MPC Münchmeyer Petersen Capital AG (MPCK) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of MPC Münchmeyer Petersen Capital AG €5.49, price €5.18, upside +6.0%, quality 72 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €1.98 – €5.90 · fair‑value band €4.49 – €10.05 · the €5.18 price screens below the €5.49 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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MPC Münchmeyer Petersen Capital AG is a publicly owned investment manager. The firm engages in the development, marketing, and management of investment products for private investors. Its product range comprises various yield-oriented and tax-optimized investments in the areas of shipping, real estate, maritime and energy infrastructure sectors.
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MPC Münchmeyer Petersen Capital AG is a publicly owned investment manager. The firm engages in the development, marketing, and management of investment products for private investors. Its product range comprises various yield-oriented and tax-optimized investments in the areas of shipping, real estate, maritime and energy infrastructure sectors. It operates in Germany, Austria, Switzerland, Netherlands, and. MPC Münchmeyer Petersen Capital AG was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Hamburg, Germany.
Stock analysis
MPC Münchmeyer Petersen Capital AG (MPCK) currently trades at €5.18, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €5.49, implying the stock looks roughly 5.6% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €6.90 per share, and 5 of the 12 models we run sit above the €5.18 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at €2.08, and 7 of the 12 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: €4.49 (bear) to €10.05 (bull), the price of €5.18 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 72/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
MPC Münchmeyer Petersen Capital AG reported revenue of €43.1M in FY2025 versus €42.3M in FY2021, a compound +0.5%/yr. Reported net income was €23.3M in FY2025, compounding +39.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap €183M · P/E ratio 7.8 · P/S ratio 4.23 · EPS (TTM) €0.6600 · Dividend yield 5.2% · Net margin 53.9% · Return on equity 17.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −4% fair-value upside, at 6%, MPCK screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €4.49Fair Value €5.49Bull €10.05
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (€0.2864 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+0.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −1.0% a year
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
−4.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−9.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)5.2%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.31% vs 7%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.3% → 9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 3.4%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+8.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+6.6%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +6.5% a year for the price and +4.3% for the forecasts.
Compare MPC Münchmeyer Petersen Capital AG with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Asset Management · 658 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/15 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score72 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+6% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)17% · Top 25%
Return on assets2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)58% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)66% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−10% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)5.2% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.02× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "MPC Münchmeyer Petersen Capital AG Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MPCK
Frequently asked questions
Is MPC Münchmeyer Petersen Capital AG (MPCK) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €5.49 versus a price of €5.18, about +6% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of MPCK?
Our model-based fair value for MPC Münchmeyer Petersen Capital AG is €5.49 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €5.18.
What is the quality score of MPCK?
MPC Münchmeyer Petersen Capital AG has a Quality Score of 72/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for MPC Münchmeyer Petersen Capital AG (MPCK)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €5.49 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario €4.49, optimistic scenario €10.05. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the MPC Münchmeyer Petersen Capital AG stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €5.49, about +6% upside versus a price of €5.18 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario €4.49, optimistic scenario €10.05. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of MPC Münchmeyer Petersen Capital AG (MPCK)?
MPC Münchmeyer Petersen Capital AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €42.0M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does MPC Münchmeyer Petersen Capital AG pay a dividend?
MPC Münchmeyer Petersen Capital AG currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.21% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into MPC Münchmeyer Petersen Capital AG (MPCK)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, MPC Münchmeyer Petersen Capital AG would have to grow free cash flow by +8.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -3.1 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of MPCK use?
Our models discount MPC Münchmeyer Petersen Capital AG at 11.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.30, country premium for Germany. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For MPC Münchmeyer Petersen Capital AG that is +8.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has MPC Münchmeyer Petersen Capital AG (MPCK) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at MPC Münchmeyer Petersen Capital AG grew -3.1 % a year. The price currently implies +8.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of MPC Münchmeyer Petersen Capital AG (MPCK) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into MPC Münchmeyer Petersen Capital AG (+8.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of MPC Münchmeyer Petersen Capital AG (MPCK)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.07 %: that much free cash flow MPC Münchmeyer Petersen Capital AG produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of MPC Münchmeyer Petersen Capital AG (MPCK)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For MPC Münchmeyer Petersen Capital AG it is €5.49 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of €5.18. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is MPC Münchmeyer Petersen Capital AG stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, MPCK trades below its calculated fair value: price €5.18, fair value €5.49, a gap of about +6% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MPCK?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€5.18); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€5.49). For MPC Münchmeyer Petersen Capital AG the two are €0.3100 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is MPC Münchmeyer Petersen Capital AG worth?
