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Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE (UNBLF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE $91.08, price $97.46, upside -6.6%, quality 55 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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UR
Some data
Oct 3, 2026
Some data
Oct 3, 2026
Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE
UNBLF · USNeutralThe stock looks roughly fairly valued with average quality.
·Fair value $91.08 · Fairly valued (−6.6%)
!Quality 55/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +25.2 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 35.8% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
✓4.6% dividend yield · Well covered
!Moderate moat 61/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!The models disagree: range $63.62 to $193.78
What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $30.22 – $165.55 · fair‑value band $63.62 – $193.78 · the $97.46 price screens above the $91.08 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
Company profile
Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE (URW) operates vibrant retail-anchored destinations in many of the world's best cities and urban areas. This powerful network attracts over 900 million customer visits annually, supports the growth of major retailers, and makes a significant social and economic contribution to local communities.
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Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE (URW) operates vibrant retail-anchored destinations in many of the world's best cities and urban areas. This powerful network attracts over 900 million customer visits annually, supports the growth of major retailers, and makes a significant social and economic contribution to local communities. This network includes 66 owned shopping centres in the US and Europe that represent around 88% of the Group's 49 Bn pounds asset portfolio " with 41 centres operating under the iconic Westfield brand. URW also has partners who operate Westfield-branded destinations in fast-growing new markets. Through its Platform for Growth business plan, URW is generating organic growth, leveraging the power of the Westfield brand, and unlocking capital light growth opportunities to generate compelling shareholder returns. This is supported by the Group's (Better Places) sustainability roadmap, which has established URW as a leader in the real estate industry and one of the 100 most sustainable companies in the world. Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE was incorporated in July 23rd, 1968 in France.
Stock analysis
Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE (UNBLF) currently trades at $97.46, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $91.08, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 7.0%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $168.13 per share, and 9 of the 14 models we run sit above the $97.46 price.
Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at $60.80, and 5 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $63.62 (bear) to $193.78 (bull), the price of $97.46 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE reported revenue of €3.1B in FY2025 versus €1.9B in FY2021, a compound +11.9%/yr. Reported net income was €1.3B in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $17.0B · P/E ratio 9.7 · P/S ratio 4.04 · EPS (TTM) $10.00 · Dividend yield 4.6% · Net margin 41.5% · Return on equity 7.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −22% fair-value upside, at −7%, UNBLF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $63.62
Fair Value $91.08
Bull $193.78
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($4.16 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income
$112.64
$118.62
$131.40
76
FCF DCF
$27.22
$131.86
$296.78
72
Growth DCF
$29.16
$119.84
$252.86
71
All 14 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
$27.22
$131.86
$296.78
72
5Y Revenue Exit
n/a
$64.75
$161.51
69
5Y EBITDA Exit
$66.91
$213.82
$388.54
70
10Y Revenue Exit
n/a
$70.73
$170.45
64
10Y EBITDA Exit
$51.17
$175.58
$347.67
63
Multiples
P/S Multiple
$116.27
$155.03
$193.78
58
P/B Multiple
$126.10
$168.13
$210.16
55
EV/EBIT
$185.98
$295.64
$405.31
64
EV/EBITDA
$113.84
$199.46
$285.08
65
EV/Revenue
n/a
$23.93
$74.01
50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$69.02
$92.49
$138.05
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$29.16
$119.84
$252.86
71
Rev-Margin DCF
n/a
$60.80
$144.23
69
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$112.64
$118.62
$131.40
76
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
55/100
Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47
Profitability
35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
58
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
77
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
30
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
35
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
46
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
62
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
59
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−6.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+25.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +4.5% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.8%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
≈ +6.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+2.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.6%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.2.1% vs −9.4%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−700% → 84%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Approximate: the rate leans on 2025, which sits 653% above its own trend.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+16.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
−1.3%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in EUR, euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +14.3% a year for the price and −3.4% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)−10.5%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+0.9%
Projected 2028 (sales)+1.1%
Projected 2029 (sales)+1.2%
Projected 2030 (sales)+1.3%
Watch UNBLF, get fair value alerts →
Earlier news
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (100 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.
Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
- Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield (UNBLF) (H1 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Record Low Vacancy and ...
- UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD REPORTS H1-2026 EARNINGS
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Context: sector, industry, market
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more REIT - Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Simon Property Group SPG | $200.76 | $114.08 | −43% |
| Realty Income Corporation O | $55.35 | $87.76 | +59% |
| Kimco Realty Corporation KIM | $22.49 | $17.46 | −22% |
| CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (CICT or the Trust) C38U | 2.24 SGD | 1.38 SGD | −38% |
| Regency Centers Corporation REG | $73.23 | $38.95 | −47% |
| Scentre Group SCG | A$3.35 | A$3.49 | +4% |
| Link Real Estate Investment Trust (Link REIT) 0823 | HK$37.02 | HK$38.68 | +4% |
| Federal Realty Investment Trust FRT | $108.29 | $40.55 | −63% |
| Brixmor Property Group BRX | $28.07 | $18.82 | −33% |
| Agree Realty Corporation ADC | $66.81 | $99.94 | +50% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE (UNBLF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $91.08 versus a price of $97.46, about −7% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of UNBLF?
Our model-based fair value for Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE is $91.08 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $97.46.
What is the quality score of UNBLF?
Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE (UNBLF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $91.08 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario $63.62, optimistic scenario $193.78. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $91.08, about −7% upside versus a price of $97.46 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $63.62, optimistic scenario $193.78. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE (UNBLF)?
Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €3.5B (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
Does Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE pay a dividend?
Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.62% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 3, 2026).
What growth is priced into Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE (UNBLF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE would have to grow free cash flow by +16.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +25.2 % per year. As of Oct 3, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of UNBLF use?
Our models discount Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE at 10.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 1.39, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE that is +16.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE (UNBLF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE grew +25.2 % a year. The price currently implies +16.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE (UNBLF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE (+16.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE (UNBLF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 9.14 %: that much free cash flow Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE (UNBLF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE it is $91.08 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of $97.46. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, UNBLF trades above its calculated fair value: price $97.46, fair value $91.08, a gap of about −7% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of UNBLF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($97.46); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($91.08). For Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE the two are $6.38 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE worth?
The market values Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE at about $17.0B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is $97.46; our models calculate a fair value of $91.08 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about UNBLF?
Our models span a range for Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE: cautious scenario $63.62, base $91.08, optimistic $193.78 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price $97.46). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is UNBLF from its 52-week high?
Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE trades at $97.46, about 21% below its 52-week high of $123.90 and 1% above the low of $96.51 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $91.08 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Simon Property Group, Realty Income Corporation, Kimco Realty Corporation, CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (CICT or the Trust), among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price $97.46, calculated fair value $91.08 (−7%), Quality Score 55/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of UNBLF calculated?
We run Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $91.08, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE (UNBLF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $97.46. Our model-based fair value is $91.08, about −7% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE right now?
The model range is unusually wide ($63.62 to $193.78). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Where does the earnings growth of Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE (UNBLF) come from?
Earnings per share at Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE grew −14.1 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +1.4 %, EBIT margin −11.1 %, tax rate −1.9 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −2.8 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE
How large is the market capitalisation of Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE (UNBLF)?
The market capitalisation of Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE is $17.0B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE (UNBLF)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE is 9.7. Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE (UNBLF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE is 4.04 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE (UNBLF)?
Earnings per share at Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE are $10.00 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 9.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE (UNBLF)?
The dividend yield of Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE is 4.6% (payout 45.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE (UNBLF)?
The net margin of Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE is 41.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE (UNBLF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE is 7.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE (UNBLF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE is 1.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE (UNBLF)?
The operating margin of Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE is 62.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE (UNBLF)?
Revenue at Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE is growing −3.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE (UNBLF)?
Earnings per share at Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE are growing +638% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE (UNBLF) carry?
The net debt of Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE is €20.0B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 17.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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