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Nippon Paint Holdings (NPPHY) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · US · Market cap $16.7B

NP Nippon Paint Holdings logo Nippon Paint Holdings NPPHY · US
Price$3.42
Fair Value$2.86
Upside-16.4%
Quality94/100
Evidence: High Range $1.98 – $3.58

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 6 days ago

Fair value updated Jun 24, 2026 — revised from $2.96 to $2.86 (−3.4%) since Jun 23, 2026. Share price −3.1% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$4.99 $2.84 Fair Value $2.86 Jul 2025 Jun 2026

12‑month range $2.84 – $4.99 · fair‑value band $1.98 – $3.58 · the $3.42 price screens above the $2.86 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Nippon Paint Holdings (NPPHY) currently trades at $3.42, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.86 — implying the stock looks roughly 16.4% overvalued today. We read business quality at 94/100 (high quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Nippon Paint Holdings generated revenue of $1.9T at a net margin of 10.5%. Revenue grew 9.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.5%. Net debt stands at $998B. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $1.9T
Revenue growth (YoY) +9.6%
Net margin 10.5%
Return on equity 11.5%
Free cash flow $145B FY2025
P/E ratio 21.2
More key figures
Operating margin 14.9%
EPS (TTM) $0.1700
Dividend yield 1.5%
EPS growth (YoY) +57.0%
Net debt $998B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Nippon Paint Holdings Co., Ltd. engages in the paints and fine chemicals businesses in Japan, Asia, the United States, Europe, and internationally. The company offers automotive coatings, including paints for the automotive body, surface treatment, electrodeposition coating, intermediate coating, and finish coating; paints for plastic components, such as bumpers and interior components; decorative paints for construction sites, single-family detached homes, condominiums, office buildings, medical institutions, and schools; industrial coatings that are used for construction and farming machinery, exterior construction materials, office equipment, electric home appliances; and marine coatings, such as antifouling paints. It also provides surface treatment products comprising functional coatings, which demonstrate various functions, such as hydrophilicity and rust prevention, and substrate films; caulking agents to fill gaps between building materials; adhesives to fix flooring and bui…

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Nippon Paint Holdings reported revenue of $1.6T in FY2025 versus $998B in FY2021, a compound +13.2%/yr. Reported net income was $126B in FY2025, compounding +16.8%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +13.2%/yr
FY21 $998B
FY22 $1.3T
FY23 $1.4T
FY24 $1.8T
FY25 $1.6T
Net income +16.8%/yr
FY21 $67.6B
FY22 $79.4B
FY23 $118B
FY24 $180B
FY25 $126B

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Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others) — not an editorial selection, not financial advice.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Nippon Paint Holdings (NPPHY) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.86 versus a price of $3.42 — about −16% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of NPPHY?
Our 21-model fair value for Nippon Paint Holdings is $2.86 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $3.42.
What is the quality score of NPPHY?
Nippon Paint Holdings has a Quality Score of 94/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Nippon Paint Holdings (NPPHY)?
Nippon Paint Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.9T (latest available figure, as of Jun 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of NPPHY?
The net profit margin of Nippon Paint Holdings is about 10.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 10.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Nippon Paint Holdings pay a dividend?
Nippon Paint Holdings currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.45% relative to its recent price (as of Jun 24, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.