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Swiss Re AG (SREN) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · CH · Market cap CHF 39.1B

SR Swiss Re AG SREN · SW
PriceCHF 137.15
Fair ValueCHF 218.88
Upside+59.6%
Quality59/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 11.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (7/15)
Moderate moat 61/100
Evidence: High Range CHF 164.16 – CHF 273.60 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

Share price +3.2% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 60% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (CHF 164.16). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (59/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

CHF 147.41 CHF 56.20 Fair Value CHF 218.88 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range CHF 56.20 – CHF 147.41 · fair‑value band CHF 164.16 – CHF 273.60 · the CHF 137.15 price screens below the CHF 218.88 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Swiss Re AG (SREN) currently trades at CHF 137.15, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is CHF 218.88, implying the stock looks roughly 59.6% undervalued today. We read business quality at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Swiss Re AG generated revenue of CHF 42.4B at a net margin of 11.8%. Revenue declined 2.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 19.5%. Net debt stands at CHF 6.2B. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from CHF 164.16 (bear case) to CHF 273.60 (bull case); at CHF 137.15, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 100% fair-value upside, at 60%, SREN screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF CHF 95.83 CHF 138.75 CHF 197.13 80
Residual Income CHF 107.89 CHF 138.10 CHF 456.31 76
Rev-Margin DCF CHF 137.19 CHF 227.39 CHF 321.58 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF CHF 92.08 CHF 137.33 CHF 201.33 38
Owner Earnings CHF 139.43 CHF 203.87 CHF 294.99 31
5Y Revenue Exit CHF 137.19 CHF 226.50 CHF 336.94 39
5Y EBITDA Exit CHF 128.81 CHF 211.88 CHF 304.23 41
5Y P/E Exit CHF 160.32 CHF 266.89 CHF 372.36 38
10Y Revenue Exit CHF 113.55 CHF 189.72 CHF 282.44 36
10Y EBITDA Exit CHF 113.87 CHF 179.93 CHF 259.07 37
10Y P/E Exit CHF 133.42 CHF 216.75 CHF 307.75 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd CHF 114.49 CHF 236.73 CHF 298.99 54
EPV CHF 141.44 CHF 168.29 CHF 191.78 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM CHF 70.68 CHF 104.81 CHF 140.75 70
DDM Multi-Stage CHF 70.68 CHF 100.47 CHF 134.64 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple CHF 252.55 CHF 336.74 CHF 420.92 63
P/S Multiple CHF 214.67 CHF 286.23 CHF 357.78 58
P/B Multiple CHF 188.09 CHF 250.79 CHF 313.48 55
EV/EBIT CHF 271.76 CHF 368.89 CHF 466.03 53
EV/EBITDA CHF 175.57 CHF 240.64 CHF 305.72 54
EV/Revenue CHF 176.78 CHF 260.97 CHF 345.15 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) CHF 41.80 CHF 56.01 CHF 83.60 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF CHF 95.83 CHF 138.75 CHF 197.13 80
Rev-Margin DCF CHF 137.19 CHF 227.39 CHF 321.58 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income CHF 107.89 CHF 138.10 CHF 456.31 76
ROIC Compounder CHF 146.21 CHF 181.97 CHF 220.03 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E CHF 185.10 CHF 264.43 CHF 343.75 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (CHF 264.43) versus Asset-Based (CHF 56.01). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) CHF 42.4B
Revenue growth (YoY) -2.0%
Net margin 11.8%
Return on equity 19.5%
Free cash flow CHF 3.2B FY2025
P/E ratio 10.5
More key figures
Operating margin 20.1%
EPS (TTM) CHF 12.58
EPS growth (YoY) +18.6%
Net debt CHF 6.2B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62

Profitability 49
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 71
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 45
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 7
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 92
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 49
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 49
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 71
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Swiss Re AG, together with its subsidiaries, provides reinsurance, insurance, other insurance-based forms of risk transfer, and other insurance-related services worldwide. The company operates through Property & Casualty Reinsurance, Life & Health Reinsurance, and Corporate Solutions segments.

Full company description

Swiss Re AG, together with its subsidiaries, provides reinsurance, insurance, other insurance-based forms of risk transfer, and other insurance-related services worldwide. The company operates through Property & Casualty Reinsurance, Life & Health Reinsurance, and Corporate Solutions segments. The Property & Casualty Reinsurance segment underwrites property reinsurance, including property, credit, surety and political, engineering and project, aviation, marine, agriculture, renewable energy, retakaful, and facultative reinsurance solutions; and casualty reinsurance, such as liability, motor, worker's compensation, personal accident, management and professional liability, cyber, and facultative reinsurance solutions. Its Life & Health Reinsurance segment underwrites life and health insurance products. The Corporate Solutions segment offers standard risk transfer covers and multi-line programs to customized solutions. It serves stock and mutual insurance companies, public sector and governmental entities, mid-sized and large corporations, and individuals. The company was founded in 1863 and is headquartered in Zurich, Switzerland.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Swiss Re AG reported revenue of CHF 50.2B in FY2025 versus CHF 45.9B in FY2021, a compound +2.3%/yr. Reported net income was CHF 5.0B in FY2025, compounding +36.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 69/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
CHF 50.2B
Latest YoY
+7.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+2.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+2.8%
Avg. growth/yr (20Y)
+2.8%
Revenue +2.3%/yr
FY21 CHF 45.9B
FY22 CHF 46.0B
FY23 CHF 43.6B
FY24 CHF 46.8B
FY25 CHF 50.2B
Net income +36.3%/yr
FY21 CHF 1.4B
FY22 CHF 472M
FY23 CHF 3.1B
FY24 CHF 3.2B
FY25 CHF 5.0B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Swiss Re AG Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SREN

Peer Group

Insurance - Reinsurance · 28 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 56 · Below median
Fair Value upside +60% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 19% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 12% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 20% · Above median
Revenue growth -2% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.35× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Insurance - Reinsurance median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 10.5× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.96× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.14× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 15.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 7.9× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.80× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 91
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 78 · sector 57
HEALTH 83 · sector 89
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 87

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Insurance - Reinsurance stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
1MUV2 1MUV2 €522.60 €669.36 +28%
Hannover Rück SE HNR1 €255.00 €284.58 +12%
Reinsurance Group RGA $241.79 $234.55 -3%
Everest Group EG $364.13 $522.67 +44%
RenaissanceRe Holdings RNR $314.99 $629.98 +100%
SCOR SE SDRC €33.04 €66.08 +100%
General Insurance Corporation GICRE ₹364.85 ₹715.98 +96%
China Reinsurance (Group) Corporation 1508 HK$1.37 HK$2.74 +100%
Hamilton Insurance Group HG $34.60 $69.20 +100%
SiriusPoint Ltd SPNT $24.23 $48.46 +100%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Swiss Re AG (SREN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of CHF 218.88 versus a price of CHF 137.15, about +60% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SREN?
Our model-based fair value for Swiss Re AG is CHF 218.88 (as of Jul 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is CHF 137.15.
What is the quality score of SREN?
Swiss Re AG has a Quality Score of 59/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Swiss Re AG (SREN)?
Swiss Re AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about CHF 42.4B (latest available figure, as of Jul 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SREN?
The net profit margin of Swiss Re AG is about 11.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 11.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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