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Orbital Corporation (OEC) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · AU · Market cap A$25.1M

OC Orbital Corporation OEC · AU
PriceA$0.1500
Fair ValueA$0.1900
Upside+26.7%
Quality95/100
Evidence: Low Range A$0.1800 – A$0.2200

Fair value as of: Jun 26, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Fair value updated Jun 26, 2026 — revised from A$0.2100 to A$0.1900 (−9.5%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +3.3% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

A$0.3339 A$0.0919 Fair Value A$0.1900 Jun 2025 Jun 2026

12‑month range A$0.0919 – A$0.3339 · fair‑value band A$0.1800 – A$0.2200 · the A$0.1500 price screens below the A$0.1900 fair value. As of Jun 26, 2026.

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Analysis

Orbital Corporation (OEC) currently trades at A$0.1500, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.1900 — implying the stock looks roughly 26.7% undervalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low) — always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Orbital Corporation generated revenue of A$8.3M at a net margin of -73.3%. Revenue grew 2.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -53.3%. Net debt stands at A$1.9M. Fundamentals as of Jun 26, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) A$8.3M
Revenue growth (YoY) +2.0%
Net margin -73.3%
Return on equity -53.3%
Free cash flow −A$5.7M FY2025
Operating margin -73.4%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) A$-0.0400
EPS growth (YoY) -78.7%
Net debt A$1.9M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Orbital Corporation Limited provides integrated propulsion systems and flight critical components for tactical unmanned aerial vehicles primarily in Australia and the United States. The company also offers design, proven manufacturing processes and rigorous testing to deliver superiority in UAV propulsion systems and flight critical components. The company was formerly known as Orbital Engine Corporation Limited and changed its name to Orbital Corporation Limited in October 2004. Orbital Corporation Limited was incorporated in 1988 and is headquartered in Balcatta, Australia.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Orbital Corporation reported revenue of A$8.2M in FY2025 versus A$31.2M in FY2021, a compound −28.3%/yr. Reported net income was −A$4.3M in FY2025.

Revenue −28.3%/yr
FY21 A$31.2M
FY22 A$15.7M
FY23 A$16.8M
FY24 A$12.6M
FY25 A$8.2M
Net income
FY21 −A$11.4M
FY22 −A$11.1M
FY23 A$20.0K
FY24 A$67.0K
FY25 −A$4.3M

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Similar stocks

6 more Aerospace & Defense stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 26, 2026).

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General Electric Company GE C$46.59 C$11.06 -76%
RTX Corporation RYTT34 R$155.45 R$83.92 -46%
The Boeing Company BCO €198.20 €51.07 -74%
Airbus SE EADSF $220.48 $122.55 -44%
Safran SA SAFRY $94.69 $58.09 -39%
Rolls-Royce Holdings RYCEY $18.79 $9.46 -50%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Orbital Corporation (OEC) undervalued?
As of Jun 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.1900 versus a price of A$0.1500 — about +27% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of OEC?
Our 21-model fair value for Orbital Corporation is A$0.1900 (as of Jun 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is A$0.1500.
What is the quality score of OEC?
Orbital Corporation has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Orbital Corporation (OEC)?
Orbital Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$8.3M (latest available figure, as of Jun 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of OEC?
The net profit margin of Orbital Corporation is about -73.3%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.