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Otto Holding AS (OTTO) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Otto Holding AS is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Financial Services · TR · ISIN TRETTUR00019

OH Thin data Sep 13, 2026

Otto Holding AS

OTTO · IS

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value 78.26 TRY · Strongly overvalued (−37%)
✓Quality 65/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 3y +385.3 %/yr)
!Loss over the last twelve months · -7.3% net margin (TTM) · fiscal year 2023 76.8%
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (5/11)
!Narrow moat 25/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!The models disagree: range 46.99 TRY to 313.04 TRY
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

600.00 TRY 22.32 TRY Fair Value 78.26 TRY Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 22.32 TRY – 600.00 TRY · fair‑value band 46.99 TRY – 313.04 TRY · the 125.20 TRY price screens above the 78.26 TRY fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

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Company profile

Otto Holding A.S., through its subsidiaries, engages in media, film, and content production activities in Turkey.

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Otto Holding A.S., through its subsidiaries, engages in media, film, and content production activities in Turkey. It is also involved in the acquisition and marketing of copyright, broadcasting, reproduction, distribution, and the acquisition and/or leasing of rights under licensing agreements; development and maintenance of agriculture and livestock; information technology, gaming, and electrification; and leasing and/or operation of real estate. The company was formerly known as Taç Tarim Ürünleri Hayvancilik Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. and changed its name to Otto Holding A.S. in November 2021. Otto Holding A.S. was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Istanbul, Turkey.

Stock analysis

Otto Holding AS (OTTO) currently trades at 125.20 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 78.26 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 60.0% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Earnings-Based group reads highest at a median of 409.20 TRY per share, and 3 of the 6 models we run sit above the 125.20 TRY price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 9.26 TRY, and 3 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 46.99 TRY (bear) to 313.04 TRY (bull), the price of 125.20 TRY sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Otto Holding AS reported revenue of 116M TRY in FY2023 versus 1.0M TRY in FY2020, a compound +385.3%/yr. Reported net income was 89.3M TRY in FY2023.

Key figures

Market cap 1.3B TRY (≈ $27.3M) · P/E ratio 105.2 · P/S ratio 80.8 · EPS (TTM) 1.19 TRY · Net margin 76.8% · Return on equity −7.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.6% · Operating margin 10.5%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 79% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −28% fair-value upside, at −37%, OTTO screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 46.99 TRY Fair Value 78.26 TRY Bull 313.04 TRY
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
P/E Multiple 113.99 TRY 151.99 TRY 189.99 TRY 63
Graham-Dodd 79.50 TRY 554.44 TRY 778.07 TRY 59
Lynch FV 286.44 TRY 409.20 TRY 531.97 TRY 57
All 6 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 79.50 TRY 554.44 TRY 778.07 TRY 59
Lynch FV 286.44 TRY 409.20 TRY 531.97 TRY 57
Multiples
P/E Multiple 113.99 TRY 151.99 TRY 189.99 TRY 63
P/B Multiple 14.51 TRY 19.35 TRY 24.19 TRY 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 6.91 TRY 9.26 TRY 13.82 TRY 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income 69.62 TRY 119.27 TRY 2,644 TRY 53

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 65/100

Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 16

Profitability 81
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 38
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 69
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 54
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 0
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 80
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 50/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+279.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+385.3%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−168.6% (2020) → 59.7% (2023)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: only 3 usable fiscal years, at least 4 required
not computed

OTTO screens 60% overvalued. Compare with Blackstone Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Asset Management · 663 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/10 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 64 · Above median
Fair Value upside +13% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −7% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 11% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 32% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.02× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 105.2× · Priciest 25%
P/B 0.26× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.08× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 49
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 18
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 21
HEALTH (low debt)99 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 78

