EN DE
Check 35,000+ stocks against 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors
Data-driven stock valuation

KWG Group (KWGPF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of KWG Group $0.01, price $0.01, upside +13.7%, quality 47 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Real Estate · US · ISIN KYG532241042

KG KWG Group logo Thin data Sep 24, 2026

KWG Group

KWGPF · US

SpeculativeUpside exists, but weak quality makes the signal speculative.

✓Fair value $0.0133 · Undervalued (+13.7%)
!Quality 47/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −26.0 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -48.4% net margin (TTM)
!High debt · generates free cash flow
!Narrow moat 10/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$1.52 $0.0117 Fair Value $0.0133 Aug 2015 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0117 – $1.52 · fair‑value band $0.0117 – $0.0160 · the $0.0117 price screens below the $0.0133 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Sep 24, 2026.

Which stocks are undervalued right now? Check free Discover now →

Company profile

KWG Group Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the property development and investment, and hotel operation businesses in Mainland China and Hong Kong. The company's property portfolio consists of mid- to high-end residential properties, serviced apartments, villas, office buildings, hotels, and shopping malls.

Show more

KWG Group Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the property development and investment, and hotel operation businesses in Mainland China and Hong Kong. The company's property portfolio consists of mid- to high-end residential properties, serviced apartments, villas, office buildings, hotels, and shopping malls. It is also involved in light asset operation, and investment in cultural tourism, and education. The company was formerly known as KWG Property Holding Limited and changed its name to KWG Group Holdings Limited in August 2018. KWG Group Holdings Limited was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Guangzhou, the People's Republic of China.

Stock analysis

KWG Group (KWGPF) currently trades at $0.0117, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0133, implying the stock looks roughly 12.0% undervalued today.

Show more

Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 6 models at a data quality of 90/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: $0.0117 (bear) to $0.0160 (bull), the price of $0.0117 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

KWG Group reported revenue of 6.6B CNY in FY2025 versus 23.8B CNY in FY2021, a compound −27.5%/yr. Reported net income was −3.2B CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $65.0M · EPS (TTM) $−0.1400 · Net margin −48.4% · Return on equity −43.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) −2.2% · Operating margin −71.2% · Revenue (TTM) 6.8B CNY · Revenue growth (YoY) −49.0%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 68% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low.

For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at 14%, KWGPF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.0117 Fair Value $0.0133 Bull $0.0160
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $0.5400 $0.8900 $1.39 79
Growth DCF $0.5700 $0.8900 $1.33 78
Rev-Margin DCF $0.1900 $0.5300 $0.9300 69
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $0.5400 $0.8900 $1.39 79
5Y Revenue Exit $0.2200 $0.5700 $1.04 68
10Y Revenue Exit $0.3400 $0.6400 $0.9700 65
Multiples
EV/Revenue n/a $0.3800 $0.7500 46
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.0400 $0.0500 $0.0700 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $0.5700 $0.8900 $1.33 78
Rev-Margin DCF $0.1900 $0.5300 $0.9300 69

Open the full fair value analysis →

Notify me when KWGPF reaches fair value

Put KWGPF on your watchlist. We get in touch as soon as price and fair value meet or the trend turns.

Set up alert →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 0

Profitability 3
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 39
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 1
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 1
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 70
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 23/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−40.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−21.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−26.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −2.3% a year
Revenue growth 19 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.9%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
22.1% (2020) → −45.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Watch KWGPF, get fair value alerts →

Compare KWG Group with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

Free, no sign-up

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited 0016 HK$107.10 HK$155.14 +45%
China Resources Land Limited 1109 HK$28.64 HK$71.60 +150%
CK Asset Holdings 1113 HK$45.90 HK$71.49 +56%
Hongkong Land Holdings H78 $8.57 $1.52 −82%
DLF Limited DLF ₹658.40 ₹167.48 −75%
China Overseas Land & Investment Limited 0688 HK$12.42 HK$22.33 +80%
Sino Land Company 0083 HK$9.94 HK$7.28 −27%
Lodha Developers Limited LODHA ₹1,165 ₹274.14 −76%
Poly Developments and Holdings 600048 ¥5.77 ¥5.87 +2%
China Merchants Shekou Industrial Zone Holdings 001979 ¥7.18 ¥6.04 −16%

Explore undervalued stocks

More undervalued Real Estate stocks →

All undervalued stocks TechnologyFinancial ServicesHealthcareConsumer CyclicalConsumer DefensiveCommunication ServicesIndustrialsEnergyBasic MaterialsReal EstateUtilities Deeply Undervalued StocksUndervalued High-Quality StocksUndervalued Blue-Chip StocksUndervalued Small-Cap StocksUndervalued Dividend Stocks

Try a ready-made strategy

Pick a strategy and jump into the live analysis with that exact screen applied.

