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Northern Star Resources Limited (NST) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · AU · Market cap A$28.4B

NS Northern Star Resources Limited NST · AU
PriceA$20.62
Fair ValueA$15.96
Upside-22.6%
Quality95/100
Evidence: High Range A$10.05 – A$19.95

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 6 days ago

Share price +0.7% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

A$34.25 A$16.27 Fair Value A$15.96 Jun 2025 Jun 2026

12‑month range A$16.27 – A$34.25 · fair‑value band A$10.05 – A$19.95 · the A$20.62 price screens above the A$15.96 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Northern Star Resources Limited (NST) currently trades at A$20.62, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$15.96 — implying the stock looks roughly 22.6% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Northern Star Resources Limited generated revenue of A$7.0B at a net margin of 22.2%. Revenue grew 19.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.8%. Net debt stands at A$125M. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) A$7.0B
Revenue growth (YoY) +19.0%
Net margin 22.2%
Return on equity 12.8%
Free cash flow A$657M FY2025
P/E ratio 17.0
More key figures
Operating margin 30.5%
EPS (TTM) A$1.17
Dividend yield 2.7%
EPS growth (YoY) +13.5%
Net debt A$125M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Northern Star Resources Limited engages in the exploration, development, mining, and processing of gold deposits. The company also sells refined gold. It operates in Western Australia, the Northern Territory, and Alaska. Northern Star Resources Limited was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Subiaco, Australia.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Northern Star Resources Limited reported revenue of A$6.4B in FY2025 versus A$2.8B in FY2021, a compound +23.5%/yr. Reported net income was A$1.3B in FY2025, compounding +6.7%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +23.5%/yr
FY21 A$2.8B
FY22 A$3.8B
FY23 A$4.1B
FY24 A$4.9B
FY25 A$6.4B
Net income +6.7%/yr
FY21 A$1.0B
FY22 A$430M
FY23 A$585M
FY24 A$639M
FY25 A$1.3B

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Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others) — not an editorial selection, not financial advice.

Similar stocks

6 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Newmont Corporation NEMCL $112.00 $132.73 +19%
Zijin Mining Group 601899 ¥27.70 ¥39.42 +42%
Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM $166.85 $222.49 +33%
Barrick Mining Corporation B $37.19 $70.51 +90%
Wheaton Precious Metals Corp SII €105.35 €52.47 -50%
AngloGold Ashanti plc AU $86.23 $88.63 +3%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Northern Star Resources Limited (NST) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$15.96 versus a price of A$20.62 — about −23% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of NST?
Our 21-model fair value for Northern Star Resources Limited is A$15.96 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is A$20.62.
What is the quality score of NST?
Northern Star Resources Limited has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Northern Star Resources Limited (NST)?
Northern Star Resources Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$7.0B (latest available figure, as of Jun 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of NST?
The net profit margin of Northern Star Resources Limited is about 22.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 22.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Northern Star Resources Limited pay a dividend?
Northern Star Resources Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.70% relative to its recent price (as of Jun 24, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.