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NIP Group (NIPG) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · US · Market cap $86.7M

NG NIP Group logo NIP Group NIPG · US
Price$11.94
Fair Value$9.72
Upside-18.6%
Quality23/100
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Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -187.7% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (4/10)
Narrow moat 9/100
Evidence: Low Range $7.25 – $14.51 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 19, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated yesterday

Share price +149.8% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 19% overvalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • Weak quality (23/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • A fairly wide model range ($7.25 to $14.51) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
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Price vs Fair Value (2 years)

$495.00 $4.72 Fair Value $9.72 Jul 2024 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

25‑month range $4.72 – $495.00 · fair‑value band $7.25 – $14.51 · the $11.94 price screens above the $9.72 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.

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Analysis

NIP Group (NIPG) currently trades at $11.94, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $9.72, implying the stock looks roughly 18.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 23/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $127M. Revenue grew 42.3% year over year. Net debt stands at $46.0M. Fundamentals as of Aug 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $7.25 (bear case) to $14.51 (bull case); at $11.94, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -43% fair-value upside, at -19%, NIPG screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $7.25 $9.72 $14.51 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $7.25 $9.72 $14.51 50

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $127M
Revenue growth (YoY) +42.3%
Net margin -188%
Return on equity -141%
Free cash flow −$16.9M FY2025
Operating margin -69.6%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-99.06
Net debt $46.0M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 23/100

Of which business quality 24 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 7

Profitability 8
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 41
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 36
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 73
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 8
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 6
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 6
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 7
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

NIP Group Inc. engages in esports teams, operation, talent management service, and event production in the People's Republic of China and Sweden. It operates Ninjas in Pyjamas, a PC/console esports brand; and ESV5, which includes eStar Gaming, a mobile esports entity.

Full company description

NIP Group Inc. engages in esports teams, operation, talent management service, and event production in the People's Republic of China and Sweden. It operates Ninjas in Pyjamas, a PC/console esports brand; and ESV5, which includes eStar Gaming, a mobile esports entity. The company is also involved in esports team operations, talent management, event production, hospitality, and game publishing businesses. It operates in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates; Stockholm, Sweden; Sao Paolo, Brazil; Dover, Delaware; and Shenzhen and Wuhan, China. The company is based in Stockholm, Sweden.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

NIP Group reported revenue of $127M in FY2025 versus $31.8M in FY2021, a compound +41.2%/yr. Reported net income was −$237M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$127M
Latest YoY
+48.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+24.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+86.1%
Revenue +41.2%/yr
FY21 $31.8M
FY22 $65.8M
FY23 $83.7M
FY24 $85.3M
FY25 $127M
Net income
FY21 −$8.0M
FY22 −$6.2M
FY23 −$13.3M
FY24 −$12.7M
FY25 −$237M

NIPG screens 19% overvalued. Compare with Netflix, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "NIP Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NIPG

Peer Group

Entertainment · 268 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 24 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −19% · Below median
Return on assets -14% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -188% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -70% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 42% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.04× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.98× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.69× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE9 · sector 13
FUTURE100 · sector 8
PAST0 · sector 0
HEALTH98 · sector 98
DIVIDEND0 · sector 44

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Netflix, Inc ZNFL C$6.44 C$2.82 -56%
The Walt Disney Company DIS $103.18 $80.62 -22%
Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc WBD $27.65 $9.03 -67%
Live Nation Entertainment, Inc LYV $185.33 $59.97 -68%
Empresas Cablevisión, S.A. CABLECPO 55.00 MXN 59.14 MXN +8%
PT MNC Digital Entertainment Tbk, MSIN 370.00 IDR 212.14 IDR -43%
Prime Focus Limited PFOCUS ₹268.00 ₹63.45 -76%
JYP Entertainment Corporation 035900 39,950 KRW 82,382 KRW +106%
SM Entertainment Co 041510 75,500 KRW 208,415 KRW +176%
PVR INOX Limited PVRINOX ₹1,176 ₹467.91 -60%

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Frequently asked questions

Is NIP Group (NIPG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $9.72 versus a price of $11.94, about −19% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of NIPG?
Our model-based fair value for NIP Group is $9.72 (as of Aug 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $11.94.
What is the quality score of NIPG?
NIP Group has a Quality Score of 23/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of NIP Group (NIPG)?
NIP Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $127M (latest available figure, as of Aug 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of NIPG?
The net profit margin of NIP Group is about -187.7%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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