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Studio City International Holdings Ltd (MSC) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Studio City International Holdings Ltd $2.13, price $0.85, upside +150.1%, quality 53 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Consumer Cyclical · US · ISIN US86389T1060

SC Studio City International Holdings Ltd logo Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Studio City International Holdings Ltd

MSC · US

Clearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.

✓Fair value $2.13 · Strongly undervalued (+150%)
!Quality 53/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +69.8 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -5.6% net margin (TTM)
!High debt · generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (4/8)
!Narrow moat 22/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!The models disagree: range $0.9690 to $4.84
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$12.95 $0.7991 Fair Value $2.13 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.7991 – $12.95 · fair‑value band $0.9690 – $4.84 · the $0.8500 price screens below the $2.13 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Studio City International Holdings Limited provides provision of services pursuant to a casino contract and the hospitality business in Macau.

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Studio City International Holdings Limited provides provision of services pursuant to a casino contract and the hospitality business in Macau. It operates gaming services, a casino contract for the operation of studio city casino, focusing on mass market and premium mass market table games and gaming machines, including baccarat, three-card baccarat, blackjack, craps, caribbean stud poker, roulette, sic bo, fortune 3 card poker, and other games; hospitality services; dining services; event and convention services; other services; leasing services; and resort, which offers various non-gaming attractions, including figure-8 ferris wheel, nightclub and karaoke venue, live performance arena, and an outdoor and indoor water park, as well as live performance arena and various food and beverage establishments, and retail space. The company was formerly known as Cyber One Agents Limited and changed its name to Studio City International Holdings Limited in January 2012. The company was founded in 2000 and is based in Central, Hong Kong. Studio City International Holdings Limited is a subsidiary of MCO Cotai Investments Limited.

Stock analysis

Studio City International Holdings Ltd (MSC) currently trades at $0.8500, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.13, implying the stock looks roughly 60.0% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $15.44 per share, and 10 of the 10 models we run sit above the $0.8500 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $1.82, and 0 of the 10 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $0.9690 (bear) to $4.84 (bull), the price of $0.8500 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Studio City International Holdings Ltd reported revenue of $695M in FY2025 versus $107M in FY2021, a compound +59.7%/yr. Reported net income was −$58.8M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $370M · P/S ratio 0.52 · EPS (TTM) $−0.2000 · Net margin −8.5% · Return on equity −7.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) −2.1% · Operating margin 15.9% · Revenue (TTM) $710M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 82% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 46% fair-value upside, at 150%, MSC screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.9690 Fair Value $2.13 Bull $4.84
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $8.61 $17.14 $42.64 70
Growth DCF $7.44 $20.10 $40.00 70
5Y Revenue Exit n/a $1.58 $8.33 67
All 10 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $8.61 $17.14 $42.64 70
Owner Earnings $3.65 $18.23 $45.29 64
5Y Revenue Exit n/a $1.58 $8.33 67
5Y EBITDA Exit $5.12 $15.44 $35.63 65
10Y Revenue Exit $1.68 $9.44 $12.55 62
10Y EBITDA Exit $6.37 $22.92 $50.71 59
Multiples
EV/EBITDA $3.24 $7.63 $12.02 63
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.36 $1.82 $2.72 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $7.44 $20.10 $40.00 70
Rev-Margin DCF n/a $3.28 $12.54 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 16

Profitability 10
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 65
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 82
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 7
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 87
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 2
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 1
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 84
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 59/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+8.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+69.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +25.9% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+72.1%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−568.9% (2020) → 10.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Resorts & Casinos · 69 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/7 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 53 · Above median
Fair Value upside +166% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −6% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 16% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 9% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 3.87× · Highest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 46
FUTURE (revenue growth)47 · sector 27
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 20
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 82
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 60

