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Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (PPRQF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust $4.10, price $10.32, upside -60.3%, quality 47 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? No
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Thin data
Oct 2, 2026
Thin data
Oct 2, 2026
Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust
PPRQF · USWeakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.
!Fair value $4.10 · Strongly overvalued (−60.3%)
!Quality 47/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +2.2 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -3.4% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
✓7.5% dividend yield · Cash covered
!Narrow moat 36/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!The models disagree: range $4.10 to $9.28
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $4.29 – $11.81 · fair‑value band $4.10 – $9.28 · the $10.32 price screens above the $4.10 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
Company profile
Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust is Canada's largest Real Estate Investment Trust, guided by a clear purpose: to create places where people thrive. This is how we build enduring value. As a national owner, operator, and developer of high-quality commercial and residential real estate, we go beyond managing assets.
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Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust is Canada's largest Real Estate Investment Trust, guided by a clear purpose: to create places where people thrive. This is how we build enduring value. As a national owner, operator, and developer of high-quality commercial and residential real estate, we go beyond managing assets. We create spaces that strengthen how tenants and communities live, work, and connect. Our strategy is grounded in industry leadership across sustainability, community engagement, and social impact, embedded throughout our business. Our core values of Care, Ownership, Respect and Excellence guide our actions and decisions, shaping how we operate, build, and grow. Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust was established on May 21, 2013 incorporated in Ontario, Canada.
Stock analysis
Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (PPRQF) currently trades at $10.32, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.10, 60.3% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of $7.37 per share, and 2 of the 11 models we run sit above the $10.32 price.
Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at $1.21, and 9 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $4.10 (bear) to $9.28 (bull), the price of $10.32 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust reported revenue of C$1.4B in FY2025 versus C$1.3B in FY2021, a compound +2.4%/yr. Reported net income was −C$61.1M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $8.4B · P/S ratio 5.53 · EPS (TTM) $−0.0500 · Dividend yield 7.5% · Net margin −4.3% · Return on equity −1.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.2% · Operating margin 68.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −24% fair-value upside, at −60%, PPRQF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $4.10
Fair Value $4.10
Bull $9.28
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
$4.68
$13.38
$25.81
75
Growth DCF
$5.01
$12.79
$23.29
74
5Y EBITDA Exit
n/a
$3.33
$8.85
72
All 12 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
$4.68
$13.38
$25.81
75
5Y Revenue Exit
n/a
$1.08
>$4.32
69
5Y EBITDA Exit
n/a
$3.33
$8.85
72
10Y Revenue Exit
n/a
$3.79
$8.83
64
10Y EBITDA Exit
$0.6000
$5.30
$11.06
61
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
$4.72
$9.41
$14.25
67
DDM Multi-Stage
$4.72
$7.37
$9.93
66
Multiples
EV/EBIT
n/a
$2.27
$6.17
61
EV/EBITDA
n/a
n/a
$1.84
62
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$4.90
$6.57
$9.80
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$5.01
$12.79
$23.29
74
Rev-Margin DCF
n/a
$1.21
>$4.84
69
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
47/100
Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47
Profitability
8
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
27
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
90
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
15
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
69
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
40
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
44
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
61
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
100
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
39/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +6.7% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.3%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
71.8% (2019) → 66.4% (2024)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+13.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+17.1%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in CAD, Canada: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +11.4% a year for the price and +14.6% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+15.1%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+21.2%
Projected 2028 (sales)+18.8%
Projected 2029 (sales)+16.4%
Projected 2030 (sales)+14.0%
PPRQF screens overvalued: fair value 60% below the price. Compare with Simon Property Group →
Earlier news
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (92 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.
Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
- Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust Completes Issuance of $300 million of Series Y Senior Unsecured Debentures
- Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust Announces Issuance of $300 million of Series Y Senior Unsecured Debentures
- Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust Declares Cash Distribution for the Month of September, 2026
- Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust's Dividend Analysis
Compare Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.REIT - Retail · 91 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs REIT - Retail median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Real Estate sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Real Estate
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more REIT - Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Simon Property Group SPG | $200.76 | $114.08 | −43% |
| Realty Income Corporation O | $55.35 | $87.76 | +59% |
| Kimco Realty Corporation KIM | $22.49 | $17.46 | −22% |
| Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE URW | €91.72 | €70.12 | −24% |
| CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (CICT or the Trust) C38U | 2.24 SGD | 1.38 SGD | −38% |
| Regency Centers Corporation REG | $73.23 | $38.95 | −47% |
| Scentre Group SCG | A$3.35 | A$3.49 | +4% |
| Link Real Estate Investment Trust (Link REIT) 0823 | HK$37.02 | HK$38.68 | +4% |
| Federal Realty Investment Trust FRT | $108.29 | $40.55 | −63% |
| Brixmor Property Group BRX | $28.07 | $18.82 | −33% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (PPRQF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $4.10 versus a price of $10.32, about −60% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PPRQF?
Our model-based fair value for Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust is $4.10 (as of Oct 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $10.32.
What is the quality score of PPRQF?
Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (PPRQF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $4.10 (as of Oct 2, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario $4.10, optimistic scenario $9.28. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $4.10, about −60% upside versus a price of $10.32 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $4.10, optimistic scenario $9.28. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (PPRQF)?
Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$1.5B (latest available figure, as of Oct 2, 2026).
Does Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust pay a dividend?
Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust currently shows a dividend yield of about 7.46% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 2, 2026).
What growth is priced into Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (PPRQF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust would have to grow free cash flow by +13.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +2.2 % per year. As of Oct 2, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of PPRQF use?
Our models discount Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust at 9.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.78, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust that is +13.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (PPRQF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust grew +2.2 % a year. The price currently implies +13.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (PPRQF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (+13.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (PPRQF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 6.89 %: that much free cash flow Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (PPRQF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust it is $4.10 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026), against a price of $10.32. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 2, 2026, PPRQF trades above its calculated fair value: price $10.32, fair value $4.10, a gap of about −60% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PPRQF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($10.32); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($4.10). For Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust the two are $6.22 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust worth?
The market values Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust at about $8.4B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 2, 2026). Per share that is $10.32; our models calculate a fair value of $4.10 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PPRQF?
Our models span a range for Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust: cautious scenario $4.10, base $4.10, optimistic $9.28 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026, price $10.32). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (PPRQF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (as of Oct 2, 2026): return on equity −1.1%, debt of 1.38 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 47/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PPRQF from its 52-week high?
Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust trades at $10.32, about 13% below its 52-week high of $11.81 and 3% above the low of $10.06 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $4.10 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Simon Property Group, Realty Income Corporation, Kimco Realty Corporation, Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 2, 2026: price $10.32, calculated fair value $4.10 (−60%), Quality Score 47/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PPRQF calculated?
We run Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust through 12 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $4.10, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (PPRQF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $10.32. Our model-based fair value is $4.10, about −60% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($9.28). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($4.10 to $9.28) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust
How large is the market capitalisation of Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (PPRQF)?
The market capitalisation of Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust is $8.4B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (PPRQF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust is 5.53 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (PPRQF)?
Earnings per share at Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust are $−0.0500. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (PPRQF)?
The dividend yield of Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust is 7.5%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (PPRQF)?
The net margin of Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust is −4.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (PPRQF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust is −1.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (PPRQF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust is 5.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (PPRQF)?
The operating margin of Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust is 68.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (PPRQF)?
Revenue at Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust is growing +3.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +3.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (PPRQF)?
Earnings per share at Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust are growing −4.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (PPRQF) carry?
The net debt of Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust is C$6.7B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 12.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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