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PROG Holdings (PRG) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $1.5B

PH PROG Holdings logo PROG Holdings PRG · US
Price$43.41
Fair Value$47.63
Upside+9.7%
Quality95/100
Evidence: High Range $35.72 – $67.74

Fair value as of: Jun 26, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Share price +25.3% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$43.43 $24.44 Fair Value $47.63 Jun 2025 Jun 2026

12‑month range $24.44 – $43.43 · fair‑value band $35.72 – $67.74 · the $43.41 price screens below the $47.63 fair value. As of Jun 26, 2026.

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Analysis

PROG Holdings (PRG) currently trades at $43.41, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $47.63 — implying the stock looks roughly 9.7% undervalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high) — always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, PROG Holdings generated revenue of $2.5B at a net margin of 6.0%. Revenue grew 11.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 17.6%. Net debt stands at $301M. Fundamentals as of Jun 26, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $2.5B
Revenue growth (YoY) +11.1%
Net margin 6.0%
Return on equity 17.6%
Free cash flow $325M FY2025
P/E ratio 9.8
More key figures
Operating margin 14.7%
EPS (TTM) $3.93
Dividend yield 1.4%
EPS growth (YoY) +6.4%
Net debt $301M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

PROG Holdings, Inc., a financial technology holding company, provides payment options to consumers in the United States. The company operates through two segments: Progressive Leasing and Four. It owns Progressive Leasing, an in-store, app-based, and e-commerce point-of-sale lease-to-own solutions provider; and Four, which enables consumers of all credit backgrounds to pay for purchases over time through short-term, interest-free instalment buy-now-pay-later BNPL plans. The company offers Purchasing Power, that provides these underserved customers with alternatives to traditional financing options. The company was formerly known as Aaron's Holdings Company, Inc. and changed its name to PROG Holdings, Inc. in December 2020. PROG Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1955 and is based in Draper, Utah.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

PROG Holdings reported revenue of $2.4B in FY2025 versus $2.7B in FY2021, a compound −2.6%/yr. Reported net income was $147M in FY2025, compounding −11.9%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue −2.6%/yr
FY21 $2.7B
FY22 $2.6B
FY23 $2.4B
FY24 $2.5B
FY25 $2.4B
Net income −11.9%/yr
FY21 $244M
FY22 $98.7M
FY23 $139M
FY24 $197M
FY25 $147M

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Frequently asked questions

Is PROG Holdings (PRG) undervalued?
As of Jun 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $47.63 versus a price of $43.41 — about +10% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of PRG?
Our 21-model fair value for PROG Holdings is $47.63 (as of Jun 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $43.41.
What is the quality score of PRG?
PROG Holdings has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of PROG Holdings (PRG)?
PROG Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.5B (latest available figure, as of Jun 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of PRG?
The net profit margin of PROG Holdings is about 6.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does PROG Holdings pay a dividend?
PROG Holdings currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.41% relative to its recent price (as of Jun 26, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.