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New Murchison Gold Limited (NMG) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · AU · Market cap A$489M

NM New Murchison Gold Limited NMG · AU
PriceA$0.0420
Fair ValueA$0.0286
Upside-32.0%
Quality95/100
Evidence: High Range A$0.0286 – A$0.0286

Fair value as of: Jun 26, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Fair value updated Jun 26, 2026 — revised from A$0.0100 to A$0.0286 (+185.6%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −4.5% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

A$0.0750 A$0.0160 Fair Value A$0.0286 Jun 2025 Jun 2026

12‑month range A$0.0160 – A$0.0750 · the A$0.0420 price screens above the A$0.0286 fair value. As of Jun 26, 2026.

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Analysis

New Murchison Gold Limited (NMG) currently trades at A$0.0420, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0286 — implying the stock looks roughly 32.0% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, New Murchison Gold Limited generated revenue of A$18.0M at a net margin of 26.7%. Revenue declined 14.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of A$19.3M. Fundamentals as of Jun 26, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) A$18.0M
Revenue growth (YoY) -14.8%
Net margin 26.7%
Return on equity 13.3%
Free cash flow −A$10.5M FY2025
P/E ratio 4.5
More key figures
Operating margin 33.5%
EPS (TTM) A$0.0100
Net cash A$19.3M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

New Murchison Gold Limited engages in the mineral exploration activities in Australia. The company primarily explores for gold. Its flagship property is the Garden Gully property consisting of 677 square kilometers tenure package located in the Abbotts Greenstone Belt north of Meekatharra. The company was formerly known as Ora Gold Limited and changed its name to New Murchison Gold Limited in November 2024. New Murchison Gold Limited was incorporated in 2003 and is based in West Perth, Australia.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

New Murchison Gold Limited reported revenue of A$18.0M in FY2025 versus A$2.0K in FY2021, a compound +873.3%/yr. Reported net income was A$4.8M in FY2025.

Revenue +873.3%/yr
FY21 A$2.0K
FY22 A$378
FY23 A$24.0K
FY24 A$13.7K
FY25 A$18.0M
Net income
FY21 −A$2.4M
FY22 −A$2.3M
FY23 −A$2.2M
FY24 −A$2.7M
FY25 A$4.8M

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6 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 26, 2026).

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BHP Group BHP $85.78 $60.26 -30%
Rio Tinto Group RTNTF $129.57 $76.59 -41%
Grupo México, S.A. GMBXF $12.66 $9.58 -24%
CMOC Group CMCLY $148.88 $120.33 -19%
Vale S.A VALEN 260.19 MXN 9.30 MXN -96%
Anglo American plc AAUKF $55.08 $15.08 -73%

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Frequently asked questions

Is New Murchison Gold Limited (NMG) undervalued?
As of Jun 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0286 versus a price of A$0.0420 — about −32% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of NMG?
Our 21-model fair value for New Murchison Gold Limited is A$0.0286 (as of Jun 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is A$0.0420.
What is the quality score of NMG?
New Murchison Gold Limited has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of New Murchison Gold Limited (NMG)?
New Murchison Gold Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$18.0M (latest available figure, as of Jun 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of NMG?
The net profit margin of New Murchison Gold Limited is about 26.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 26.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.