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Macquarie Technology Group (MAQ) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · AU · Market cap A$1.7B

MT Macquarie Technology Group MAQ · AU
PriceA$62.43
Fair ValueA$24.53
Upside-60.7%
Quality38/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 8.8% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (4/13)
Moderate moat 48/100
Evidence: Medium Range A$17.17 – A$31.88 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated 29 days ago

Share price −1.8% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 61% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$31.88). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (38/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • A fairly wide model range (A$17.17 to A$31.88) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

A$98.01 A$49.20 Fair Value A$24.53 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$49.20 – A$98.01 · fair‑value band A$17.17 – A$31.88 · the A$62.43 price screens above the A$24.53 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Macquarie Technology Group (MAQ) currently trades at A$62.43, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$24.53, implying the stock looks roughly 60.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Macquarie Technology Group generated revenue of A$379M at a net margin of 8.8%. Revenue grew 5.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.8%. Net debt stands at A$123M. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from A$17.17 (bear case) to A$31.88 (bull case); at A$62.43, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -25% fair-value upside, at -61%, MAQ screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income A$14.45 A$14.88 A$14.92 76
ROIC Compounder A$9.54 A$11.30 A$12.77 72
Growth-Adj P/E A$17.17 A$24.53 A$31.88 68
All 13 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd A$9.20 A$23.14 A$30.05 54
PEG = 1.0 A$4.26 A$6.09 A$7.91 46
EPV A$9.54 A$11.30 A$12.77 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple A$22.31 A$29.75 A$37.19 63
P/S Multiple A$17.24 A$22.99 A$28.74 58
P/B Multiple A$17.24 A$22.99 A$28.74 55
EV/EBIT A$23.35 A$32.26 A$41.16 53
EV/EBITDA A$36.31 A$49.53 A$62.76 54
EV/Revenue A$16.90 A$25.58 A$34.26 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$9.45 A$12.66 A$18.90 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income A$14.45 A$14.88 A$14.92 76
ROIC Compounder A$9.54 A$11.30 A$12.77 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E A$17.17 A$24.53 A$31.88 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (A$25.58) versus Earnings-Based (A$11.30). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) A$379M
Revenue growth (YoY) +5.3%
Net margin 8.8%
Return on equity 6.8%
Free cash flow −A$17.3M FY2025
P/E ratio 60.8
More key figures
Operating margin 15.1%
EPS (TTM) A$1.28
EPS growth (YoY) -9.0%
Net debt A$123M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 38/100

Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43

Profitability 36
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 45
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 50
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 65
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 14
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 76
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 32
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 27
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 17
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Macquarie Technology Group Limited provides telecommunication, cloud computing, cybersecurity, and data center services to corporate and government customers in Australia.

Full company description

Macquarie Technology Group Limited provides telecommunication, cloud computing, cybersecurity, and data center services to corporate and government customers in Australia. The company offers voice services, such as teams calling, unified communications, and video and Web conferencing services, as well as Hello, a cloud-based hosted voice system; SASE that delivers up-to date attack protection in real time; SD-WAN, Azure, enterprise ethernet, SD-LAN, fleet management tools, and network agnostics and local support services; public, hybrid, and private cloud services; and managed, disaster recovery, data backup, cyber security, and colocation services. It also provides managed, disaster recovery, data backup, cyber security colocation, connectivity, and engineering services. The company was formerly known as Macquarie Telecom Group Limited and changed its name to Macquarie Technology Group Limited in May 2023. Macquarie Technology Group Limited was incorporated in 1992 and is headquartered in Sydney, Australia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Macquarie Technology Group reported revenue of A$370M in FY2025 versus A$285M in FY2021, a compound +6.7%/yr. Reported net income was A$34.9M in FY2025, compounding +29.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 27/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
A$370M
Latest YoY
+1.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+6.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+6.8%
Avg. growth/yr (28Y)
+7.3%
Revenue +6.7%/yr
FY21 A$285M
FY22 A$309M
FY23 A$345M
FY24 A$363M
FY25 A$370M
Net income +29.1%/yr
FY21 A$12.5M
FY22 A$8.5M
FY23 A$17.7M
FY24 A$33.0M
FY25 A$34.9M

MAQ screens 61% overvalued. Compare with International Business Machines Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Macquarie Technology Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MAQ

Peer Group

Information Technology Services · 480 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 38 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −61% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Below median
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 9% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 5% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.19× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Information Technology Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 51.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 2.46× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 3.15× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 12.9× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.75× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 20
FUTURE 27 · sector 29
PAST 27 · sector 36
HEALTH 90 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 37

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Information Technology Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
International Business Machines Corporation IBM $235.92 $143.90 -39%
Accenture plc ACNN 2,460 MXN 250.95 MXN -90%
Infosys Limited INFY ₹1,156 ₹1,457 +26%
HCL Technologies Limited HCLTECH ₹1,204 ₹1,230 +2%
Wipro Limited WIPRO ₹178.43 ₹226.81 +27%
Tech Mahindra Limited TECHM ₹1,455 ₹1,086 -25%
Samsung SDS Co 018260 199,300 KRW 196,390 KRW -1%
Persistent Systems Limited PERSISTENT ₹5,059 ₹2,364 -53%
Hyundai Autoever Corporation 307950 393,000 KRW 133,088 KRW -66%
Coforge Limited COFORGE ₹1,541 ₹702.84 -54%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Macquarie Technology Group (MAQ) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$24.53 versus a price of A$62.43, about −61% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MAQ?
Our model-based fair value for Macquarie Technology Group is A$24.53 (as of Jul 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is A$62.43.
What is the quality score of MAQ?
Macquarie Technology Group has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Macquarie Technology Group (MAQ)?
Macquarie Technology Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$379M (latest available figure, as of Jul 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MAQ?
The net profit margin of Macquarie Technology Group is about 8.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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