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Pinetree Capital Ltd (PNP) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · CA · Market cap C$89.6M

PC Pinetree Capital Ltd PNP · TO
PriceC$9.20
Fair ValueC$13.06
Upside+42.0%
Quality48/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (5/10)
Narrow moat 44/100
Evidence: Medium Range C$9.80 – C$16.33 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

Share price −0.4% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 42% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (C$9.80). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (48/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

C$22.58 C$2.66 Fair Value C$13.06 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range C$2.66 – C$22.58 · fair‑value band C$9.80 – C$16.33 · the C$9.20 price screens below the C$13.06 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

Pinetree Capital Ltd (PNP) currently trades at C$9.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$13.06, implying the stock looks roughly 42.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Pinetree Capital Ltd generated revenue of C$12.1M at a net margin of 81.4%. Revenue declined 52.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of C$5.4M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from C$9.80 (bear case) to C$16.33 (bull case); at C$9.20, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 53% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -12% fair-value upside, at 42%, PNP screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
P/E Multiple C$10.27 C$13.69 C$17.12 63
Residual Income C$7.62 C$8.31 C$10.14 61
P/B Multiple C$9.80 C$13.06 C$16.33 55
All 6 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd C$7.16 C$49.95 C$70.09 54
Lynch FV C$25.80 C$36.86 C$47.92 50
Multiples
P/E Multiple C$10.27 C$13.69 C$17.12 63
P/B Multiple C$9.80 C$13.06 C$16.33 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) C$4.67 C$6.25 C$9.33 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income C$7.62 C$8.31 C$10.14 61

Widest divergence: Earnings-Based (C$36.86) versus Asset-Based (C$6.25). Highest evidence: P/E Multiple (63).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) −C$17.4M
Revenue growth (YoY) -52.1%
Return on equity -25.2%
Free cash flow −C$3.9M FY2025
Operating margin 103%
EPS (TTM) C$-2.11
More key figures
EPS growth (YoY) -58.9%
Net cash C$5.4M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33

Profitability 51
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 9
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 80
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 59
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 30
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 9
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Pinetree Capital Ltd. is a venture capital and private equity firm specializing in early, later stage venture, middle market, mature, later stage, turnaround and growth capital investments in micro and small cap companies. The firm prefers to invest in enterprise software, financial and healthcare industries. It typically invests in USA, Canada and Europe.

Full company description

Pinetree Capital Ltd. is a venture capital and private equity firm specializing in early, later stage venture, middle market, mature, later stage, turnaround and growth capital investments in micro and small cap companies. The firm prefers to invest in enterprise software, financial and healthcare industries. It typically invests in USA, Canada and Europe. The firm invests primarily in equities as well as debt and convertible securities. It takes minority stake in companies. It typically holds 8-12 investments, resulting in equity positions between 7% and 12% of assets which might exceed 20%. Pinetree Capital Ltd. was founded in 1992 and is based in Toronto, Canada with an additional office in Toronto, Canada.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Pinetree Capital Ltd reported revenue of C$17.5M in FY2025 versus C$2.3M in FY2021, a compound +66.4%/yr. Reported net income was C$9.9M in FY2025, compounding +61.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 45/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
C$17.5M
Latest YoY
−47.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+103.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+59.3%
Avg. growth/yr (29Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.4%
Revenue +66.4%/yr
FY21 C$2.3M
FY22 C$2.1M
FY23 C$6.6M
FY24 C$33.3M
FY25 C$17.5M
Net income +61.3%/yr
FY21 C$1.5M
FY22 C$1.2M
FY23 C$5.8M
FY24 C$32.3M
FY25 C$9.9M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Pinetree Capital Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PNP

Peer Group

Asset Management · 971 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 47 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +42% · Above median
Return on assets -15% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 103% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -52% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.73× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 5.6× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 89 · sector 37
FUTURE 0 · sector 6
PAST 0 · sector 26
HEALTH 100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 69

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Fondul Proprietatea SA FP $0.0420 $0.0800 +90%
BlackRock, Inc BLK $1,136 $465.75 -59%
Blackstone Inc BX $124.56 $16.35 -87%
Investor AB INVEB kr 423.70 kr 847.40 +100%
Brookfield Corporation BN C$62.45 C$10.12 -84%
KKR & Co KKR $100.94 $44.88 -56%
AB Industrivärden INDUA kr 532.50 kr 1,065 +100%
Jio Financial Services Limited JIOFIN ₹242.98 ₹40.19 -83%
Hedef Holding HEDEF 267.25 TRY 320.98 TRY +20%
Bajaj Holdings BAJAJHLDNG ₹10,398 ₹9,202 -12%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Pinetree Capital Ltd (PNP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$13.06 versus a price of C$9.20, about +42% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of PNP?
Our model-based fair value for Pinetree Capital Ltd is C$13.06 (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is C$9.20.
What is the quality score of PNP?
Pinetree Capital Ltd has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Pinetree Capital Ltd (PNP)?
Pinetree Capital Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$12.1M (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of PNP?
The net profit margin of Pinetree Capital Ltd is about 81.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 81.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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