Kinatico Ltd (KYP) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Kinatico Ltd A$0.08, price A$0.14, upside -42.9%, quality 67 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.0710 – A$0.3850 · fair‑value band A$0.0600 – A$0.1100 · the A$0.1400 price screens above the A$0.0800 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Kinatico Ltd provides screening, verification, and SaaS-based workforce management and compliance technology systems in Australia and New Zealand.
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Kinatico Ltd provides screening, verification, and SaaS-based workforce management and compliance technology systems in Australia and New Zealand. The company offers Kinatico Compliance, a SaaS-based compliance solution that offers simplified people management workflows to streamline the entire employee lifecycle; and Kinatico CVCheck, which provides pre-employment screening services. It also provides a suite of software solutions that enables scalable compliance monitoring, including pre-employment to real-time requirements related to geo-location, roles, and activities applicable across a range of industries. The company was formerly known as CV Check Ltd and changed its name to Kinatico Ltd in October 2022. Kinatico Ltd was incorporated in 2004 and is based in Perth, Australia.
Stock analysis
Kinatico Ltd (KYP) currently trades at A$0.1400, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0800, implying the stock looks roughly 75.0% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of A$0.1100 per share, and 3 of the 24 models we run sit above the A$0.1400 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at A$0.0400, and 21 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: A$0.0600 (bear) to A$0.1100 (bull), the price of A$0.1400 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Kinatico Ltd reported revenue of A$32.1M in FY2025 versus A$17.5M in FY2021, a compound +16.4%/yr. Reported net income was A$1.1M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap A$69.9M (≈ $49.0M) · P/S ratio 2.02 · Net margin 3.5% · Return on equity 5.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.2% · Operating margin 4.2% · Revenue (TTM) A$34.6M · Revenue growth (YoY) +13.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 64% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at 53% fair-value upside, at −43%, KYP screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear A$0.0600Fair Value A$0.0800Bull A$0.1100
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.85/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+11.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+21.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +28.4% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+30.4%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
≈ +69.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+69.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−12% → 3%
⚠ Approximate: the rate leans on 2025, which sits 123% above its own trend.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+14.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+11.1%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Australia: IMF forecast 3.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +11.5% a year for the price and +7.9% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Information Technology Services · 498 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score67 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−43% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)6% · Below median
Return on assets3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)5% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)4% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth13% · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Information Technology Services median · lower = cheaper
P/B1.80× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM)1.42× · Pricier than median
P/FCF31.5× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA11.9× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 45
FUTURE (revenue growth)66· sector 31
PAST (return on equity)23· sector 36
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 43
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Kinatico Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KYP
Frequently asked questions
Is Kinatico Ltd (KYP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0800 versus a price of A$0.1400, about −43% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of KYP?
Our model-based fair value for Kinatico Ltd is A$0.0800 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.1400.
What is the quality score of KYP?
Kinatico Ltd has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Kinatico Ltd (KYP)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0800 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0600, optimistic scenario A$0.1100. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Kinatico Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0800, about −43% upside versus a price of A$0.1400 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0600, optimistic scenario A$0.1100. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Kinatico Ltd (KYP)?
Kinatico Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$34.6M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Kinatico Ltd (KYP)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Kinatico Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +14.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +21.0 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of KYP use?
Our models discount Kinatico Ltd at 8.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.66, country premium for Australia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Kinatico Ltd that is +14.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Kinatico Ltd (KYP) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Kinatico Ltd grew +21.0 % a year. The price currently implies +14.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Kinatico Ltd (KYP) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Kinatico Ltd (+14.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Kinatico Ltd (KYP)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.65 %: that much free cash flow Kinatico Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Kinatico Ltd (KYP)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Kinatico Ltd it is A$0.0800 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of A$0.1400. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Kinatico Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, KYP trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.1400, fair value A$0.0800, a gap of about −43% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of KYP?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.1400); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0800). For Kinatico Ltd the two are A$0.0600 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Kinatico Ltd worth?
The market values Kinatico Ltd at about A$69.9M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is A$0.1400; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0800 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about KYP?
Our models span a range for Kinatico Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0600, base A$0.0800, optimistic A$0.1100 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price A$0.1400). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Kinatico Ltd (KYP)?
Balance-sheet figures for Kinatico Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 5.8%. They feed the Quality Score of 67/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is KYP from its 52-week high?
Kinatico Ltd trades at A$0.1400, about 64% below its 52-week high of A$0.3850 and 22% above the low of A$0.1150 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0800 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Kinatico Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value International Business Machines Corporation, Accenture plc, Tata Consultancy Services Limited, Infosys Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Kinatico Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price A$0.1400, calculated fair value A$0.0800 (−43%), Quality Score 67/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of KYP calculated?
We run Kinatico Ltd through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.0800, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Kinatico Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Kinatico Ltd (KYP)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was A$0.1400. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0800, about −43% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Kinatico Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.1100). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (67/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (A$0.0600 to A$0.1100) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Kinatico Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Kinatico Ltd (KYP)?
The market capitalisation of Kinatico Ltd is A$69.9M (≈ $49.0M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Kinatico Ltd (KYP)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Kinatico Ltd is 2.02 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Kinatico Ltd (KYP)?
The net margin of Kinatico Ltd is 3.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Kinatico Ltd (KYP)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Kinatico Ltd is 5.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Kinatico Ltd (KYP)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Kinatico Ltd is −0.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Kinatico Ltd (KYP)?
The operating margin of Kinatico Ltd is 4.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Kinatico Ltd (KYP)?
Revenue at Kinatico Ltd is growing +13.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +6.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Kinatico Ltd (KYP)?
Earnings per share at Kinatico Ltd are growing +102% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Kinatico Ltd (KYP) hold?
Kinatico Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$9.5M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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