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Nickel Industries Limited (NIC) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · AU · Market cap A$4.4B

NI Nickel Industries Limited NIC · AU
PriceA$0.9350
Fair ValueA$0.3700
Upside-60.4%
Quality81/100
Evidence: Medium Range A$0.1600 – A$0.5200

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated 5 days ago

Fair value updated Jun 24, 2026 — revised from A$0.4300 to A$0.3700 (−14.0%) since Jun 23, 2026. Share price −12.6% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

A$1.14 A$0.6961 Fair Value A$0.3700 Jun 2025 Jun 2026

12‑month range A$0.6961 – A$1.14 · fair‑value band A$0.1600 – A$0.5200 · the A$0.9350 price screens above the A$0.3700 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Nickel Industries Limited (NIC) currently trades at A$0.9350, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.3700 — implying the stock looks roughly 60.4% overvalued today. We read business quality at 81/100 (high quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Nickel Industries Limited generated revenue of A$293M at a net margin of 42.3%. It earns a return on equity of 35.4%. Net debt stands at A$847M. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) A$293M
Revenue growth (YoY) +2,812%
Net margin 42.3%
Return on equity 35.4%
Free cash flow A$88.6M FY2025
Operating margin 33.7%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) A$-0.0200
EPS growth (YoY) +117%
Net debt A$847M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Nickel Industries Limited engages in nickel ore mining, nickel pig iron, cobalt, and nickel matte production activities. It also produces mixed hydroxide precipitate for use in the electric vehicle supply chain. The company was formerly known as Nickel Mines Limited and changed its name to Nickel Industries Limited in June 2022. The company was incorporated in 2007 and is based in Sydney, Australia.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Nickel Industries Limited reported revenue of A$1.7B in FY2025 versus A$646M in FY2021, a compound +27.5%/yr. Reported net income was −A$59.1M in FY2025.

Revenue +27.5%/yr
FY21 A$646M
FY22 A$1.2B
FY23 A$1.9B
FY24 A$1.7B
FY25 A$1.7B
Net income
FY21 A$138M
FY22 A$159M
FY23 A$122M
FY24 −A$169M
FY25 −A$59.1M

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Frequently asked questions

Is Nickel Industries Limited (NIC) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.3700 versus a price of A$0.9350 — about −60% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of NIC?
Our 21-model fair value for Nickel Industries Limited is A$0.3700 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is A$0.9350.
What is the quality score of NIC?
Nickel Industries Limited has a Quality Score of 81/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Nickel Industries Limited (NIC)?
Nickel Industries Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$293M (latest available figure, as of Jun 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of NIC?
The net profit margin of Nickel Industries Limited is about 42.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 42.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.