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PT Metrodata Electronics Tbk, (MTDL) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · ID · Market cap 6.3T IDR

PM PT Metrodata Electronics Tbk, MTDL · JK
Price510.00 IDR
Fair Value1,326 IDR
Upside+160.0%
Quality51/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 2.9% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Ranks above peers (10/13)
Narrow moat 44/100
Evidence: Medium Range 655.80 IDR – 1,761 IDR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026

From 17 valuation models · updated 27 days ago

Share price +1.0% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 160% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (655.80 IDR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The model range is unusually wide (655.80 IDR to 1,761 IDR). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid quality (51/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

676.21 IDR 262.28 IDR Fair Value 1,326 IDR Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 262.28 IDR – 676.21 IDR · fair‑value band 655.80 IDR – 1,761 IDR · the 510.00 IDR price screens below the 1,326 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

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Analysis

PT Metrodata Electronics Tbk, (MTDL) currently trades at 510.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1,326 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 160.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, PT Metrodata Electronics Tbk, generated revenue of 28.4T IDR at a net margin of 2.9%. Revenue grew 21.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 18.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 169B IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 655.80 IDR (bear case) to 1,761 IDR (bull case); at 510.00 IDR, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -33% fair-value upside, at 160%, MTDL screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income 452.61 IDR 589.62 IDR 1,974 IDR 76
ROIC Compounder 1,160 IDR 1,536 IDR 2,020 IDR 72
Gordon GGM 230.86 IDR 504.00 IDR 848.00 IDR 70
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings 1,051 IDR 1,990 IDR 3,794 IDR 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 450.86 IDR 2,383 IDR 3,299 IDR 54
Lynch FV 655.80 IDR 936.86 IDR 1,218 IDR 50
PEG = 1.0 655.80 IDR 936.86 IDR 1,218 IDR 46
EPV 1,020 IDR 1,183 IDR 1,328 IDR 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 230.86 IDR 504.00 IDR 848.00 IDR 70
DDM Multi-Stage 230.86 IDR 412.86 IDR 525.25 IDR 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 994.54 IDR 1,326 IDR 1,658 IDR 63
P/S Multiple 845.36 IDR 1,127 IDR 1,409 IDR 58
P/B Multiple 845.36 IDR 1,127 IDR 1,409 IDR 55
EV/EBIT 1,674 IDR 2,201 IDR 2,727 IDR 53
EV/EBITDA 1,265 IDR 1,655 IDR 2,044 IDR 54
EV/Revenue 1,160 IDR 1,616 IDR 2,072 IDR 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 191.92 IDR 257.17 IDR 383.83 IDR 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income 452.61 IDR 589.62 IDR 1,974 IDR 76
ROIC Compounder 1,160 IDR 1,536 IDR 2,020 IDR 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 948.40 IDR 1,355 IDR 1,761 IDR 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (1,990 IDR) versus Asset-Based (257.17 IDR). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 28.4T IDR
Revenue growth (YoY) +21.4%
Net margin 2.9%
Return on equity 18.7%
Free cash flow −71.1B IDR FY2025
P/E ratio 7.7
More key figures
Operating margin 4.5%
EPS (TTM) 65.99 IDR
EPS growth (YoY) +3.4%
Net cash 169B IDR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47

Profitability 53
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 38
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 15
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 74
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 52
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 88
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 32
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 24
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

PT Metrodata Electronics Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the information and communication technology (ICT) business in Indonesia. The company operates in Distribution; and Solution and Consultation segments. The Distribution segment sells hardware and software, as well as data storage devices, terminals, memory products, and peripherals.

Full company description

PT Metrodata Electronics Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the information and communication technology (ICT) business in Indonesia. The company operates in Distribution; and Solution and Consultation segments. The Distribution segment sells hardware and software, as well as data storage devices, terminals, memory products, and peripherals. The Solution and Consultation segment provides maintenance services; and sells hardware, system management software, middleware, server ware, and system level software. The company provides professional services for consultation, implementation, and training. It offers assembly services in the computer field or wireless communication equipment; system integration services; and software consultancy, as well as distributes information technology products and sells personal computer products. The company was founded in 1975 and is based in Jakarta, Indonesia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

PT Metrodata Electronics Tbk, reported revenue of 27.2T IDR in FY2025 versus 18.5T IDR in FY2021, a compound +10.1%/yr. Reported net income was 814B IDR in FY2025, compounding +1.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
27.2T IDR
Latest YoY
+8.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+9.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+14.2%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y)
+14.8%
Revenue +10.1%/yr
FY21 18.5T IDR
FY22 21.0T IDR
FY23 22.1T IDR
FY24 25.1T IDR
FY25 27.2T IDR
Net income +1.7%/yr
FY21 762B IDR
FY22 867B IDR
FY23 651B IDR
FY24 740B IDR
FY25 814B IDR

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PT Metrodata Electronics Tbk, Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MTDL

Peer Group

Electronics & Computer Distribution · 151 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 51 · Below median
Fair Value upside +160% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 19% · Top 25%
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Revenue growth 21% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.03× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Electronics & Computer Distribution median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 7.7× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.33× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.22× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 3.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 14
FUTURE 100 · sector 57
PAST 75 · sector 36
HEALTH 99 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 39

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Electronics & Computer Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
TD SYNNEX Corporation SNX $251.52 $207.02 -18%
Unisplendour Corporation 000938 ¥38.59 ¥11.79 -69%
Rexel S.A RXL €38.59 €33.31 -14%
Arrow Electronics, Inc ARW $204.10 $115.40 -43%
Avnet, Inc AVT $87.13 $58.57 -33%
WPG Holdings 3702 106.50 TWD 102.31 TWD -4%
Shenzhen Huaqiang Industry Co 000062 ¥22.37 ¥7.52 -66%
Synnex Technology International Corporation 2347 85.30 TWD 86.30 TWD +1%
Nanjing Sunlord Electronics Corporation 300975 ¥37.37 ¥8.60 -77%
Beijing Tricolor Technology Co 603516 ¥106.52 ¥23.39 -78%

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Frequently asked questions

Is PT Metrodata Electronics Tbk, (MTDL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1,326 IDR versus a price of 510.00 IDR, about +160% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of MTDL?
Our model-based fair value for PT Metrodata Electronics Tbk, is 1,326 IDR (as of Jul 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 510.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of MTDL?
PT Metrodata Electronics Tbk, has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of PT Metrodata Electronics Tbk, (MTDL)?
PT Metrodata Electronics Tbk, reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 28.4T IDR (latest available figure, as of Jul 14, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MTDL?
The net profit margin of PT Metrodata Electronics Tbk, is about 2.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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