Olidata S.p.A. (OLI) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Olidata S.p.A. €1.76, price €1.48, upside +18.8%, quality 37 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €1.30 – €8.65 · fair‑value band €1.20 – €2.31 · the €1.48 price screens below the €1.76 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Olidata S.p.A. operates as a technology consulting company. The company focuses on big data and artificial intelligence, cyber security, software development and ICT infrastructure, and GIS and IOT services. Olidata S.p.A. was founded in 1982 and is based in Rome, Italy.
Stock analysis
Olidata S.p.A. (OLI) currently trades at €1.48, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €1.76, implying the stock looks roughly 15.8% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of €0.7400 per share, and 5 of the 14 models we run sit above the €1.48 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at €0.4100, and 9 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: €1.20 (bear) to €2.31 (bull), the price of €1.48 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Olidata S.p.A. reported revenue of €93.4M in FY2025 versus €1.3M in FY2021, a compound +190.3%/yr. Reported net income was €284K in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap €31.0M · P/E ratio 148.2 · P/S ratio 0.45 · EPS (TTM) €0.0100 · Net margin 0.3% · Return on equity 1.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.4% · Operating margin 2.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at 53% fair-value upside, at 19%, OLI screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €1.20Fair Value €1.76Bull €2.31
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (€0.0073 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.44/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−2.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+22.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+125.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +10.9% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−28.3%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+11.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+11.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−70% → 3%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Information Technology Services · 498 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score37 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+19% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)2% · Below median
Return on assets2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)3% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth54% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.06× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Information Technology Services median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)148.2× · Priciest 25%
P/B2.38× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Olidata S.p.A. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/OLI
Frequently asked questions
Is Olidata S.p.A. (OLI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €1.76 versus a price of €1.48, about +19% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of OLI?
Our model-based fair value for Olidata S.p.A. is €1.76 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €1.48.
What is the quality score of OLI?
Olidata S.p.A. has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Olidata S.p.A. (OLI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €1.76 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario €1.20, optimistic scenario €2.31. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Olidata S.p.A. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €1.76, about +19% upside versus a price of €1.48 (undervalued). Cautious scenario €1.20, optimistic scenario €2.31. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Olidata S.p.A. (OLI)?
Olidata S.p.A. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €93.6M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Olidata S.p.A. (OLI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Olidata S.p.A. it is €1.76 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of €1.48. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Olidata S.p.A. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, OLI trades below its calculated fair value: price €1.48, fair value €1.76, a gap of about +19% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of OLI?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€1.48); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€1.76). For Olidata S.p.A. the two are €0.2780 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Olidata S.p.A. worth?
The market values Olidata S.p.A. at about €31.0M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is €1.48; our models calculate a fair value of €1.76 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about OLI?
Our models span a range for Olidata S.p.A.: cautious scenario €1.20, base €1.76, optimistic €2.31 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price €1.48). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of OLI?
Olidata S.p.A. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 148.2 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €1.76 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.4, P/S 0.4, EV/EBITDA 9.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Olidata S.p.A. (OLI)?
Balance-sheet figures for Olidata S.p.A. (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 1.9%, debt of 0.06 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 37/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is OLI from its 52-week high?
Olidata S.p.A. trades at €1.48, about 46% below its 52-week high of €2.77 and 14% above the low of €1.30 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €1.76 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Olidata S.p.A.?
From the same area (Technology) we also value International Business Machines Corporation, Accenture plc, Tata Consultancy Services Limited, Infosys Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Olidata S.p.A. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price €1.48, calculated fair value €1.76 (+19%), Quality Score 37/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of OLI calculated?
We run Olidata S.p.A. through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €1.76, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Olidata S.p.A. currently trades 19 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Olidata S.p.A. (OLI)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was €1.48. Our model-based fair value is €1.76, about +19% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Olidata S.p.A. right now?
A fairly wide model range (€1.20 to €2.31) leaves room in how you read the outcome. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Key figures of Olidata S.p.A.
How large is the market capitalisation of Olidata S.p.A. (OLI)?
The market capitalisation of Olidata S.p.A. is €31.0M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Olidata S.p.A. (OLI)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Olidata S.p.A. is 0.45 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Olidata S.p.A. (OLI)?
Earnings per share at Olidata S.p.A. are €0.0100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 148.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Olidata S.p.A. (OLI)?
The net margin of Olidata S.p.A. is 0.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Olidata S.p.A. (OLI)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Olidata S.p.A. is 1.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Olidata S.p.A. (OLI)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Olidata S.p.A. is −0.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Olidata S.p.A. (OLI)?
The operating margin of Olidata S.p.A. is 2.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Olidata S.p.A. (OLI)?
Revenue at Olidata S.p.A. is growing +54.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +22.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Olidata S.p.A. (OLI)?
Earnings per share at Olidata S.p.A. are growing −6.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Olidata S.p.A. (OLI) generate?
The free cash flow of Olidata S.p.A. is −€4.4M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Olidata S.p.A. (OLI) carry?
The net debt of Olidata S.p.A. is €1.8M (fiscal year 2023). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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