🥇 Backtested Best 🏆 Big Names ⭐ Top Rated 💎 Quality on Sale 🚀 Profitable Growth 🧊 Quality Compounders 💵 Dividend Stars 📈 Strong Momentum 📉 Fallen Angels ⚖️ Deeply Undervalued 🔍 Small-Cap Gems 🏰 Moat at a Fair Price 💼 Insider Buying 🎩 Buffett-Style Quality 📚 Peter Lynch GARP 🧮 Greenblatt Magic Formula 🛡️ Graham Defensive

Discover tools

Stock screenerFilter by region, size and sector Compare toolTwo stocks side by side Extrinsic Value Calculator…Calculator with industry benchmark Peter Lynch Fair Value Formula &…Calculator with industry benchmark
Run the numbers yourself: free valuation calculators
DCF CalculatorGraham NumberPeter Lynch FormulaDDM CalculatorFama-French ModelIntrinsic Value
For bloggers & editors: embed code + live data

For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.

KWG Group · Fair Value
$0.0133 +12%Fair Value
Calculator →

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "KWG Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KWGPF

Frequently asked questions

Is KWG Group (KWGPF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0133 versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $0.0117, about +14% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of KWGPF?
Our model-based fair value for KWG Group is $0.0133 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 25, 2026): $0.0117.
What is the quality score of KWGPF?
KWG Group has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for KWG Group (KWGPF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.0133 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.0117, optimistic scenario $0.0160. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the KWG Group stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.0133, about +14% upside versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $0.0117 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $0.0117, optimistic scenario $0.0160. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of KWG Group (KWGPF)?
KWG Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 6.8B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of KWG Group (KWGPF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For KWG Group it is $0.0133 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $0.0117. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is KWG Group stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, KWGPF trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.0117, fair value $0.0133, a gap of about +14% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of KWGPF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.0117); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.0133). For KWG Group the two are $0.0016 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is KWG Group worth?
The market values KWG Group at about $65.0M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $0.0117; our models calculate a fair value of $0.0133 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about KWGPF?
Our models span a range for KWG Group: cautious scenario $0.0117, base $0.0133, optimistic $0.0160 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $0.0117). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is KWGPF from its 52-week high?
KWG Group trades at $0.0117, about 68% below its 52-week high of $0.0369 and at the low of $0.0117 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.0133 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to KWG Group?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, China Resources Land Limited, CK Asset Holdings, Hongkong Land Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is KWG Group stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $0.0117, calculated fair value $0.0133 (+14%), Quality Score 47/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of KWGPF calculated?
We run KWG Group through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.0133, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. KWG Group currently trades 12 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of KWG Group (KWGPF)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 25, 2026 and stands at $0.0117. Our model-based fair value is $0.0133, about +14% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with KWG Group right now?
Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.

Key figures of KWG Group

How large is the market capitalisation of KWG Group (KWGPF)?
The market capitalisation of KWG Group is $65.0M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of KWG Group (KWGPF)?
Earnings per share at KWG Group are $−0.1400. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of KWG Group (KWGPF)?
The net margin of KWG Group is −48.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of KWG Group (KWGPF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of KWG Group is −43.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of KWG Group (KWGPF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of KWG Group is −2.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of KWG Group (KWGPF)?
The operating margin of KWG Group is −71.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at KWG Group (KWGPF)?
Revenue at KWG Group is growing −49.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −21.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at KWG Group (KWGPF)?
Earnings per share at KWG Group are growing −84.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does KWG Group (KWGPF) generate?
The free cash flow of KWG Group is 2.2B CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does KWG Group (KWGPF) carry?
The net debt of KWG Group is 73.1B CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 33.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed

Continue in the live analysis

Fair value and trend for 35,000+ stocks, watchlist, comparison and the diversification check. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.

Open the live analysis →

Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. Your watchlist is yours, with or without an account.