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LIT (LIT) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · Market cap A$18.6M

L LIT LIT · AU
PriceA$0.0080
Fair ValueA$0.0080
Upside-0.1%
Quality28/100
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Evidence: Low Range A$0.0076 – A$0.0083

Fair value as of: Jun 26, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated 6 days ago

Fair value updated Jun 26, 2026 — revised from A$0.0100 to A$0.0080 (−20.1%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −11.1% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

A$0.0150 A$0.0080 Fair Value A$0.0080 Jun 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range A$0.0080 – A$0.0150 · fair‑value band A$0.0076 – A$0.0083 · the A$0.0080 price screens above the A$0.0080 fair value. As of Jun 26, 2026.

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Analysis

LIT (LIT) currently trades at A$0.0080, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0080 — implying the stock looks roughly 0.1% overvalued today. We read business quality at 28/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, LIT generated revenue of A$5.9M at a net margin of -10.9%. Revenue declined 27.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -8.9%. Net debt stands at A$2.1M. Fundamentals as of Jun 26, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) A$5.9M
Revenue growth (YoY) -27.0%
Net margin -10.9%
Return on equity -8.9%
Free cash flow −A$8.6M FY2025
Operating margin -155%
More key figures
Net debt A$2.1M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

LIT reported revenue of A$6.9M in FY2025 versus A$1.2M in FY2021, a compound +55.7%/yr. Reported net income was −A$4.6M in FY2025.

Revenue +55.7%/yr
FY21 A$1.2M
FY22 A$2.9M
FY23 A$5.5M
FY24 A$6.7M
FY25 A$6.9M
Net income
FY21 −A$19.9M
FY22 −A$20.6M
FY23 −A$7.2M
FY24 −A$10.8M
FY25 −A$4.6M

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Similar stocks

6 more Waste Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 26, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Waste Management, Inc WM $213.31 $128.02 -40%
UWS UWS €187.85 €118.88 -37%
WAST WAST C$20.80 C$13.93 -33%
Republic Services, Inc RSG $212.59 $98.69 -54%
Waste Connections, Inc WCN $155.22 $47.73 -69%
Veolia Environnement SA VEOEF $41.05 $35.75 -13%

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Frequently asked questions

Is LIT (LIT) undervalued?
As of Jun 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0080 versus a price of A$0.0080 — about −0% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of LIT?
Our model-based fair value for LIT is A$0.0080 (as of Jun 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is A$0.0080.
What is the quality score of LIT?
LIT has a Quality Score of 28/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of LIT (LIT)?
LIT reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$5.9M (latest available figure, as of Jun 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of LIT?
The net profit margin of LIT is about -10.9%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.