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Modiv Industrial, Inc (MDV) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · US · Market cap $185M

MI Modiv Industrial, Inc logo Modiv Industrial, Inc MDV · US
Price$17.62
Fair Value$8.77
Upside-50.2%
Quality83/100
Evidence: Medium Range $8.77 – $8.77

Fair value as of: Jun 26, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Share price −4.0% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$18.86 $13.24 Fair Value $8.77 Jun 2025 Jun 2026

12‑month range $13.24 – $18.86 · the $17.62 price screens above the $8.77 fair value. As of Jun 26, 2026.

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Analysis

Modiv Industrial, Inc (MDV) currently trades at $17.62, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $8.77 — implying the stock looks roughly 50.2% overvalued today. We read business quality at 83/100 (high quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Modiv Industrial, Inc generated revenue of $47.0M at a net margin of 0.3%. Revenue declined 1.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -0.3%. Net debt stands at $254M. Fundamentals as of Jun 26, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $47.0M
Revenue growth (YoY) -1.1%
Net margin 0.3%
Return on equity -0.3%
Free cash flow $14.5M FY2025
Operating margin 40.9%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-0.4100
Dividend yield 6.6%
EPS growth (YoY) -78.5%
Net debt $254M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Modiv Industrial, Inc. is an internally managed REIT that is focused on single-tenant net-lease industrial manufacturing real estate. The Company actively acquires critical industrial manufacturing properties with long-term leases to tenants that fuel the national economy and strengthen the nation's supply chains. Modiv Industrial, Inc. was incorporated in 2015 and is based in Denver, United States.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Modiv Industrial, Inc reported revenue of $46.4M in FY2025 versus $37.9M in FY2021, a compound +5.2%/yr. Reported net income was $1.1M in FY2025.

Revenue +5.2%/yr
FY21 $37.9M
FY22 $43.8M
FY23 $47.2M
FY24 $46.8M
FY25 $46.4M
Net income
FY21 −$436K
FY22 −$3.3M
FY23 −$6.6M
FY24 $6.0M
FY25 $1.1M

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Similar stocks

6 more REIT - Industrial stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 26, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Prologis, Inc PLD $145.77 $64.23 -56%
Public Storage, a member of the S&P 500, PSA $321.29 $225.92 -30%
Extra Space Storage Inc EXR $147.76 $107.16 -27%
SEGRO Plc SEGXF $10.37 $6.29 -39%
EastGroup Properties, Inc EGP $203.22 $126.92 -38%
Lineage, Inc LINE $40.82 $72.44 +77%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Modiv Industrial, Inc (MDV) undervalued?
As of Jun 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $8.77 versus a price of $17.62 — about −50% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of MDV?
Our 21-model fair value for Modiv Industrial, Inc is $8.77 (as of Jun 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $17.62.
What is the quality score of MDV?
Modiv Industrial, Inc has a Quality Score of 83/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Modiv Industrial, Inc (MDV)?
Modiv Industrial, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $47.0M (latest available figure, as of Jun 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MDV?
The net profit margin of Modiv Industrial, Inc is about 0.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Modiv Industrial, Inc pay a dividend?
Modiv Industrial, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.63% relative to its recent price (as of Jun 26, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.