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Prairie Lithium Limited (PLIXF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Prairie Lithium Limited $0.01, price $0.01, upside +33.8%, quality 36 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Basic Materials · US · Home Australia · ISIN AU0000421893

PL Prairie Lithium Limited logo Broad data Sep 24, 2026

Prairie Lithium Limited

PLIXF · US

SpeculativeUpside exists, but weak quality makes the signal speculative.

✓Fair value $0.0080 · Undervalued (+33.8%)
!Quality 36/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue YoY +702.5 %/yr)
!Loss over the last twelve months · -0.2% net margin (TTM) · fiscal year 2025 97.8%
!negative free cash flow
!Moderate moat 48/100

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$0.8972 $0.0013 Fair Value $0.0080 Jan 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0013 – $0.8972 · fair‑value band $0.0067 – $0.0100 · the $0.0060 price screens below the $0.0080 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Prairie Lithium Limited operates as a mineral exploration company in the United States and Canada. The company explores primarily for lithium deposits.

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Prairie Lithium Limited operates as a mineral exploration company in the United States and Canada. The company explores primarily for lithium deposits. It owns 100% interest in the Big Sandy Lithium project that comprises 331 bureau of land management (BLM) claims covering an area of approximately 25 square kilometers located in Arizona, the United States; and the Pairie Lithium project located in the southeast Saskatchewan. The company was formerly known as Arizona Lithium Limited and changed its name to Prairie Lithium Limited in September 2025. Prairie Lithium Limited was incorporated in 1969 and is based in West Perth, Australia.

Stock analysis

Prairie Lithium Limited (PLIXF) currently trades at $0.0060, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0080, implying the stock looks roughly 25.3% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $0.0600 per share, and 13 of the 13 models we run sit above the $0.0060 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $0.0100, and 0 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: $0.0067 (bear) to $0.0100 (bull), the price of $0.0060 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Prairie Lithium Limited reported revenue of A$10.9M in FY2025 versus A$2.6M in FY2008, a compound +8.8%/yr. Reported net income was A$10.7M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $36.3M · P/S ratio 2.55 · Net margin 97.8% · Return on equity 2.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −23.5% · Operating margin 83.0% · Revenue (TTM) A$14.2M · Free cash flow −A$9.4M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 39 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and 82% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 34%, PLIXF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.0067 Fair Value $0.0080 Bull $0.0100
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
ROIC Compounder $0.0100 $0.0200 $0.0200 68
Owner Earnings $0.0200 $0.0400 $0.0800 67
EPV $0.0100 $0.0100 $0.0200 66
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $0.0200 $0.0400 $0.0800 67
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $0.0100 $0.0600 $0.0900 61
Lynch FV $0.0300 $0.0500 $0.0600 59
PEG = 1.0 $0.0300 $0.0500 $0.0600 55
EPV $0.0100 $0.0100 $0.0200 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple $0.0200 $0.0300 $0.0300 63
P/B Multiple $0.0200 $0.0200 $0.0300 55
EV/EBIT $0.0200 $0.0200 $0.0300 63
EV/EBITDA $0.0100 $0.0200 $0.0200 64
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.0100 $0.0100 $0.0100 53
Economic Profit
Residual Income $0.0100 $0.0100 $0.0200 65
ROIC Compounder $0.0100 $0.0200 $0.0200 68
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $0.0400 $0.0600 $0.0800 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 36/100

Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36

Profitability 47
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 88
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 81
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 2
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 12
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 55
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 33
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 44/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+702.5%
Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+19.6%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−496.7% (2007) → 107.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no profitable base year
not computed

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Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Prairie Lithium Limited · Fair Value
$0.0080 +25%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Prairie Lithium Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PLIXF

Frequently asked questions

Is Prairie Lithium Limited (PLIXF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0080 versus a price of $0.0060, about +34% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of PLIXF?
Our model-based fair value for Prairie Lithium Limited is $0.0080 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.0060.
What is the quality score of PLIXF?
Prairie Lithium Limited has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Prairie Lithium Limited (PLIXF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.0080 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.0067, optimistic scenario $0.0100. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Prairie Lithium Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.0080, about +34% upside versus a price of $0.0060 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $0.0067, optimistic scenario $0.0100. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Prairie Lithium Limited (PLIXF)?
Prairie Lithium Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$14.2M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Prairie Lithium Limited (PLIXF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Prairie Lithium Limited it is $0.0080 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $0.0060. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Prairie Lithium Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, PLIXF trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.0060, fair value $0.0080, a gap of about +34% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PLIXF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.0060); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.0080). For Prairie Lithium Limited the two are $0.0020 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Prairie Lithium Limited worth?
The market values Prairie Lithium Limited at about $36.3M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $0.0060; our models calculate a fair value of $0.0080 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PLIXF?
Our models span a range for Prairie Lithium Limited: cautious scenario $0.0067, base $0.0080, optimistic $0.0100 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $0.0060). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is PLIXF from its 52-week high?
Prairie Lithium Limited trades at $0.0060, about 45% below its 52-week high of $0.0109 and 82% above the low of $0.0033 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.0080 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Prairie Lithium Limited?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, Hindustan Zinc Limited, China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Prairie Lithium Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $0.0060, calculated fair value $0.0080 (+34%), Quality Score 36/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PLIXF calculated?
We run Prairie Lithium Limited through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.0080, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Prairie Lithium Limited currently trades 25 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Prairie Lithium Limited (PLIXF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $0.0060. Our model-based fair value is $0.0080, about +34% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Prairie Lithium Limited right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (36/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.0067). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.

Key figures of Prairie Lithium Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of Prairie Lithium Limited (PLIXF)?
The market capitalisation of Prairie Lithium Limited is $36.3M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Prairie Lithium Limited (PLIXF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Prairie Lithium Limited is 2.55 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Prairie Lithium Limited (PLIXF)?
The net margin of Prairie Lithium Limited is 97.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Prairie Lithium Limited (PLIXF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Prairie Lithium Limited is 2.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Prairie Lithium Limited (PLIXF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Prairie Lithium Limited is −23.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Prairie Lithium Limited (PLIXF)?
The operating margin of Prairie Lithium Limited is 83.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How much free cash flow does Prairie Lithium Limited (PLIXF) generate?
The free cash flow of Prairie Lithium Limited is −A$9.4M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Prairie Lithium Limited (PLIXF) hold?
Prairie Lithium Limited holds more cash than debt, A$814K net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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