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MOL (MOL) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · Market cap ₹12.1B

M MOL MOL · NSE
Price₹47.46
Fair Value₹19.21
Upside-59.5%
Quality50/100
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Evidence: High Range ₹14.41 – ₹24.01

Fair value as of: Jul 3, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated today

Share price +0.3% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

₹101.79 ₹36.74 Fair Value ₹19.21 Jul 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range ₹36.74 – ₹101.79 · fair‑value band ₹14.41 – ₹24.01 · the ₹47.46 price screens above the ₹19.21 fair value. As of Jul 3, 2026.

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Analysis

MOL (MOL) currently trades at ₹47.46, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹19.21 — implying the stock looks roughly 59.5% overvalued today. We read business quality at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, MOL generated revenue of ₹21.7B at a net margin of 1.3%. Revenue declined 14.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.9%. Net debt stands at ₹7.0B. Fundamentals as of Jul 3, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹21.7B
Revenue growth (YoY) -14.3%
Net margin 1.3%
Return on equity 1.9%
Free cash flow ₹975M FY2025
P/E ratio 42.0
More key figures
Operating margin -2.0%
EPS (TTM) ₹1.13
EPS growth (YoY) -59.0%
Net debt ₹7.0B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 3, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

MOL reported revenue of ₹21.7B in FY2025 versus ₹24.7B in FY2021, a compound −3.2%/yr. Reported net income was ₹287M in FY2025, compounding −44.6%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue −3.2%/yr
FY21 ₹24.7B
FY22 ₹25.3B
FY23 ₹15.5B
FY24 ₹21.2B
FY25 ₹21.7B
Net income −44.6%/yr
FY21 ₹3.0B
FY22 ₹2.4B
FY23 −₹1.1B
FY24 −₹106M
FY25 ₹287M

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Frequently asked questions

Is MOL (MOL) undervalued?
As of Jul 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹19.21 versus a price of ₹47.46 — about −60% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of MOL?
Our model-based fair value for MOL is ₹19.21 (as of Jul 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹47.46.
What is the quality score of MOL?
MOL has a Quality Score of 50/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of MOL (MOL)?
MOL reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹21.7B (latest available figure, as of Jul 3, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MOL?
The net profit margin of MOL is about 1.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.