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Mensch und Maschine Software SE (MSHHF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Mensch und Maschine Software SE $28.96, price $39.42, upside -26.5%, quality 71 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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MU
Broad data
Sep 24, 2026
Broad data
Sep 24, 2026
Mensch und Maschine Software SE
MSHHF · USOvervalued / MonitorQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.
!Fair value $28.96 · Overvalued (−26.5%)
✓Quality 71/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +5.8 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 13.6% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!5.1% dividend yield · Watch coverage
✓Wide moat 80/100
!The models disagree: range $17.16 to $61.07
What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
36‑month range $37.38 – $48.34 · fair‑value band $17.16 – $61.07 · the $39.42 price screens above the $28.96 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
Mensch und Maschine Software SE provides technical software and digitization solutions in computer aided design, manufacturing and engineering, product data and lifecycle management, and building information modeling and management areas. It operates in two segments, M+M Software and M+M Digitalization.
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Mensch und Maschine Software SE provides technical software and digitization solutions in computer aided design, manufacturing and engineering, product data and lifecycle management, and building information modeling and management areas. It operates in two segments, M+M Software and M+M Digitalization. The M+M Software segment develops standard software for the areas CAD and CAM, BIM and engineering, garden and landscaping, and CAE. The M+M Digitalization segment develops tailor-made software solutions. This segment is also involved in the customer-specific adaptations, training, and the Autodesk business. In addition, the company offers hyperMILL CAM software, a virtual machine; SOFiSTiK for structural analysis and reinforcement software for civil engineering; DATAflor software solutions for gardening, landscaping, and earthworks; eXs, a computer aided engineering software; and MapEdit, which connects geo and land register data with other data sources. Further, it provides PDM booster for connecting design data and commercial information; bim booster solutions for architecture and construction; and custom for variant design and configurator software. The company operates in Germany, Switzerland, Austria, the rest of Europe, and internationally. Mensch und Maschine Software SE was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Starnberg, Germany.
Stock analysis
Mensch und Maschine Software SE (MSHHF) currently trades at $39.42, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $28.96, 26.5% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $46.19 per share, and 7 of the 22 models we run sit above the $39.42 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $3.65, and 15 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $17.16 (bear) to $61.07 (bull), the price of $39.42 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 71/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Mensch und Maschine Software SE reported revenue of €239M in FY2025 versus €266M in FY2021, a compound −2.7%/yr. Reported net income was €31.8M in FY2025, compounding +10.5%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $786M · P/E ratio 19.2 · P/S ratio 2.56 · EPS (TTM) $2.05 · Dividend yield 5.1% · Net margin 13.3% · Return on equity 38.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 23.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 51 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −8% fair-value upside, at −27%, MSHHF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $17.16
Fair Value $28.96
Bull $61.07
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0378 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
$3.22
$4.39
$6.36
81
Growth DCF
$3.34
$4.46
$6.18
79
Owner Earnings
$18.12
$23.83
$33.39
77
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
$3.22
$4.39
$6.36
81
Owner Earnings
$18.12
$23.83
$33.39
77
5Y Revenue Exit
$16.89
$28.56
$45.58
71
5Y EBITDA Exit
$28.07
$47.89
$74.11
74
5Y P/E Exit
$23.28
$39.60
$58.99
70
10Y Revenue Exit
$10.10
$17.63
$25.99
66
10Y EBITDA Exit
$16.98
$28.54
$41.27
68
10Y P/E Exit
$14.33
$23.86
$33.17
63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$14.97
$18.30
$20.58
67
EPV
$19.39
$22.12
$24.40
74
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$46.23
$61.64
$77.05
63
P/S Multiple
$28.07
$37.42
$46.78
58
P/B Multiple
$24.50
$32.66
$40.83
55
EV/EBIT
$60.17
$80.45
$100.73
66
EV/EBITDA
$55.53
$74.26
$92.99
67
EV/Revenue
$30.10
$43.28
$56.46
53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$2.72
$3.65
$5.44
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$3.34
$4.46
$6.18
79
Rev-Margin DCF
$16.89
$28.66
$42.70
72
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$10.10
$11.56
$16.35
76
ROIC Compounder
$19.39
$22.65
$25.63
72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
$32.34
$46.19
$60.05
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
71/100
Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36
Profitability
88
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
41
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
17
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
71
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
92
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
76
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
24
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
12
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
94
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
61/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.8%
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+16.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+11.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)5.1%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.12% → 21%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+44.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+7.3%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in EUR, euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +41.1% a year for the price and +5.0% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+8.7%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+8.1%
Projected 2028 (sales)+7.4%
Projected 2029 (sales)+6.6%
Projected 2030 (sales)+5.8%
MSHHF screens overvalued: fair value 27% below the price. Compare with SAP SE →
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Context: sector, industry, market
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
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|---|---|---|---|
| SAP SE SAP | €186.74 | €172.46 | −8% |
| Salesforce, Inc CRM | $229.57 | $342.73 | +49% |
| Shopify Inc SHOP | $144.01 | $64.36 | −55% |
| ServiceNow, Inc NOW | $134.01 | $147.41 | +10% |
| Uber Technologies, Inc UBER | $69.36 | $103.69 | +49% |
| Snowflake Inc SNOW | $330.31 | $74.36 | −77% |
| Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP | $261.80 | $150.01 | −43% |
| Adobe Inc ADBE | $239.94 | $454.04 | +89% |
| Datadog, Inc DDOG | $268.70 | $32.52 | −88% |
| Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS | $326.70 | $225.48 | −31% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Mensch und Maschine Software SE (MSHHF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $28.96 versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $39.42, about −27% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MSHHF?
