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Otto Holding AS (OTTO) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 28, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Otto Holding AS stock TRY 60.56, price TRY 84.00, upside -27.9%, quality 57 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Financial Services TR · ISIN TRETTUR00019

OH Otto Holding AS logo Thin data Oct 30, 2026

Otto Holding AS

OTTO · IS
Expensive, in a downtrend

Our calculation puts a fair price 28% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Revenue last quarter +32% vs. a year ago.
Quality 57/100
Mixed Growth (revenue 3y +385.3 %/yr in TRY)
Loss over the last twelve months · -9.4% net margin (TTM) · fiscal year 2023 76.8%
Mixed vs. peers (4/10)
Fair value 60.56 TRY · Overvalued (−27.9%)
Negative free cash flow
Narrow moat 37/100 · thin data
Thin data
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

600.00 TRY 22.32 TRY Fair Value 60.56 TRY Aug 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 30, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 22.32 TRY – 600.00 TRY · fair‑value band 36.49 TRY – 146.08 TRY · the 84.00 TRY price screens above the 60.56 TRY fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Oct 30, 2026.

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Company profile

Otto Holding A.S., through its subsidiaries, engages in media, film, and content production activities in Turkey.

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It is also involved in the acquisition and marketing of copyright, broadcasting, reproduction, distribution, and the acquisition and/or leasing of rights under licensing agreements; development and maintenance of agriculture and livestock; information technology, gaming, and electrification; and leasing and/or operation of real estate.

The company was formerly known as Taç Tarim Ürünleri Hayvancilik Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. and changed its name to Otto Holding A.S. in November 2021. Otto Holding A.S. was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Istanbul, Turkey.

Stock analysis

Otto Holding AS (OTTO) currently trades at 84.00 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 60.56 TRY, 27.9% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Earnings-Based group reads highest at a median of 409.20 TRY per share, and 3 of the 6 models we run sit above the 84.00 TRY price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 6.24 TRY, and 3 of the 6 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 36.49 TRY (bear) to 146.08 TRY (bull), the price of 84.00 TRY sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Otto Holding AS reported revenue of 116M TRY in FY2023 versus 1.0M TRY in FY2020, a compound +385.3%/yr. Reported net income was 89.3M TRY in FY2023.

Key figures

Market cap 641M TRY (≈ $12.8M) Micro · P/E ratio 27.1 · P/S ratio 20.8 · EPS (TTM) 3.10 TRY · Net margin 76.8% · Return on equity −7.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.6% · Operating margin 474%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 84% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −18% fair-value upside, at −28%, OTTO screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 36.49 TRY Fair Value 60.56 TRY Bull 146.08 TRY
Price 84.00 TRY · Upside -27.9%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
P/E Multiple 113.99 TRY 151.99 TRY 189.99 TRY 63
Graham-Dodd 79.50 TRY 554.44 TRY 778.07 TRY 59
Residual Income 36.49 TRY 60.56 TRY 146.08 TRY 58
All 6 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 79.50 TRY 554.44 TRY 778.07 TRY 59
Lynch FV 286.44 TRY 409.20 TRY 531.97 TRY 57
Multiples
P/E Multiple 113.99 TRY 151.99 TRY 189.99 TRY 63
P/B Multiple 9.77 TRY 13.03 TRY 16.29 TRY 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 4.65 TRY 6.24 TRY 9.31 TRY 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income 36.49 TRY 60.56 TRY 146.08 TRY 58

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 81
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 38
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 33
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 69
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 100
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 50
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Momentum 0
Price trend of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 2
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 29
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 50/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+279.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+385.3%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−168.6% (2020) → 59.7% (2023)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: rate outside our plausibility band
not computed

OTTO screens overvalued: fair value 28% below the price. Compare with Blackstone Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Asset Management · 664 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/9 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 57 · Below median
Fair Value upside −27.9% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets 44.3% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months) −9.4% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 32.0% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.02× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 27.1× · Priciest 25%
P/B 6.08× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 2.04× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 58
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 36
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 24
HEALTH (low debt)99 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 81

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Exor N.V EXO €69.30 €138.60 +100% vs OTTO
Apollo Global Management, Inc APO $114.37 $196.06 +71% vs OTTO
Ameriprise Financial, Inc AMP $493.60 $590.44 +20% vs OTTO
Ares Management Corporation ARES $121.88 $103.04 −15% vs OTTO
State Street Corporation STT $169.94 $139.37 −18% vs OTTO
Northern Trust Corporation NTRS $170.35 $123.42 −28% vs OTTO
Blackstone Inc BX $116.70 $52.29 −55% vs OTTO
Principal Financial Group PFG $111.98 $47.18 −58% vs OTTO
Brookfield Corporation BN $37.95 $13.42 −65% vs OTTO
KKR & Co KKR $91.62 $29.26 −68% vs OTTO

