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Moonpig Group (MOON) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · GB · Market cap 657M GBX

MG Moonpig Group MOON · LSE
Price£2.16
Fair Value£0.4800
Upside-77.8%
Quality95/100
Evidence: High Range £0.2800 – £0.6800

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated 5 days ago

Fair value updated Jun 24, 2026 — revised from £2.16 to £0.4800 (−77.8%) since Jun 23, 2026. Share price +10.0% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

£2.16 £1.71 Fair Value £0.4800 Jun 2025 Jun 2026

12‑month range £1.71 – £2.16 · fair‑value band £0.2800 – £0.6800 · the £2.16 price screens above the £0.4800 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Moonpig Group (MOON) currently trades at £2.16, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £0.4800 — implying the stock looks roughly 77.8% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Moonpig Group generated revenue of £361M at a net margin of 13.1%. Revenue grew 6.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 100.4%. Net debt stands at £95.9M. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 361M GBX
Revenue growth (YoY) +6.7%
Net margin 13.1%
Return on equity 100%
Free cash flow 65.9M GBX FY2025
P/E ratio 15.7
More key figures
Operating margin 19.2%
EPS (TTM) £0.1400
Dividend yield 1.5%
EPS growth (YoY) +31.6%
Net debt 95.9M GBX FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Moonpig Group PLC, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a data and technology platform for online greeting cards and gifting in the Netherlands, Ireland, Australia, the United States, and the United Kingdom. The company operates through the Moonpig, Greetz, and Experiences segments. It also engages in trading and holding activities, as well as provides management services. The company sells its products under the Moonpig, Buyagift, Red Letter Days, and Greetz brands through its website and app. Moonpig Group PLC was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Moonpig Group reported revenue of £350M in FY2025 versus £368M in FY2021, a compound −1.3%/yr. Reported net income was −£11.1M in FY2025.

Revenue −1.3%/yr
FY21 £368M
FY22 £304M
FY23 £320M
FY24 £341M
FY25 £350M
Net income
FY21 £20.8M
FY22 £31.4M
FY23 £26.6M
FY24 £34.2M
FY25 −£11.1M

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Frequently asked questions

Is Moonpig Group (MOON) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £0.4800 versus a price of £2.16 — about −78% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of MOON?
Our 21-model fair value for Moonpig Group is £0.4800 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is £2.16.
What is the quality score of MOON?
Moonpig Group has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Moonpig Group (MOON)?
Moonpig Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £361M (latest available figure, as of Jun 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MOON?
The net profit margin of Moonpig Group is about 13.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 13.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Moonpig Group pay a dividend?
Moonpig Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.51% relative to its recent price (as of Jun 24, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.