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Luca Mining Corp (LUCMF) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · US · Market cap $214M

LM Luca Mining Corp logo Luca Mining Corp LUCMF · US
Price$0.7500
Fair Value$1.11
Upside+48.0%
Quality95/100
Evidence: Medium Range $0.6500 – $1.61

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated 5 days ago

Fair value updated Jun 24, 2026 — revised from $0.7500 to $1.11 (+48.0%) since Jun 23, 2026. Share price −22.5% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$1.62 $0.7500 Fair Value $1.11 Jul 2025 Jun 2026

12‑month range $0.7500 – $1.62 · fair‑value band $0.6500 – $1.61 · the $0.7500 price screens below the $1.11 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Luca Mining Corp (LUCMF) currently trades at $0.7500, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.11 — implying the stock looks roughly 48.0% undervalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium) — always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Luca Mining Corp generated revenue of $193M at a net margin of -6.7%. Revenue grew 39.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -17.9%. Net debt stands at $6.8M. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $193M
Revenue growth (YoY) +39.9%
Net margin -6.7%
Return on equity -17.9%
Free cash flow $10.2M FY2025
Operating margin 29.2%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-0.0600
EPS growth (YoY) +104%
Net debt $6.8M FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Luca Mining Corp. engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of mineral resource properties in North America. The company explores for gold, silver, zinc, concentrate, lead, and copper deposits, as well as base and precious metals. It holds 100% interest in the Campo Morado mine that consists of six mining concessions covering an area of approximately 12,090 hectares located in Guerrero state, Mexico; and 100 % interest the Tahuehueto covering an area of approximately 7,492 hectares located in Durango State, Mexico. The company was formerly known as Altaley Mining Corporation and changed its name to Luca Mining Corp. in March 2023. Luca Mining Corp. was incorporated in 1986 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Luca Mining Corp reported revenue of $177M in FY2025 versus $69.7M in FY2021, a compound +26.2%/yr. Reported net income was −$21.1M in FY2025.

Revenue +26.2%/yr
FY21 $69.7M
FY22 $43.6M
FY23 $50.6M
FY24 $87.3M
FY25 $177M
Net income
FY21 $36.3M
FY22 −$8.6M
FY23 −$11.1M
FY24 −$10.4M
FY25 −$21.1M

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BHP Group BHP $85.78 $60.26 -30%
Rio Tinto Group RTNTF $129.57 $77.65 -40%
Grupo México, S.A. GMBXF $11.89 $9.58 -19%
CMOC Group CMCLY $148.88 $119.76 -20%
Vale S.A VALEN 260.19 MXN 124.80 MXN -52%
Anglo American plc AAUKF $51.51 $20.30 -61%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Luca Mining Corp (LUCMF) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.11 versus a price of $0.7500 — about +48% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of LUCMF?
Our 21-model fair value for Luca Mining Corp is $1.11 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.7500.
What is the quality score of LUCMF?
Luca Mining Corp has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Luca Mining Corp (LUCMF)?
Luca Mining Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $193M (latest available figure, as of Jun 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of LUCMF?
The net profit margin of Luca Mining Corp is about -6.7%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.