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Quantum Graphite Ltd (QGL) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 10, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Quantum Graphite Ltd stock A$0.18, price A$0.40, that is 54.9% below the price, quality 38 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

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Basic Materials AU · ISIN AU000000QGL3

QG Quantum Graphite Ltd logo Thin data Nov 10, 2026

Quantum Graphite Ltd

QGL · AU
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 55% below what the stock costs today.

Moderate debt
Revenue last quarter 84% below a year ago.
Fair value A$0.1806 · Strongly overvalued
Quality 38/100
Weak Growth (revenue 3y −99.3 %/yr in AUD)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/6)
Narrow moat 8/100 · thin data
Thin data
⟳ CyclicalEstimate
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$0.7400 A$0.0510 Fair Value A$0.1806 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0510 – A$0.7400 · fair‑value band A$0.1355 – A$0.2258 · the A$0.4000 price screens above the A$0.1806 fair value. As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

Quantum Graphite Limited engages in the exploration, mining, processing, and manufacture of flake graphite products in Australia. It also offers Li-ion electrical based batteries and long duration deep energy storage batteries utilizing thermal energy storage technologies.

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The company was formerly known as Valence Industries Limited and changed its name to Quantum Graphite Limited in November 2016. Quantum Graphite Limited was incorporated in 1986 and is headquartered in Melbourne, Australia.

Stock analysis

Quantum Graphite Ltd (QGL) currently trades at A$0.4000, while our estimate is A$0.1806, 55% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: A$0.1355 (bear) to A$0.2258 (bull), the price of A$0.4000 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Quantum Graphite Ltd reported revenue of A$0 in FY2025 versus A$0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −A$4.5M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap A$141M (≈ $97.1M) Micro · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0100 · Return on equity −34.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −20.3% (5-year average) · Operating margin −599% · Revenue (TTM) A$298K · Revenue growth (YoY) −83.7% · Free cash flow −A$3.3M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 8 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 43% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at −55%, QGL screens richer than that median.

Fair Value

Bear A$0.1355 Fair Value A$0.1806 Bull A$0.2258
Price A$0.4000 · Downside -54.9%
Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 38/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 0
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 57
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 16
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 41
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 95
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 46
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 35
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 42
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 62
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−95.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−99.3%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−2,959.8% (2014) → −4,392,666,666.7% (2017)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

QGL screens overvalued: fair value 55% below the price. Compare with BHP Group →

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Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 577 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/5 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 38 · Above median
Fair Value upside −54.9% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −20.2% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −83.7% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.94× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/B 12.57× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 4
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 45
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)53 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 33

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Vedanta Limited VEDL ₹262.00 ₹334.17 +28% vs QGL
Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 57.00 SAR 64.24 SAR +13% vs QGL
Western Mining Co 601168 ¥28.25 ¥30.98 +10% vs QGL
Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹575.95 ₹624.91 +9% vs QGL
Boliden AB BOL kr 515.20 kr 464.45 −10% vs QGL
BHP Group BHP A$60.39 A$47.47 −21% vs QGL
Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt Co 603799 ¥32.69 ¥25.57 −22% vs QGL
Korea Zinc Company 010130 967,000 KRW 649,125 KRW −33% vs QGL
CMOC Group 603993 ¥13.71 ¥6.82 −50% vs QGL
China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 ¥40.90 ¥4.44 −89% vs QGL

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Quantum Graphite Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Quantum Graphite Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/QGL

Frequently asked questions

Is Quantum Graphite Ltd (QGL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our estimate of fair value is A$0.1806 versus a price of A$0.4000, about 55% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of QGL?
Our estimate for Quantum Graphite Ltd is A$0.1806 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.4000.
What is the quality score of QGL?
Quantum Graphite Ltd has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Quantum Graphite Ltd (QGL)?
Our calculated price target is the estimate of A$0.1806 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Cautious scenario A$0.1355, optimistic scenario A$0.2258. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.
What is the Quantum Graphite Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our estimate puts fair value at A$0.1806, about 55% lower versus a price of A$0.4000 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.1355, optimistic scenario A$0.2258. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Quantum Graphite Ltd (QGL)?
Quantum Graphite Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$298K (latest available figure, as of Nov 10, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Quantum Graphite Ltd (QGL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Quantum Graphite Ltd it is A$0.1806 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of A$0.4000.
Is Quantum Graphite Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, QGL trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.4000, fair value A$0.1806, a gap of about −55% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of QGL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.4000); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.1806). For Quantum Graphite Ltd the two are A$0.2194 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Quantum Graphite Ltd worth?
The market values Quantum Graphite Ltd at about A$141M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is A$0.4000; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.1806 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about QGL?
Our models span a range for Quantum Graphite Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.1355, base A$0.1806, optimistic A$0.2258 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price A$0.4000). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Quantum Graphite Ltd (QGL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Quantum Graphite Ltd (as of Nov 10, 2026): return on equity −34.7%, debt of 0.94 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 38/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is QGL from its 52-week high?
Quantum Graphite Ltd trades at A$0.4000, about 15% below its 52-week high of A$0.4700 and 43% above the low of A$0.2800 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.1806 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Quantum Graphite Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value BHP Group, Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, Hindustan Zinc Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Quantum Graphite Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price A$0.4000, calculated fair value A$0.1806 (−55%), Quality Score 38/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.1% above its aggregate fair value. Quantum Graphite Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Quantum Graphite Ltd (QGL)?
The closing price on Nov 10, 2026 was A$0.4000. Our estimate is A$0.1806, about 55% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Quantum Graphite Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.2258). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (38/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Quantum Graphite Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Quantum Graphite Ltd (QGL)?
The market capitalisation of Quantum Graphite Ltd is A$141M (≈ $97.1M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Quantum Graphite Ltd (QGL)?
Earnings per share at Quantum Graphite Ltd are A$−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Quantum Graphite Ltd (QGL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Quantum Graphite Ltd is −34.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Quantum Graphite Ltd (QGL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Quantum Graphite Ltd is −20.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Quantum Graphite Ltd (QGL)?
The operating margin of Quantum Graphite Ltd is −599% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Quantum Graphite Ltd (QGL)?
Revenue at Quantum Graphite Ltd is growing −83.7% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Quantum Graphite Ltd (QGL) generate?
The free cash flow of Quantum Graphite Ltd is −A$3.3M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Quantum Graphite Ltd (QGL) carry?
The net debt of Quantum Graphite Ltd is A$10.3M (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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