (as of Sep 18, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹1,041 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 4.4, P/S 10.9, EV/EBITDA 20.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited (ADANIPORTS)?
Balance-sheet figures for Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited (as of Sep 18, 2026): return on equity 15.6%, debt of 0.53 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 50/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ADANIPORTS from its 52-week high?
Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited trades at ₹1,824, about 1% below its 52-week high of ₹1,843 and 41% above the low of ₹1,291 (as of Sep 18, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹1,041 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S, 532921, COSCO SHIPPING Holdings, Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft,, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 18, 2026: price ₹1,824, calculated fair value ₹1,041 (−43%), Quality Score 50/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ADANIPORTS calculated?
We run Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹1,041, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited (ADANIPORTS)?
The closing price on Sep 18, 2026 was ₹1,824. Our model-based fair value is ₹1,041, about −43% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹1,360). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The model range is unusually wide (₹387.14 to ₹1,360). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited (ADANIPORTS) come from?
Earnings per share at Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited grew +14.4 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +17.3 %, EBIT margin −2.0 %, tax rate −0.9 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.4 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited (ADANIPORTS)?
The market capitalisation of Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited is ₹4.0T (≈ $41.7B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited (ADANIPORTS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited is 10.3 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited (ADANIPORTS)?
Earnings per share at Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited are ₹58.32 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 31.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited (ADANIPORTS)?
The dividend yield of Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited is 0.4% (payout 12.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited (ADANIPORTS)?
The net margin of Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited is 33.1% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited (ADANIPORTS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited is 15.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited (ADANIPORTS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited is 12.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited (ADANIPORTS)?
The operating margin of Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited is 41.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited (ADANIPORTS)?
Revenue at Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited is growing +26.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +22.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited (ADANIPORTS)?
Earnings per share at Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited are growing +3.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited (ADANIPORTS) carry?
The net debt of Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited is ₹549B (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 19.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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