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Blackstone Inc BX $128.51 $52.88 −59%
Investor AB INVEB kr 402.55 kr 495.29 +23%
Brookfield Corporation BN C$52.93 C$18.88 −64%
KKR & Co KKR $101.08 $19.97 −80%
Apollo Global Management, Inc APO $128.98 $226.56 +76%
State Street Corporation STT $193.40 $138.33 −28%
Ameriprise Financial, Inc AMP $557.61 $536.83 −4%
Ares Management Corporation ARES $131.64 $82.65 −37%
Northern Trust Corporation NTRS $189.19 $122.02 −36%
Raymond James Financial, Inc RJF $173.46 $239.85 +38%

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Otto Holding AS · Fair Value
78.26 TRY −60%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Otto Holding AS Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/OTTO

Frequently asked questions

Is Otto Holding AS (OTTO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 78.26 TRY versus a price of 125.20 TRY, about −37% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of OTTO?
Our model-based fair value for Otto Holding AS is 78.26 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 125.20 TRY.
What is the quality score of OTTO?
Otto Holding AS has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Otto Holding AS (OTTO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 78.26 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario 46.99 TRY, optimistic scenario 313.04 TRY. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Otto Holding AS stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 78.26 TRY, about −37% upside versus a price of 125.20 TRY (overvalued). Cautious scenario 46.99 TRY, optimistic scenario 313.04 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Otto Holding AS (OTTO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Otto Holding AS it is 78.26 TRY per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of 125.20 TRY. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Otto Holding AS stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, OTTO trades above its calculated fair value: price 125.20 TRY, fair value 78.26 TRY, a gap of about −37% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of OTTO?
No. The price is what the market pays today (125.20 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (78.26 TRY). For Otto Holding AS the two are 46.94 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Otto Holding AS worth?
The market values Otto Holding AS at about 1.3B TRY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is 125.20 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 78.26 TRY per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about OTTO?
Our models span a range for Otto Holding AS: cautious scenario 46.99 TRY, base 78.26 TRY, optimistic 313.04 TRY per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price 125.20 TRY). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of OTTO?
Otto Holding AS trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 105.2 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 78.26 TRY is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.3, P/S 0.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Otto Holding AS (OTTO)?
Balance-sheet figures for Otto Holding AS (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity −7.2%, debt of 0.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 65/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is OTTO from its 52-week high?
Otto Holding AS trades at 125.20 TRY, about 79% below its 52-week high of 585.00 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 78.26 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Otto Holding AS?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Blackstone Inc, Investor AB, Brookfield Corporation, KKR & Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Otto Holding AS stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price 125.20 TRY, calculated fair value 78.26 TRY (−37%), Quality Score 65/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of OTTO calculated?
We run Otto Holding AS through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 78.26 TRY, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.6 % above its aggregate fair value. Otto Holding AS itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Otto Holding AS (OTTO)?
The closing price on Sep 14, 2026 was 125.20 TRY. Our model-based fair value is 78.26 TRY, about −37% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Otto Holding AS right now?
The model range is unusually wide (46.99 TRY to 313.04 TRY). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (65/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Key figures of Otto Holding AS

How large is the market capitalisation of Otto Holding AS (OTTO)?
The market capitalisation of Otto Holding AS is 1.3B TRY (≈ $27.3M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Otto Holding AS (OTTO)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Otto Holding AS is 80.8 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Otto Holding AS (OTTO)?
Earnings per share at Otto Holding AS are 1.19 TRY (price ÷ EPS = P/E 105.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Otto Holding AS (OTTO)?
The net margin of Otto Holding AS is 76.8% (fiscal year 2023). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Otto Holding AS (OTTO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Otto Holding AS is −7.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Otto Holding AS (OTTO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Otto Holding AS is 1.6% (avg 3y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Otto Holding AS (OTTO)?
The operating margin of Otto Holding AS is 10.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Otto Holding AS (OTTO)?
Revenue at Otto Holding AS is growing +32.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +385%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Otto Holding AS (OTTO)?
Earnings per share at Otto Holding AS are growing +24.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Otto Holding AS (OTTO) generate?
The free cash flow of Otto Holding AS is −111M TRY (fiscal year 2023). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Otto Holding AS (OTTO) carry?
The net debt of Otto Holding AS is 2.1M TRY (fiscal year 2022). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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