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Orion Minerals Limited (ORN) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · AU · Market cap A$193M

OM Orion Minerals Limited ORN · AU
PriceA$0.0230
Fair ValueA$0.0223
Upside-3.0%
Quality82/100
Evidence: Low Range A$0.0200 – A$0.0246

Fair value as of: Jun 26, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Fair value updated Jun 26, 2026 — revised from A$0.0300 to A$0.0223 (−25.6%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −4.0% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

A$0.0374 A$0.0086 Fair Value A$0.0223 Jun 2025 Jun 2026

12‑month range A$0.0086 – A$0.0374 · fair‑value band A$0.0200 – A$0.0246 · the A$0.0230 price screens above the A$0.0223 fair value. As of Jun 26, 2026.

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Analysis

Orion Minerals Limited (ORN) currently trades at A$0.0230, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0223 — implying the stock looks roughly 3.0% overvalued today. We read business quality at 82/100 (high quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at A$345K. Revenue declined 56.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -15.6%. Net debt stands at A$38.1M. Fundamentals as of Jun 26, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) A$345K
Revenue growth (YoY) -56.3%
Return on equity -15.6%
Free cash flow −A$23.9M FY2025
Operating margin -19,116%
Net debt A$38.1M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Orion Minerals Limited engages in the exploration, evaluation, and development of mineral properties in Australia and South Africa. It primarily explores for copper, zinc, nickel, cobalt, platinum group elements, gold, silver, tungsten, rare earth elements, base metals, and lithium deposits. The company's flagship projects include the Prieska Copper Zinc mine project located in the Northern Cape province of South Africa; and the Okiep Copper project located in the north of Cape Town, South Africa. Orion Minerals Limited was incorporated in 2001 and is headquartered in Melbourne, Australia.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Orion Minerals Limited reported revenue of A$385K in FY2025 versus A$46.0K in FY2021, a compound +70.1%/yr. Reported net income was −A$11.9M in FY2025.

Revenue +70.1%/yr
FY21 A$46.0K
FY22 A$58.0K
FY23 A$75.0K
FY24 A$381K
FY25 A$385K
Net income
FY21 −A$1.8M
FY22 −A$14.3M
FY23 −A$15.3M
FY24 −A$5.4M
FY25 −A$11.9M

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Frequently asked questions

Is Orion Minerals Limited (ORN) undervalued?
As of Jun 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0223 versus a price of A$0.0230 — about −3% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of ORN?
Our 21-model fair value for Orion Minerals Limited is A$0.0223 (as of Jun 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is A$0.0230.
What is the quality score of ORN?
Orion Minerals Limited has a Quality Score of 82/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Orion Minerals Limited (ORN)?
Orion Minerals Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$345K (latest available figure, as of Jun 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ORN?
The net profit margin of Orion Minerals Limited is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.