Magellan Financial Group Limited (MGLLF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Magellan Financial Group Limited $11.54, price $6.74, upside +71.2%, quality 79 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $3.65 – $19.68 · fair‑value band $6.15 – $17.73 · the $6.74 price screens below the $11.54 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Magellan Financial Group Limited is a publicly owned investment manager. It invests in global equities and global listed infrastructure markets across the globe. Magellan Financial Group Limited founded in 2004 and is based in Sydney, Australia.
Stock analysis
Magellan Financial Group Limited (MGLLF) currently trades at $6.74, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $11.54, implying the stock looks roughly 41.6% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $10.81 per share, and 7 of the 13 models we run sit above the $6.74 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $2.52, and 6 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $6.15 (bear) to $17.73 (bull), the price of $6.74 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 79/100 (high quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Magellan Financial Group Limited reported revenue of A$314M in FY2025 versus A$699M in FY2021, a compound −18.2%/yr. Reported net income was A$165M in FY2025, compounding −11.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $1.2B · P/E ratio 9.2 · P/S ratio 4.86 · EPS (TTM) $0.7300 · Dividend yield 9.7% · Net margin 52.6% · Return on equity 14.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 27.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −15% fair-value upside, at 71%, MGLLF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $6.15Fair Value $11.54Bull $17.73
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0760 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−10.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−22.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−14.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +1.0% a year
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+29.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−5.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−15.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)9.7%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−15.3% vs −0.9%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.75% → 74%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−2.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+16.9%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in AUD, Australia: IMF forecast 3.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −5.3% a year for the price and +13.6% for the forecasts.
Compare Magellan Financial Group Limited with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Asset Management · 659 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score79 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−14.1% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)14.1% · Above median
Return on assets8.5% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)53.3% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)51.1% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−31.6% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)9.7% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.00× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Magellan Financial Group Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MGLLF
Frequently asked questions
Is Magellan Financial Group Limited (MGLLF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $11.54 versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $6.74, about +71% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of MGLLF?
Our model-based fair value for Magellan Financial Group Limited is $11.54 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 25, 2026): $6.74.
What is the quality score of MGLLF?
Magellan Financial Group Limited has a Quality Score of 79/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Magellan Financial Group Limited (MGLLF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $11.54 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario $6.15, optimistic scenario $17.73. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Magellan Financial Group Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $11.54, about +71% upside versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $6.74 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $6.15, optimistic scenario $17.73. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Magellan Financial Group Limited (MGLLF)?
Magellan Financial Group Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$263M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Magellan Financial Group Limited pay a dividend?
Magellan Financial Group Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 9.70% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Magellan Financial Group Limited (MGLLF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Magellan Financial Group Limited would have to grow free cash flow by -2.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -14.5 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of MGLLF use?
Our models discount Magellan Financial Group Limited at 9.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.40, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Magellan Financial Group Limited that is -2.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Magellan Financial Group Limited (MGLLF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Magellan Financial Group Limited grew -14.5 % a year. The price currently implies -2.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Magellan Financial Group Limited (MGLLF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Magellan Financial Group Limited (-2.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Magellan Financial Group Limited (MGLLF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 8.88 %: that much free cash flow Magellan Financial Group Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Magellan Financial Group Limited (MGLLF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Magellan Financial Group Limited it is $11.54 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $6.74. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Magellan Financial Group Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, MGLLF trades below its calculated fair value: price $6.74, fair value $11.54, a gap of about +71% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MGLLF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($6.74); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($11.54). For Magellan Financial Group Limited the two are $4.80 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Magellan Financial Group Limited worth?
The market values Magellan Financial Group Limited at about $1.2B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $6.74; our models calculate a fair value of $11.54 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MGLLF?
Our models span a range for Magellan Financial Group Limited: cautious scenario $6.15, base $11.54, optimistic $17.73 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $6.74). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of MGLLF?
Magellan Financial Group Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 9.2 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $11.54 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.2, P/S 4.6, EV/EBITDA 7.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Magellan Financial Group Limited (MGLLF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Magellan Financial Group Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 14.1%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 79/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MGLLF from its 52-week high?
Magellan Financial Group Limited trades at $6.74, at its 52-week high of $6.74 and 9% above the low of $6.16 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $11.54 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Magellan Financial Group Limited?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Blackstone Inc, KKR & Co, Brookfield Corporation, Apollo Global Management, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Magellan Financial Group Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $6.74, calculated fair value $11.54 (+71%), Quality Score 79/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MGLLF calculated?
We run Magellan Financial Group Limited through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $11.54, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Magellan Financial Group Limited currently trades 42 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Magellan Financial Group Limited (MGLLF)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 25, 2026 and stands at $6.74. Our model-based fair value is $11.54, about +71% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Magellan Financial Group Limited right now?
The rarer combination: high quality (79/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict. The model range is unusually wide ($6.15 to $17.73). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Where does the earnings growth of Magellan Financial Group Limited (MGLLF) come from?
Earnings per share at Magellan Financial Group Limited grew +2.2 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +2.9 %, EBIT margin −0.6 %, tax rate −0.7 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.7 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Magellan Financial Group Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Magellan Financial Group Limited (MGLLF)?
The market capitalisation of Magellan Financial Group Limited is $1.2B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Magellan Financial Group Limited (MGLLF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Magellan Financial Group Limited is 4.86 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Magellan Financial Group Limited (MGLLF)?
Earnings per share at Magellan Financial Group Limited are $0.7300 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 9.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Magellan Financial Group Limited (MGLLF)?
The dividend yield of Magellan Financial Group Limited is 9.7% (payout 89.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Magellan Financial Group Limited (MGLLF)?
The net margin of Magellan Financial Group Limited is 52.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Magellan Financial Group Limited (MGLLF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Magellan Financial Group Limited is 14.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Magellan Financial Group Limited (MGLLF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Magellan Financial Group Limited is 27.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Magellan Financial Group Limited (MGLLF)?
The operating margin of Magellan Financial Group Limited is 51.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Magellan Financial Group Limited (MGLLF)?
Revenue at Magellan Financial Group Limited is growing −31.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −22.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Magellan Financial Group Limited (MGLLF)?
Earnings per share at Magellan Financial Group Limited are growing −22.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Magellan Financial Group Limited (MGLLF) hold?
Magellan Financial Group Limited holds more cash than debt, A$163M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Broad data
Sep 24, 2026