The market values MPC Münchmeyer Petersen Capital AG at about €183M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is €5.18; our models calculate a fair value of €5.49 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MPCK?
Our models span a range for MPC Münchmeyer Petersen Capital AG: cautious scenario €4.49, base €5.49, optimistic €10.05 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price €5.18). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of MPCK?
MPC Münchmeyer Petersen Capital AG trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 7.8 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €5.49 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 2.7, P/B 1.5, P/S 5.0, EV/EBITDA 23.4.
What is the PEG ratio of MPCK?
The PEG ratio of MPC Münchmeyer Petersen Capital AG is 2.67 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of MPC Münchmeyer Petersen Capital AG (MPCK)?
Balance-sheet figures for MPC Münchmeyer Petersen Capital AG (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 17.2%, debt of 0.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 72/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MPCK from its 52-week high?
MPC Münchmeyer Petersen Capital AG trades at €5.18, about 6% below its 52-week high of €5.52 and 9% above the low of €4.75 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €5.49 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to MPC Münchmeyer Petersen Capital AG?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Blackstone Inc, Brookfield Corporation, KKR & Co, Apollo Global Management, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is MPC Münchmeyer Petersen Capital AG stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price €5.18, calculated fair value €5.49 (+6%), Quality Score 72/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MPCK calculated?
We run MPC Münchmeyer Petersen Capital AG through 12 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €5.49, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. MPC Münchmeyer Petersen Capital AG currently trades 6 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of MPC Münchmeyer Petersen Capital AG (MPCK)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was €5.18. Our model-based fair value is €5.49, about +6% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with MPC Münchmeyer Petersen Capital AG right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range (€4.49 to €10.05) leaves room in how you read the outcome. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Where does the earnings growth of MPC Münchmeyer Petersen Capital AG (MPCK) come from?
Earnings per share at MPC Münchmeyer Petersen Capital AG grew +6.0 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −5.1 %, EBIT margin −5.6 %, tax rate +3.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +14.6 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of MPC Münchmeyer Petersen Capital AG
How large is the market capitalisation of MPC Münchmeyer Petersen Capital AG (MPCK)?
The market capitalisation of MPC Münchmeyer Petersen Capital AG is €183M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of MPC Münchmeyer Petersen Capital AG (MPCK)?
The price-to-sales ratio of MPC Münchmeyer Petersen Capital AG is 4.23 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of MPC Münchmeyer Petersen Capital AG (MPCK)?
Earnings per share at MPC Münchmeyer Petersen Capital AG are €0.6600 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 7.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of MPC Münchmeyer Petersen Capital AG (MPCK)?
The dividend yield of MPC Münchmeyer Petersen Capital AG is 5.2% (payout 40.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of MPC Münchmeyer Petersen Capital AG (MPCK)?
The net margin of MPC Münchmeyer Petersen Capital AG is 53.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of MPC Münchmeyer Petersen Capital AG (MPCK)?
The return on equity (ROE) of MPC Münchmeyer Petersen Capital AG is 17.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of MPC Münchmeyer Petersen Capital AG (MPCK)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of MPC Münchmeyer Petersen Capital AG is 5.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of MPC Münchmeyer Petersen Capital AG (MPCK)?
The operating margin of MPC Münchmeyer Petersen Capital AG is 66.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at MPC Münchmeyer Petersen Capital AG (MPCK)?
Revenue at MPC Münchmeyer Petersen Capital AG is growing −10.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at MPC Münchmeyer Petersen Capital AG (MPCK)?
Earnings per share at MPC Münchmeyer Petersen Capital AG are growing +16.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does MPC Münchmeyer Petersen Capital AG (MPCK) hold?
MPC Münchmeyer Petersen Capital AG holds more cash than debt, €31.4M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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