Kinnevik AB (KINV-B) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · SE · Market cap 14.4B SEK (≈ $1.5B) · ISIN SE0022060521
What is Kinnevik AB really worth?
Below-average quality, trading 44% below our fair value of kr 109.93.
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 27, 2026
From 2 valuation models · updated 8 days ago
Share price +11.5% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (44/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (kr 82.45). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 47.62 – kr 316.90 · fair‑value band kr 82.45 – kr 137.41 · the kr 61.02 price screens below the kr 109.93 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.
Analysis
Kinnevik AB (KINV-B) currently trades at kr 61.02, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 109.93, implying the stock looks roughly 44.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Revenue declined 49.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −25.8%. Net debt stands at 1.7B SEK. Fundamentals as of Aug 27, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 82.45 (bear case) to kr 137.41 (bull case); at kr 61.02, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 30% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −28% fair-value upside, at 80%, KINV-B screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 2 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (kr 110.09) versus Asset-Based (kr 86.77). Highest evidence: P/B Multiple (53).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Kinnevik AB is a venture capital firm specializing in investments in early to late venture and growth capital. The firm also prefers indirect investments in venture capital funds.
Full company description
Kinnevik AB is a venture capital firm specializing in investments in early to late venture and growth capital. The firm also prefers indirect investments in venture capital funds. It prefers to invest in digital consumer business, education, communication, e-commerce and marketplaces, entertainment, healthcare, and financial services but may also invest in other areas. The firm invests worldwide, especially in Europe with a focus on the Nordics, Latin America, Asia, Australia, Africa, and North America. The firm looks for disruptive, technology-enabled and value-added consumer services in developed and emerging markets. It takes an active role on the boards of its subsidiaries and associated companies. It acts as a long-term lead shareholder in large listed entities. Kinnevik AB was founded in 1936 and is based in Stockholm, Sweden and additional office in London, United Kingdom. Kinnevik AB was formerly known as Investment AB Kinnevik.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Kinnevik AB reported revenue of 10.0M SEK in FY2025 versus 15.1B SEK in FY2021, a compound −84.0%/yr. Reported net income was −3.3B SEK in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Asset Management · 696 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 27, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackstone Inc BX | $142.39 | $52.88 | −63% |
| Investor AB INVEB | kr 417.20 | kr 824.66 | +98% |
| Brookfield Corporation BN | C$55.74 | C$10.67 | −81% |
| KKR & Co KKR | $108.68 | $19.97 | −82% |
| Apollo Global Management, Inc APO | $135.04 | $101.04 | −25% |
| State Street Corporation STT | $193.33 | $138.33 | −28% |
| Ameriprise Financial, Inc AMP | $559.32 | $515.24 | −8% |
| Ares Management Corporation ARES | $143.10 | $30.88 | −78% |
| Northern Trust Corporation NTRS | $186.79 | $122.02 | −35% |
| Raymond James Financial, Inc RJF | $181.10 | $142.42 | −21% |
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