Waste Management, Inc (UWS) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Waste Management, Inc €200, price €179, upside +11.8%, quality 56 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? Yes
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Waste Management, Inc
UWS · XETRAUndervaluedQuality growthThe stock appears undervalued with acceptable quality.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 28, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €115.33 – €218.66 · fair‑value band €123.30 – €260.32 · the €179.05 price screens below the €200.26 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 28, 2026.
Company profile
Waste Management, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides environmental solutions to residential, commercial, industrial, and municipal customers in the United States, Canada, Western Europe, and internationally.
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Waste Management, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides environmental solutions to residential, commercial, industrial, and municipal customers in the United States, Canada, Western Europe, and internationally. It offers collection services, including picking up and transporting waste and recyclable materials from where it was generated to a transfer station, recovery facility, or disposal site; owns and operates transfer stations; and owns, develops, and operates landfill gas-to-energy facilities that produce renewable electricity and renewable natural gas. It also operates materials processing and commodities recycling services, including cardboard, paper, glass, metals, plastics, construction and demolition materials, and other recycling commodities are recovered for resale or redirected for other purposes; markets and resells recycling commodities; recycling brokerage services, such as managing the marketing of recyclable materials for third parties; and other strategic business solutions. In addition, the company collects recyclable food and yard waste, as well as markets and sells mulch, compost, soil amendments, and renewable energy; offers remediation and construction, and industrial waste services; and manages and markets fly ash. Further, it provides Regulated Waste and Compliance Services (RWCS), which offers compliance programs, as well as collection, processing, and disposal of regulated and specialized waste, including medical, pharmaceutical, and hazardous waste; and Secure Information Destruction (SID) services that include the collection of personal and confidential information for secure destruction and recycling of sorted office paper. The company was formerly known as USA Waste Services, Inc. and changed its name to Waste Management, Inc. in 1998. Waste Management, Inc. was founded in 1968 and is based in Houston, Texas.
Stock analysis
Waste Management, Inc (UWS) currently trades at €179.05, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €200.26, implying the stock looks roughly 10.6% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of €101.86 per share, and 1 of the 26 models we run sit above the €179.05 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at €47.51, and 25 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: €123.30 (bear) to €260.32 (bull), the price of €179.05 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Waste Management, Inc reported revenue of $25.2B in FY2025 versus $17.9B in FY2021, a compound +8.9%/yr. Reported net income was $2.7B in FY2025, compounding +10.5%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap €85.1B · P/E ratio 29.5 · P/S ratio 3.17 · EPS (TTM) €6.06 · Dividend yield 1.9% · Net margin 10.7% · Return on equity 29.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −15% fair-value upside, at 12%, UWS screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
All 26 models by family
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
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Compare Waste Management, Inc with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Context: sector, industry, market
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: German Stocks
- Valuation of the Germany market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Waste Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Republic Services, Inc RSG | $211.92 | $128.63 | −39% |
| Waste Connections, Inc WCN | $150.66 | $165.73 | +10% |
| Veolia Environnement SA VIE | €30.73 | €20.32 | −34% |
| Clean Harbors, Inc CLH | $313.04 | $155.54 | −50% |
| GFL Environmental Inc GFL | $40.43 | $34.29 | −15% |
| Umicore SA UMI | €21.40 | €25.28 | +18% |
| Fomento de Construcciones y Contratas, S.A FCC | €10.72 | €7.30 | −32% |
| Casella Waste Systems, Inc CWST | $82.24 | $14.82 | −82% |
| GEM Co 002340 | ¥6.12 | ¥5.27 | −14% |
| Zhejiang Weiming Environment Protection Co 603568 | ¥13.36 | ¥20.95 | +57% |
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Key figures of Waste Management, Inc
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