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Otto Holding AS · Fair Value
60.56 TRY −28%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Otto Holding AS Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/OTTO

Frequently asked questions

Is Otto Holding AS (OTTO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 30, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 60.56 TRY versus a price of 84.00 TRY, about −28% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of OTTO?
Our model-based fair value for Otto Holding AS is 60.56 TRY (as of Oct 30, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 84.00 TRY.
What is the quality score of OTTO?
Otto Holding AS has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Otto Holding AS (OTTO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 60.56 TRY (as of Oct 30, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario 36.49 TRY, optimistic scenario 146.08 TRY. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Otto Holding AS stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 60.56 TRY, about −28% upside versus a price of 84.00 TRY (overvalued). Cautious scenario 36.49 TRY, optimistic scenario 146.08 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Otto Holding AS (OTTO)?
Otto Holding AS reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 315M TRY (latest available figure, as of Oct 30, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Otto Holding AS (OTTO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Otto Holding AS it is 60.56 TRY per share (as of Oct 30, 2026), against a price of 84.00 TRY. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Otto Holding AS stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 30, 2026, OTTO trades above its calculated fair value: price 84.00 TRY, fair value 60.56 TRY, a gap of about −28% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of OTTO?
No. The price is what the market pays today (84.00 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (60.56 TRY). For Otto Holding AS the two are 23.44 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Otto Holding AS worth?
The market values Otto Holding AS at about 641M TRY (market capitalisation, as of Oct 30, 2026). Per share that is 84.00 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 60.56 TRY per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about OTTO?
Our models span a range for Otto Holding AS: cautious scenario 36.49 TRY, base 60.56 TRY, optimistic 146.08 TRY per share (as of Oct 30, 2026, price 84.00 TRY). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of OTTO?
Otto Holding AS trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 27.1 (as of Oct 30, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 60.56 TRY is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 6.1, P/S 2.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Otto Holding AS (OTTO)?
Balance-sheet figures for Otto Holding AS (as of Oct 30, 2026): return on equity −7.2%, debt of 0.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 57/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is OTTO from its 52-week high?
Otto Holding AS trades at 84.00 TRY, about 84% below its 52-week high of 528.00 TRY and 19% above the low of 70.80 TRY (as of Oct 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 60.56 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Otto Holding AS?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Blackstone Inc, Brookfield Corporation, KKR & Co, Apollo Global Management, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Otto Holding AS stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 30, 2026: price 84.00 TRY, calculated fair value 60.56 TRY (−28%), Quality Score 57/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of OTTO calculated?
We run Otto Holding AS through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 60.56 TRY, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Otto Holding AS itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Otto Holding AS (OTTO)?
The closing price on Oct 28, 2026 was 84.00 TRY. Our model-based fair value is 60.56 TRY, about −28% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Otto Holding AS right now?
The model range is unusually wide (36.49 TRY to 146.08 TRY). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Key figures of Otto Holding AS

How large is the market capitalisation of Otto Holding AS (OTTO)?
The market capitalisation of Otto Holding AS is 641M TRY (≈ $12.8M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Otto Holding AS (OTTO)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Otto Holding AS is 20.8 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Otto Holding AS (OTTO)?
Earnings per share at Otto Holding AS are 3.10 TRY (price ÷ EPS = P/E 27.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Otto Holding AS (OTTO)?
The net margin of Otto Holding AS is 76.8% (fiscal year 2023). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Otto Holding AS (OTTO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Otto Holding AS is −7.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Otto Holding AS (OTTO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Otto Holding AS is 1.6% (avg 3y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Otto Holding AS (OTTO)?
The operating margin of Otto Holding AS is 474% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Otto Holding AS (OTTO)?
Revenue at Otto Holding AS is growing +32.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +385%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Otto Holding AS (OTTO)?
Earnings per share at Otto Holding AS are growing +24.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Otto Holding AS (OTTO) generate?
The free cash flow of Otto Holding AS is −111M TRY (fiscal year 2023). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Otto Holding AS (OTTO) carry?
The net debt of Otto Holding AS is 2.1M TRY (fiscal year 2022). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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