Novabase S.G.P.S., S.A (NBA) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · PT · Market cap €270M
Fair value as of: Aug 15, 2026
From 22 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 15, 2026, revised from €3.78 to €3.59 (−5.0%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price −5.1% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 50% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€4.92). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (€2.59 to €4.92) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 15, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €2.26 – €9.04 · fair‑value band €2.59 – €4.92 · the €7.12 price screens above the €3.59 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 15, 2026.
Analysis
Novabase S.G.P.S., S.A (NBA) currently trades at €7.12, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €3.59, implying the stock looks roughly 49.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Novabase S.G.P.S., S.A generated revenue of €124M at a net margin of 4.4%. Revenue declined 8.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 17.1%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 28.5. Fundamentals as of Aug 15, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €2.59 (bear case) to €4.92 (bull case); at €7.12, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at 0% fair-value upside, at -50%, NBA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 22 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (€4.08) versus Asset-Based (€0.9000). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Novabase S.G.P.S., S.A., through its subsidiaries, provides IT consulting and services in Portugal, Europe, Africa, the Middle East, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Next-Gen and Value Portfolio.
Full company description
Novabase S.G.P.S., S.A., through its subsidiaries, provides IT consulting and services in Portugal, Europe, Africa, the Middle East, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Next-Gen and Value Portfolio. The Next-Gen segment develops IT consulting and services to banks, insurance, capital markets, and telecommunication industries under the Celfocus brand names. The Value Portfolio segment is involved in venture capital activities. Novabase S.G.P.S., S.A. was incorporated in 1989 and is headquartered in Lisbon, Portugal
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Novabase S.G.P.S., S.A reported revenue of €124M in FY2025 versus €139M in FY2021, a compound −2.7%/yr. Reported net income was €5.5M in FY2025, compounding −10.9%/yr from FY2021.
NBA screens 50% overvalued. Compare with International Business Machines Corporation →
Peer Group
Information Technology Services · 488 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Information Technology Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Information Technology Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 15, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| International Business Machines Corporation IBM | $235.98 | $175.76 | -26% |
| Accenture plc ACNN | 2,460 MXN | 300.07 MXN | -88% |
| Tata Consultancy Services Limited TCS | ₹2,350 | ₹3,473 | +48% |
| Infosys Limited INFY | ₹1,176 | ₹1,998 | +70% |
| HCL Technologies Limited HCLTECH | ₹1,365 | ₹1,722 | +26% |
| Wipro Limited WIPRO | ₹183.94 | ₹314.26 | +71% |
| Tech Mahindra Limited TECHM | ₹1,625 | ₹1,521 | -6% |
| Samsung SDS Co 018260 | 235,500 KRW | 235,321 KRW | -0% |
| Persistent Systems Limited PERSISTENT | ₹5,474 | ₹3,259 | -40% |
| Hyundai Autoever Corporation 307950 | 433,000 KRW | 186,323 KRW | -57% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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