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Nihon Kohden Corporation (NHNKY) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $1.5B

NK Nihon Kohden Corporation logo Nihon Kohden Corporation NHNKY · US
Price$9.23
Fair Value$11.44
Upside+23.9%
Quality70/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 5.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.22% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (11/14)
Narrow moat 32/100
Evidence: High Range $7.77 – $15.67 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 19, 2026

From 23 valuation models · updated yesterday

Share price −3.6% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 24% undervalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • A fairly wide model range ($7.77 to $15.67) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • Our model range runs from $7.77 (bear) to $15.67 (bull), base $11.44. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 70/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$19.18 $8.25 Fair Value $11.44 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $8.25 – $19.18 · fair‑value band $7.77 – $15.67 · the $9.23 price screens below the $11.44 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Nihon Kohden Corporation (NHNKY) currently trades at $9.23, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $11.44, implying the stock looks roughly 23.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Nihon Kohden Corporation generated revenue of $232B at a net margin of 5.9%. Revenue declined 5.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of ¥10.5B. Fundamentals as of Aug 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $7.77 (bear case) to $15.67 (bull case); at $9.23, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -33% fair-value upside, at 24%, NHNKY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $6.91 $9.02 $11.56 80
Rev-Margin DCF $7.41 $11.15 $15.24 74
ROIC Compounder $5.43 $6.09 $6.64 72
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $6.82 $9.18 $12.16 38
Owner Earnings $6.53 $8.77 $11.61 31
5Y Revenue Exit $7.41 $11.09 $15.66 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $9.17 $14.26 $20.02 41
5Y P/E Exit $8.73 $13.47 $18.26 38
10Y Revenue Exit $6.91 $9.96 $13.82 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $8.10 $11.93 $16.76 37
10Y P/E Exit $7.85 $11.44 $15.57 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $4.46 $11.52 $15.01 54
PEG = 1.0 $2.17 $3.10 $4.04 46
EPV $5.43 $6.09 $6.64 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $10.83 $14.44 $18.05 63
P/S Multiple $8.37 $11.16 $13.95 58
P/B Multiple $8.37 $11.16 $13.95 55
EV/EBIT $11.40 $15.01 $18.62 53
EV/EBITDA $12.26 $16.15 $20.04 54
EV/Revenue $8.30 $11.61 $14.93 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $3.85 $5.16 $7.70 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $6.91 $9.02 $11.56 80
Rev-Margin DCF $7.41 $11.15 $15.24 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $6.11 $6.46 $6.96 61
ROIC Compounder $5.43 $6.09 $6.64 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $8.40 $11.99 $15.59 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($11.99) versus Asset-Based ($5.16). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $232B
Revenue growth (YoY) -5.2%
Net margin 5.9%
Return on equity 7.7%
Free cash flow ¥16.3B FY2026
P/E ratio 16.5
More key figures
Operating margin -2.1%
EPS (TTM) $0.5600
Dividend yield 2.2%
EPS growth (YoY) +38.0%
Net cash ¥10.5B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 70/100

Of which business quality 70 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43

Profitability 56
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 55
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 51
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 86
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 85
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 82
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 30
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 23
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 97
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Nihon Kohden Corporation engages in research and development, production, sales, and repair and maintenance of medical electronic equipment in Japan, North America, Latin America, Europe, Asia, and internationally.

Full company description

Nihon Kohden Corporation engages in research and development, production, sales, and repair and maintenance of medical electronic equipment in Japan, North America, Latin America, Europe, Asia, and internationally. It offers physiological measuring equipment, such as electroencephalographs, evoked potential and electromyogram measuring systems, electrocardiographs, polygraphs for Cath lab, diagnostic information systems, recording paper, electrodes, and EP catheters. The company also provides patient monitors such as central monitors, bedside monitors, wireless monitors, remote access software and other equipment, clinical information systems, and electrodes and sensors. In addition, it offers Defibrillators, AEDs, ventilators, pacemakers, anesthesia machines, cochlear implants, automated chest compression devices, AED pads, batteries, and ablation catheters; hematology analyzers, clinical chemistry analyzers, ultrasound diagnostic equipment and others, consumables, including test reagents, and installation and maintenance services. Further, it is involved in insurance brokerage and technology licensing business. The company was incorporated in 1951 and is headquartered in Shinjuku, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Nihon Kohden Corporation reported revenue of ¥249B in FY2026 versus ¥205B in FY2022, a compound +5.0%/yr. Reported net income was ¥15.4B in FY2026, compounding −10.0%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 63/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
¥249B
Latest YoY
+10.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.5%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.3%
Revenue +5.0%/yr
FY22 ¥205B
FY23 ¥207B
FY24 ¥222B
FY25 ¥225B
FY26 ¥249B
Net income −10.0%/yr
FY22 ¥23.4B
FY23 ¥17.1B
FY24 ¥17.0B
FY25 ¥14.1B
FY26 ¥15.4B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2026) +4.9 % p.a.
Revenue per share +4.1 pp

of which total revenue +3.9 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.2 pp

EBIT margin −0.8 pp
Tax rate −0.1 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +1.7 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Nihon Kohden Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NHNKY

Peer Group

Medical Devices · 360 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 70 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +24% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) -2% · Below median
Revenue growth -5% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.2% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.12× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Medical Devices median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 16.5× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.28× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.99× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 10.1× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE65 · sector 0
FUTURE0 · sector 30
PAST31 · sector 4
HEALTH94 · sector 97
DIVIDEND44 · sector 35

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Medical Devices stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Abbott Laboratories, ABT $110.91 $74.79 -33%
Stryker Corporation SYK $347.21 $186.28 -46%
Medtronic plc MDT $90.76 $65.57 -28%
Boston Scientific Corporation BSX $51.42 $38.44 -25%
Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics Co 300760 ¥150.63 ¥147.63 -2%
Shanghai United Imaging Healthcare Co 688271 ¥110.50 ¥43.60 -61%
Demant A/S DEMANT kr 289.60 kr 161.17 -44%
Getinge AB GETIB kr 240.60 kr 192.14 -20%
Sectra AB SECTB kr 280.00 kr 66.81 -76%
CLASSYS Inc 214150 39,700 KRW 20,415 KRW -49%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Nihon Kohden Corporation (NHNKY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $11.44 versus a price of $9.23, about +24% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of NHNKY?
Our model-based fair value for Nihon Kohden Corporation is $11.44 (as of Aug 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $9.23.
What is the quality score of NHNKY?
Nihon Kohden Corporation has a Quality Score of 70/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Nihon Kohden Corporation (NHNKY)?
Nihon Kohden Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $232B (latest available figure, as of Aug 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of NHNKY?
The net profit margin of Nihon Kohden Corporation is about 5.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Nihon Kohden Corporation pay a dividend?
Nihon Kohden Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.22% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 19, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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