Metrodata Electronics Tbk (MTDL) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Metrodata Electronics Tbk IDR 734, price IDR 500, upside +46.8%, quality 51 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 268.86 IDR – 676.21 IDR · fair‑value band 467.99 IDR – 1,146 IDR · the 500.00 IDR price screens below the 733.76 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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PT Metrodata Electronics Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the information and communication technology (ICT) business in Indonesia. The company operates in Distribution; and Solution and Consultation segments. The Distribution segment sells hardware and software, as well as data storage devices, terminals, memory products, and peripherals.
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PT Metrodata Electronics Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the information and communication technology (ICT) business in Indonesia. The company operates in Distribution; and Solution and Consultation segments. The Distribution segment sells hardware and software, as well as data storage devices, terminals, memory products, and peripherals. The Solution and Consultation segment provides maintenance services; and sells hardware, system management software, middleware, server ware, and system level software. The company provides professional services for consultation, implementation, and training. It offers assembly services in the computer field or wireless communication equipment; system integration services; and software consultancy, as well as distributes information technology products and sells personal computer products. The company was founded in 1975 and is based in Jakarta, Indonesia.
Stock analysis
Metrodata Electronics Tbk (MTDL) currently trades at 500.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 733.76 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 31.9% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 1,627 IDR per share, and 13 of the 17 models we run sit above the 500.00 IDR price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 257.17 IDR, and 4 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 467.99 IDR (bear) to 1,146 IDR (bull), the price of 500.00 IDR sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Metrodata Electronics Tbk reported revenue of 27.2T IDR in FY2025 versus 18.5T IDR in FY2021, a compound +10.1%/yr. Reported net income was 814B IDR in FY2025, compounding +1.7%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 6.1T IDR (≈ $614M) · P/E ratio 7.6 · P/S ratio 0.23 · EPS (TTM) 65.99 IDR · Dividend yield 4.7% · Net margin 3.0% · Return on equity 18.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 11.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −12% fair-value upside, at 47%, MTDL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 467.99 IDRFair Value 733.76 IDRBull 1,146 IDR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (48.27 IDR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+8.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +10.6% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.8%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in IDR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in IDR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+13.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+8.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.7%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.9% vs 14%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.5% → 5%
Compare Metrodata Electronics Tbk with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electronics & Computer Distribution · 156 stocks
Beats the industry median on 12/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score51 · Below median
Fair Value upside+47% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)19% · Top 25%
Return on assets7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)3% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)4% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth21% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)4.7% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.03× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Electronics & Computer Distribution median · lower = cheaper
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Is Metrodata Electronics Tbk (MTDL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 733.76 IDR versus a price of 500.00 IDR, about +47% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of MTDL?
Our model-based fair value for Metrodata Electronics Tbk is 733.76 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 500.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of MTDL?
Metrodata Electronics Tbk has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Metrodata Electronics Tbk (MTDL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 733.76 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario 467.99 IDR, optimistic scenario 1,146 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Metrodata Electronics Tbk stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 733.76 IDR, about +47% upside versus a price of 500.00 IDR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 467.99 IDR, optimistic scenario 1,146 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Metrodata Electronics Tbk (MTDL)?
Metrodata Electronics Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 28.4T IDR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Metrodata Electronics Tbk pay a dividend?
Metrodata Electronics Tbk currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.71% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Metrodata Electronics Tbk (MTDL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Metrodata Electronics Tbk it is 733.76 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 500.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Metrodata Electronics Tbk stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, MTDL trades below its calculated fair value: price 500.00 IDR, fair value 733.76 IDR, a gap of about +47% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MTDL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (500.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (733.76 IDR). For Metrodata Electronics Tbk the two are 233.76 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Metrodata Electronics Tbk worth?
The market values Metrodata Electronics Tbk at about 6.1T IDR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 500.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 733.76 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MTDL?
Our models span a range for Metrodata Electronics Tbk: cautious scenario 467.99 IDR, base 733.76 IDR, optimistic 1,146 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 500.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of MTDL?
Metrodata Electronics Tbk trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 7.6 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 733.76 IDR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.3, P/S 0.2, EV/EBITDA 3.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Metrodata Electronics Tbk (MTDL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Metrodata Electronics Tbk (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 18.7%, debt of 0.03 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 51/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MTDL from its 52-week high?
Metrodata Electronics Tbk trades at 500.00 IDR, about 16% below its 52-week high of 598.50 IDR and 8% above the low of 463.60 IDR (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 733.76 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Metrodata Electronics Tbk?
From the same area (Technology) we also value TD SYNNEX Corporation, Unisplendour Corporation, Rexel S.A, Arrow Electronics, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Metrodata Electronics Tbk stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 500.00 IDR, calculated fair value 733.76 IDR (+47%), Quality Score 51/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MTDL calculated?
We run Metrodata Electronics Tbk through 17 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 733.76 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Metrodata Electronics Tbk currently trades 47 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Metrodata Electronics Tbk (MTDL)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 500.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 733.76 IDR, about +47% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Metrodata Electronics Tbk right now?
The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (51/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (467.99 IDR to 1,146 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Metrodata Electronics Tbk (MTDL) come from?
Earnings per share at Metrodata Electronics Tbk grew +14.9 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +11.1 %, EBIT margin +2.2 %, tax rate +0.4 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.8 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Metrodata Electronics Tbk
How large is the market capitalisation of Metrodata Electronics Tbk (MTDL)?
The market capitalisation of Metrodata Electronics Tbk is 6.1T IDR (≈ $614M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Metrodata Electronics Tbk (MTDL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Metrodata Electronics Tbk is 0.23 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Metrodata Electronics Tbk (MTDL)?
Earnings per share at Metrodata Electronics Tbk are 65.99 IDR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 7.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Metrodata Electronics Tbk (MTDL)?
The dividend yield of Metrodata Electronics Tbk is 4.7% (payout 35.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Metrodata Electronics Tbk (MTDL)?
The net margin of Metrodata Electronics Tbk is 3.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Metrodata Electronics Tbk (MTDL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Metrodata Electronics Tbk is 18.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Metrodata Electronics Tbk (MTDL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Metrodata Electronics Tbk is 11.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Metrodata Electronics Tbk (MTDL)?
The operating margin of Metrodata Electronics Tbk is 4.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Metrodata Electronics Tbk (MTDL)?
Revenue at Metrodata Electronics Tbk is growing +21.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +9.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Metrodata Electronics Tbk (MTDL)?
Earnings per share at Metrodata Electronics Tbk are growing +3.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Metrodata Electronics Tbk (MTDL) generate?
The free cash flow of Metrodata Electronics Tbk is −71.1B IDR (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Metrodata Electronics Tbk (MTDL) hold?
Metrodata Electronics Tbk holds more cash than debt, 169B IDR net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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