Omni Bridgeway Ltd (OBL) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Omni Bridgeway Ltd A$1.44, price A$1.47, upside -2.0%, quality 70 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.6900 – A$4.62 · fair‑value band A$1.08 – A$1.80 · the A$1.47 price screens above the A$1.44 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Omni Bridgeway Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides dispute and litigation finance services in Australia, the United States, Canada, Latin America, Asia, New Zealand, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa.
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Omni Bridgeway Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides dispute and litigation finance services in Australia, the United States, Canada, Latin America, Asia, New Zealand, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. The company offers dispute funding solutions, including bankruptcy, commercial, intellectual property, investor recoveries, class/group actions, appeals, and whistleblower. It also provides arbitration financing, judgment enforcement, and distressed asset recovery solutions. The company serves individual claimants, law firms, corporations, bankruptcy/insolvency professionals, liquidators, banks, creditors, sovereigns, and multilateral institutions. The company was formerly known as IMF Bentham Limited and changed its name to Omni Bridgeway Limited in March 2020. Omni Bridgeway Limited was founded in 1986 and is based in Sydney, Australia.
Stock analysis
Omni Bridgeway Ltd (OBL) currently trades at A$1.47, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$1.44, implying the stock looks roughly 2.1% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 23 models at a data quality of 80/100, which puts the evidence level at high.
Scenario range: A$1.08 (bear) to A$1.80 (bull), the price of A$1.47 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Omni Bridgeway Ltd reported revenue of A$13.0M in FY2025 versus A$6.1M in FY2021, a compound +20.9%/yr. Reported net income was A$350M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap A$474M (≈ $332M) · P/E ratio 0.9 · P/S ratio 24.3 · EPS (TTM) A$1.63 · Net margin 233% · Return on equity 54.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.8% · Operating margin 65.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −4% fair-value upside, at −2%, OBL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear A$1.08Fair Value A$1.44Bull A$1.80
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (A$1.63 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.33/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−81.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−15.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−10.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −13.6% a year
Revenue growth 24 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+22.9%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−275.3% (2020) → 3,812.9% (2025)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+13.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Australia: IMF forecast 3.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +10.3% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Asset Management · 657 stocks
Beats the industry median on 11/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score70 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−3% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)54% · Top 25%
Return on assets4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)65% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth173% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)19.3% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.06× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper
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Is Omni Bridgeway Ltd (OBL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$1.44 versus a price of A$1.47, about −2% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of OBL?
Our model-based fair value for Omni Bridgeway Ltd is A$1.44 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$1.47.
What is the quality score of OBL?
Omni Bridgeway Ltd has a Quality Score of 70/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Omni Bridgeway Ltd (OBL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$1.44 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$1.08, optimistic scenario A$1.80. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Omni Bridgeway Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$1.44, about −2% upside versus a price of A$1.47 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario A$1.08, optimistic scenario A$1.80. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What growth is priced into Omni Bridgeway Ltd (OBL)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Omni Bridgeway Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +13.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -10.9 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of OBL use?
Our models discount Omni Bridgeway Ltd at 9.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.45, country premium for Australia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Omni Bridgeway Ltd that is +13.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Omni Bridgeway Ltd (OBL) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Omni Bridgeway Ltd grew -10.9 % a year. The price currently implies +13.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Omni Bridgeway Ltd (OBL) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Omni Bridgeway Ltd (+13.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Omni Bridgeway Ltd (OBL)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.06 %: that much free cash flow Omni Bridgeway Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Omni Bridgeway Ltd (OBL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Omni Bridgeway Ltd it is A$1.44 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of A$1.47. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Omni Bridgeway Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, OBL trades above its calculated fair value: price A$1.47, fair value A$1.44, a gap of about −2% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of OBL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$1.47); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$1.44). For Omni Bridgeway Ltd the two are A$0.0300 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Omni Bridgeway Ltd worth?
The market values Omni Bridgeway Ltd at about A$474M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is A$1.47; our models calculate a fair value of A$1.44 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about OBL?
Our models span a range for Omni Bridgeway Ltd: cautious scenario A$1.08, base A$1.44, optimistic A$1.80 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price A$1.47). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of OBL?
Omni Bridgeway Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 0.9 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of A$1.44 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.5, P/S 1.7, EV/EBITDA 1.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Omni Bridgeway Ltd (OBL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Omni Bridgeway Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 54.2%, debt of 0.06 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 70/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is OBL from its 52-week high?
Omni Bridgeway Ltd trades at A$1.47, about 20% below its 52-week high of A$1.83 and 7% above the low of A$1.38 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$1.44 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Omni Bridgeway Ltd?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Blackstone Inc, Brookfield Corporation, KKR & Co, Apollo Global Management, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Omni Bridgeway Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price A$1.47, calculated fair value A$1.44 (−2%), Quality Score 70/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of OBL calculated?
We run Omni Bridgeway Ltd through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$1.44, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Omni Bridgeway Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Omni Bridgeway Ltd (OBL)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was A$1.47. Our model-based fair value is A$1.44, about −2% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Omni Bridgeway Ltd right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Key figures of Omni Bridgeway Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Omni Bridgeway Ltd (OBL)?
The market capitalisation of Omni Bridgeway Ltd is A$474M (≈ $332M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Omni Bridgeway Ltd (OBL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Omni Bridgeway Ltd is 24.3 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Omni Bridgeway Ltd (OBL)?
Earnings per share at Omni Bridgeway Ltd are A$1.63 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 0.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Omni Bridgeway Ltd (OBL)?
The net margin of Omni Bridgeway Ltd is 233% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Omni Bridgeway Ltd (OBL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Omni Bridgeway Ltd is 54.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Omni Bridgeway Ltd (OBL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Omni Bridgeway Ltd is 4.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Omni Bridgeway Ltd (OBL)?
The operating margin of Omni Bridgeway Ltd is 65.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Omni Bridgeway Ltd (OBL)?
Revenue at Omni Bridgeway Ltd is growing +173% versus a year earlier (3y avg −15.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Omni Bridgeway Ltd (OBL)?
Earnings per share at Omni Bridgeway Ltd are growing +82.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Omni Bridgeway Ltd (OBL) hold?
Omni Bridgeway Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$126M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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