Our model-based fair value for Mensch und Maschine Software SE is $28.96 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 25, 2026): $39.42.
What is the quality score of MSHHF?
Mensch und Maschine Software SE has a Quality Score of 71/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Mensch und Maschine Software SE (MSHHF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $28.96 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario $17.16, optimistic scenario $61.07. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Mensch und Maschine Software SE stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $28.96, about −27% upside versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $39.42 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $17.16, optimistic scenario $61.07. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Mensch und Maschine Software SE (MSHHF)?
Mensch und Maschine Software SE reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €244M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Mensch und Maschine Software SE pay a dividend?
Mensch und Maschine Software SE currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.07% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Mensch und Maschine Software SE (MSHHF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Mensch und Maschine Software SE would have to grow free cash flow by +44.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -0.5 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of MSHHF use?
Our models discount Mensch und Maschine Software SE at 11.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.93, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Mensch und Maschine Software SE that is +44.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Mensch und Maschine Software SE (MSHHF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Mensch und Maschine Software SE grew -0.5 % a year. The price currently implies +44.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Mensch und Maschine Software SE (MSHHF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +10.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Mensch und Maschine Software SE (+44.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Mensch und Maschine Software SE (MSHHF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.09 %: that much free cash flow Mensch und Maschine Software SE produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Mensch und Maschine Software SE (MSHHF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Mensch und Maschine Software SE it is $28.96 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $39.42. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Mensch und Maschine Software SE stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, MSHHF trades above its calculated fair value: price $39.42, fair value $28.96, a gap of about −27% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MSHHF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($39.42); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($28.96). For Mensch und Maschine Software SE the two are $10.46 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Mensch und Maschine Software SE worth?
The market values Mensch und Maschine Software SE at about $786M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $39.42; our models calculate a fair value of $28.96 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MSHHF?
Our models span a range for Mensch und Maschine Software SE: cautious scenario $17.16, base $28.96, optimistic $61.07 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $39.42). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is MSHHF from its 52-week high?
Mensch und Maschine Software SE trades at $39.42, about 18% below its 52-week high of $48.34 and at the low of $39.42 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $28.96 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Mensch und Maschine Software SE?
From the same area (Technology) we also value SAP SE, Salesforce, Inc, Shopify Inc, ServiceNow, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Mensch und Maschine Software SE stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $39.42, calculated fair value $28.96 (−27%), Quality Score 71/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MSHHF calculated?
We run Mensch und Maschine Software SE through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $28.96, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Mensch und Maschine Software SE itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Mensch und Maschine Software SE (MSHHF)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 25, 2026 and stands at $39.42. Our model-based fair value is $28.96, about −27% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Mensch und Maschine Software SE right now?
A high-quality business (quality 71/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety. The model range is unusually wide ($17.16 to $61.07). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Key figures of Mensch und Maschine Software SE
How large is the market capitalisation of Mensch und Maschine Software SE (MSHHF)?
The market capitalisation of Mensch und Maschine Software SE is $786M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of Mensch und Maschine Software SE (MSHHF)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of Mensch und Maschine Software SE is 19.2. Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of Mensch und Maschine Software SE (MSHHF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Mensch und Maschine Software SE is 2.56 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Mensch und Maschine Software SE (MSHHF)?
Earnings per share at Mensch und Maschine Software SE are $2.05 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 19.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Mensch und Maschine Software SE (MSHHF)?
The dividend yield of Mensch und Maschine Software SE is 5.1% (payout 97.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Mensch und Maschine Software SE (MSHHF)?
The net margin of Mensch und Maschine Software SE is 13.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Mensch und Maschine Software SE (MSHHF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Mensch und Maschine Software SE is 38.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Mensch und Maschine Software SE (MSHHF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Mensch und Maschine Software SE is 23.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Mensch und Maschine Software SE (MSHHF)?
The operating margin of Mensch und Maschine Software SE is 25.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Mensch und Maschine Software SE (MSHHF)?
Revenue at Mensch und Maschine Software SE is growing +8.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −9.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Mensch und Maschine Software SE (MSHHF)?
Earnings per share at Mensch und Maschine Software SE are growing +16.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Mensch und Maschine Software SE (MSHHF) carry?
The net debt of Mensch und Maschine Software SE is €20.0M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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