Nippon Paint Holdings (NPPHY) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · US · Market cap $16.7B
Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 6 days ago
Fair value updated Jun 24, 2026 — revised from $2.96 to $2.86 (−3.4%) since Jun 23, 2026. Share price −3.1% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $2.84 – $4.99 · fair‑value band $1.98 – $3.58 · the $3.42 price screens above the $2.86 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.
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Nippon Paint Holdings (NPPHY) currently trades at $3.42, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.86 — implying the stock looks roughly 16.4% overvalued today. We read business quality at 94/100 (high quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Nippon Paint Holdings generated revenue of $1.9T at a net margin of 10.5%. Revenue grew 9.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.5%. Net debt stands at $998B. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Nippon Paint Holdings Co., Ltd. engages in the paints and fine chemicals businesses in Japan, Asia, the United States, Europe, and internationally. The company offers automotive coatings, including paints for the automotive body, surface treatment, electrodeposition coating, intermediate coating, and finish coating; paints for plastic components, such as bumpers and interior components; decorative paints for construction sites, single-family detached homes, condominiums, office buildings, medical institutions, and schools; industrial coatings that are used for construction and farming machinery, exterior construction materials, office equipment, electric home appliances; and marine coatings, such as antifouling paints. It also provides surface treatment products comprising functional coatings, which demonstrate various functions, such as hydrophilicity and rust prevention, and substrate films; caulking agents to fill gaps between building materials; adhesives to fix flooring and bui…
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Nippon Paint Holdings reported revenue of $1.6T in FY2025 versus $998B in FY2021, a compound +13.2%/yr. Reported net income was $126B in FY2025, compounding +16.8%/yr from FY2021.
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Recent news
- Sherwin-Williams Stock Rises as Investors Brush Off Bid for Rival Paint Maker
- DUNN-EDWARDS LAUNCHES PAINT COLOR VISUALIZER TOOL
- Nippon Paint Holdings (TSE:4612): Exploring Valuation After Recent Share Price Fluctuations
- DUNN-EDWARDS PICKS POWERHOUSE DUO FOR NEXT GEN COLOR LEADERSHIP
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others) — not an editorial selection, not financial advice.
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.