Ninety One PLC (N91) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Ninety One PLC £2.23, price £2.12, upside +5.2%, quality 55 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range £1.09 – £2.51 · fair‑value band £1.67 – £2.95 · the £2.12 price screens below the £2.23 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Ninety One Group operates as an independent global asset manager worldwide. It serves private and public sector pension funds, sovereign wealth funds, insurers, corporates, foundations, and central banks, as well as large retail financial groups, wealth managers, public and private equity as well as debt, private banks, and intermediaries.
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Ninety One Group operates as an independent global asset manager worldwide. It serves private and public sector pension funds, sovereign wealth funds, insurers, corporates, foundations, and central banks, as well as large retail financial groups, wealth managers, public and private equity as well as debt, private banks, and intermediaries. It seeks to invest in South African companies struggling with the economic fallout from the spread of coronavirus. Ninety One Group was founded in 1991 and is headquartered in Cape Town, South Africa with additional offices in Africa.
Stock analysis
Ninety One PLC (N91) currently trades at £2.12, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £2.23, implying the stock looks roughly 4.9% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of £4.12 per share, and 9 of the 12 models we run sit above the £2.12 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at £0.7500, and 3 of the 12 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: £1.67 (bear) to £2.95 (bull), the price of £2.12 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Ninety One PLC reported revenue of £782M in FY2026 versus £795M in FY2022, a compound −0.4%/yr. Reported net income was £154M in FY2026, compounding −7.0%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap 2.1B GBX · P/E ratio 12.7 · P/S ratio 2.49 · EPS (TTM) £0.1700 · Dividend yield 6.0% · Net margin 19.6% · Return on equity 28.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 51 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −4% fair-value upside, at 5%, N91 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear £1.67Fair Value £2.23Bull £2.95
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (£0.0204 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+11.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.7%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.2%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+6.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+0.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)6.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.0% vs −2%, steady
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.28% → 26%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 2.4%/yr over ~7Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−6.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+1.8%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (UK: IMF forecast 2.3% a year to 2030, 3.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −8.3% a year for the price and −0.6% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Asset Management · 659 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score50 · Below median
Fair Value upside+5% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)29% · Top 25%
Return on assets1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)24% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)30% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth14% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)6.0% · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ninety One PLC Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/N91
Frequently asked questions
Is Ninety One PLC (N91) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £2.23 versus a price of £2.12, about +5% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of N91?
Our model-based fair value for Ninety One PLC is £2.23 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: £2.12.
What is the quality score of N91?
Ninety One PLC has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ninety One PLC (N91)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of £2.23 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario £1.67, optimistic scenario £2.95. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ninety One PLC stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at £2.23, about +5% upside versus a price of £2.12 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario £1.67, optimistic scenario £2.95. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ninety One PLC (N91)?
Ninety One PLC reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £650M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Ninety One PLC pay a dividend?
Ninety One PLC currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.04% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Ninety One PLC (N91)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Ninety One PLC would have to grow free cash flow by -6.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +0.7 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of N91 use?
Our models discount Ninety One PLC at 9.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.76, country premium for United Kingdom. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Ninety One PLC that is -6.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Ninety One PLC (N91) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Ninety One PLC grew +0.7 % a year. The price currently implies -6.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Ninety One PLC (N91) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Ninety One PLC (-6.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Ninety One PLC (N91)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 8.99 %: that much free cash flow Ninety One PLC produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Ninety One PLC (N91)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ninety One PLC it is £2.23 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of £2.12. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Ninety One PLC stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, N91 trades below its calculated fair value: price £2.12, fair value £2.23, a gap of about +5% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of N91?
No. The price is what the market pays today (£2.12); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (£2.23). For Ninety One PLC the two are £0.1100 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ninety One PLC worth?
The market values Ninety One PLC at about 2.1B GBX (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is £2.12; our models calculate a fair value of £2.23 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about N91?
Our models span a range for Ninety One PLC: cautious scenario £1.67, base £2.23, optimistic £2.95 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price £2.12). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of N91?
Ninety One PLC trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 12.7 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of £2.23 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.9, P/S 4.2, EV/EBITDA 11.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ninety One PLC (N91)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ninety One PLC (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 28.5%. They feed the Quality Score of 55/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is N91 from its 52-week high?
Ninety One PLC trades at £2.12, about 16% below its 52-week high of £2.51 and 13% above the low of £1.87 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of £2.23 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ninety One PLC?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Blackstone Inc, Brookfield Corporation, KKR & Co, Apollo Global Management, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ninety One PLC stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price £2.12, calculated fair value £2.23 (+5%), Quality Score 55/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of N91 calculated?
We run Ninety One PLC through 12 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of £2.23, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Ninety One PLC currently trades 5 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Ninety One PLC (N91)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was £2.12. Our model-based fair value is £2.23, about +5% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Ninety One PLC right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Key figures of Ninety One PLC
How large is the market capitalisation of Ninety One PLC (N91)?
The market capitalisation of Ninety One PLC is 2.1B GBX. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ninety One PLC (N91)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ninety One PLC is 2.49 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Ninety One PLC (N91)?
Earnings per share at Ninety One PLC are £0.1700 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 12.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Ninety One PLC (N91)?
The dividend yield of Ninety One PLC is 6.0% (payout 75.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Ninety One PLC (N91)?
The net margin of Ninety One PLC is 19.6% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Ninety One PLC (N91)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ninety One PLC is 28.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ninety One PLC (N91)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ninety One PLC is 1.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ninety One PLC (N91)?
The operating margin of Ninety One PLC is 29.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ninety One PLC (N91)?
Revenue at Ninety One PLC is growing +13.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Ninety One PLC (N91)?
Earnings per share at Ninety One PLC are growing −12.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Ninety One PLC (N91) hold?
Ninety One PLC holds more cash than debt, 330M GBX net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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