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Gambling

Similar stocks

10 more Resorts & Casinos stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Las Vegas Sands Corp LVS $39.19 $54.02 +38%
Galaxy Entertainment Group 0027 HK$32.10 HK$46.74 +46%
Sands China Ltd 1928 HK$12.16 HK$18.87 +55%
MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries, MGM $37.85 $17.73 −53%
Wynn Resorts, Limited WYNN $82.51 $146.53 +78%
Red Rock Resorts, Inc RRR $48.76 $18.01 −63%
Boyd Gaming Corporation BYD $72.08 $144.08 +100%
Caesars Entertainment, Inc CZR $29.62 $80.92 +173%
Genting Singapore Limited G13 0.6200 SGD 0.5600 SGD −10%
Vail Resorts, Inc MTN $138.98 $152.88 +10%

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Studio City International Holdings Ltd · Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Studio City International Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MSC

Frequently asked questions

Is Studio City International Holdings Ltd (MSC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.13 versus a price of $0.8500, about +150% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of MSC?
Our model-based fair value for Studio City International Holdings Ltd is $2.13 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.8500.
What is the quality score of MSC?
Studio City International Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Studio City International Holdings Ltd (MSC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $2.13 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.9690, optimistic scenario $4.84. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Studio City International Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $2.13, about +150% upside versus a price of $0.8500 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $0.9690, optimistic scenario $4.84. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Studio City International Holdings Ltd (MSC)?
Studio City International Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $710M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Studio City International Holdings Ltd (MSC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Studio City International Holdings Ltd it is $2.13 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $0.8500. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Studio City International Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, MSC trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.8500, fair value $2.13, a gap of about +150% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MSC?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.8500); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($2.13). For Studio City International Holdings Ltd the two are $1.28 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Studio City International Holdings Ltd worth?
The market values Studio City International Holdings Ltd at about $370M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $0.8500; our models calculate a fair value of $2.13 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MSC?
Our models span a range for Studio City International Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario $0.9690, base $2.13, optimistic $4.84 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $0.8500). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Studio City International Holdings Ltd (MSC)?
Balance-sheet figures for Studio City International Holdings Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −7.5%, debt of 3.87 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 53/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MSC from its 52-week high?
Studio City International Holdings Ltd trades at $0.8500, about 82% below its 52-week high of $4.68 and 6% above the low of $0.7991 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $2.13 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Studio City International Holdings Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Las Vegas Sands Corp, Galaxy Entertainment Group, Sands China Ltd, MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries,, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Studio City International Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $0.8500, calculated fair value $2.13 (+150%), Quality Score 53/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MSC calculated?
We run Studio City International Holdings Ltd through 10 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $2.13, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Studio City International Holdings Ltd currently trades 150 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Studio City International Holdings Ltd (MSC)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was $0.8500. Our model-based fair value is $2.13, about +150% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Studio City International Holdings Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.9690). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The model range is unusually wide ($0.9690 to $4.84). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (53/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.

Key figures of Studio City International Holdings Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Studio City International Holdings Ltd (MSC)?
The market capitalisation of Studio City International Holdings Ltd is $370M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Studio City International Holdings Ltd (MSC)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Studio City International Holdings Ltd is 0.52 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Studio City International Holdings Ltd (MSC)?
Earnings per share at Studio City International Holdings Ltd are $−0.2000. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Studio City International Holdings Ltd (MSC)?
The net margin of Studio City International Holdings Ltd is −8.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Studio City International Holdings Ltd (MSC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Studio City International Holdings Ltd is −7.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Studio City International Holdings Ltd (MSC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Studio City International Holdings Ltd is −2.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Studio City International Holdings Ltd (MSC)?
The operating margin of Studio City International Holdings Ltd is 15.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Studio City International Holdings Ltd (MSC)?
Revenue at Studio City International Holdings Ltd is growing +9.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +292%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Studio City International Holdings Ltd (MSC)?
Earnings per share at Studio City International Holdings Ltd are growing +13.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Studio City International Holdings Ltd (MSC) generate?
The free cash flow of Studio City International Holdings Ltd is $148M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Studio City International Holdings Ltd (MSC) carry?
The net debt of Studio City International Holdings Ltd is $1.9B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 13.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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