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MURGY Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $67.8B

M MURGY logo MURGY MURGY · US
Price$11.92
Fair Value$11.57
Upside-3.0%
Quality44/100
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Expensive Growth
Solidly profitable · 11.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
5.29% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/15)
Wide moat 67/100
Evidence: High Range $8.68 – $14.47 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 27, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 14 days ago

Share price +2.8% over the past month.

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$13.48 $3.69 Fair Value $11.57 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $3.69 – $13.48 · fair‑value band $8.68 – $14.47 · the $11.92 price screens above the $11.57 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

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Analysis

MURGY (MURGY) currently trades at $11.92, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $11.57, implying the stock looks roughly 3.0% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, MURGY generated revenue of $61.4B at a net margin of 11.0%. Revenue declined 6.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 19.9%. Net debt stands at $1.9B. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $8.68 (bear case) to $14.47 (bull case); at $11.92, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 96% fair-value upside, at -3%, MURGY screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $5.97 $7.67 $22.45 76
Gordon GGM $3.60 $4.66 $5.74 70
P/E Multiple $8.96 $11.94 $14.93 63
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $3.60 $4.66 $5.74 70
DDM Multi-Stage $3.60 $4.90 $6.48 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $8.96 $11.94 $14.93 63
P/B Multiple $5.45 $7.27 $9.09 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $2.60 $3.48 $5.19 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $5.97 $7.67 $22.45 76

Widest divergence: Economic Profit ($7.67) versus Asset-Based ($3.48). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $61.4B
Revenue growth (YoY) -6.0%
Net margin 11.0%
Return on equity 19.9%
Free cash flow $1.1B FY2025
P/E ratio 8.8
More key figures
Operating margin 15.5%
EPS (TTM) $1.21
Dividend yield 5.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +60.8%
Net debt $1.9B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 44/100

Of which business quality 33 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55

Profitability 38
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 53
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 32
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 7
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 88
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 91
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 40
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 41
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Münchener Rückversicherungs-Gesellschaft Aktiengesellschaft in München engages in the insurance and reinsurance businesses worldwide. The company operates through six segments: Life and Health Reinsurance, Property-Casualty Reinsurance, Global Specialty Insurance, ERGO Life and Health Germany, ERGO Property-Casualty Germany, and ERGO International.

Full company description

Münchener Rückversicherungs-Gesellschaft Aktiengesellschaft in München engages in the insurance and reinsurance businesses worldwide. The company operates through six segments: Life and Health Reinsurance, Property-Casualty Reinsurance, Global Specialty Insurance, ERGO Life and Health Germany, ERGO Property-Casualty Germany, and ERGO International. The company offers life and health reinsurance solutions, such as digital underwriting and advanced analytics solutions, health insurance management system, financial market risks, financing, portfolio risk management, digitalized investment-linked solution, data analytics, underwriting and claims, medical research, capital management, and health market, as well as MIRA digital suite that includes MIRA PoS, MIRApply insured and physician, claims risk assessment, and CLARA plus. It also provides property and casualty reinsurance solutions, including agricultural reinsurance; business advisory, personal lines, portfolio management, insurance consulting, commercial motor consulting; infrastructure risk; property insurance, location risk, insurance linked securities, and NatCatSERVICE for natural catastrophe loss database; prospective structured and retroactive reinsurance; risk transfer; cyber; and data analytics, REALYTIX ZERO, and cert2go. In addition, the company offers solutions for industry clients, such as corporate risk, new tech, green tech, parametric, and aviation and space solutions, as well as risk services. Further, it provides specialty property casualty insurance, such as professional liability, marine, cyber, aviation, and space for commercial and private customers. Additionally, the company offers life, property-casualty, health, legal protection, and travel insurance products under the ERGO brand; and insurance solutions for agriculture, captive, epidemic, cyber, and renewable energy sectors. The company was founded in 1880 and is based in Munich, Germany.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

MURGY reported revenue of $66.6B in FY2025 versus $63.9B in FY2021, a compound +1.0%/yr. Reported net income was $5.9B in FY2025, compounding +19.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 53/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$66.6B
Latest YoY
+57.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+18.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+2.6%
Avg. growth/yr (22Y)
+1.7%
Revenue +1.0%/yr
FY21 $63.9B
FY22 $39.7B
FY23 $39.7B
FY24 $42.3B
FY25 $66.6B
Net income +19.0%/yr
FY21 $2.9B
FY22 $5.3B
FY23 $4.6B
FY24 $5.7B
FY25 $5.9B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "MURGY Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MURGY

Peer Group

Insurance - Reinsurance · 28 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 38 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −3% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 20% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 11% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 15% · Above median
Revenue growth -6% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.3% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.22× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Insurance - Reinsurance median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 8.8× · Pricier than median
P/B 2.04× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.10× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 63.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 9.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 1.93× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 29 · sector 90
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 79 · sector 57
HEALTH 89 · sector 89
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 87

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Insurance - Reinsurance stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 27, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
1MUV2 1MUV2 €522.60 €669.36 +28%
Swiss Re AG SREN CHF 132.60 CHF 218.88 +65%
Hannover Rück SE HNR1 €255.00 €284.58 +12%
Reinsurance Group RGA $241.79 $234.55 -3%
Everest Group EG $364.13 $522.67 +44%
RenaissanceRe Holdings RNR $314.99 $629.98 +100%
SCOR SE SDRC €33.04 €66.08 +100%
General Insurance Corporation GICRE ₹364.85 ₹715.98 +96%
China Reinsurance (Group) Corporation 1508 HK$1.37 HK$2.74 +100%
Hamilton Insurance Group HG $34.60 $69.20 +100%

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Frequently asked questions

Is MURGY overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $11.57 versus a price of $11.92, about −3% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of MURGY?
Our model-based fair value for MURGY is $11.57 (as of Jul 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $11.92.
What is the quality score of MURGY?
MURGY has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of MURGY?
MURGY reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $61.4B (latest available figure, as of Jul 27, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MURGY?
The net profit margin of MURGY is about 11.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 11.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does MURGY pay a dividend?
MURGY currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.29% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 27, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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