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Railcare Group (RAIL) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · SE · Market cap 868M SEK

RG Railcare Group RAIL · ST
Pricekr 35.60
Fair Valuekr 34.65
Upside-2.7%
Quality95/100
Evidence: High Range kr 25.99 – kr 43.31

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 5 days ago

Share price +1.1% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

kr 36.00 kr 24.99 Fair Value kr 34.65 Jun 2025 Jun 2026

12‑month range kr 24.99 – kr 36.00 · fair‑value band kr 25.99 – kr 43.31 · the kr 35.60 price screens above the kr 34.65 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Railcare Group (RAIL) currently trades at kr 35.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 34.65 — implying the stock looks roughly 2.7% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Railcare Group generated revenue of 714M SEK at a net margin of 6.5%. Revenue grew 19.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.0%. Net debt stands at 877M SEK. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 714M SEK
Revenue growth (YoY) +19.2%
Net margin 6.5%
Return on equity 15.0%
Free cash flow 125M SEK FY2025
P/E ratio 18.8
More key figures
Operating margin 12.3%
EPS (TTM) kr 1.91
Dividend yield 2.0%
EPS growth (YoY) +137%
Net debt 877M SEK FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Railcare Group AB (publ) provides railway maintenance services in Sweden. It operates through Contracting, Transport, and Technology segments. The company offers railvac, ballast feeder, snow, and custom-built machines; and transport services, including freight, special, and contractor transport services. It also provides work shop services for extending service life of locomotives and machines, electric and battery power, ETCS and radio control, maintenance and overhaul, and automation and installation. In addition, the company offers contracting services for ballast replacement in switches, bridges, and straight tracks; cable management; drainage measures and culvert renovation; vegetation removal; and snow clearence. Railcare Group AB (publ) was founded in 1992 and is based in Skelleftehamn, Sweden.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Railcare Group reported revenue of kr 668M in FY2025 versus kr 438M in FY2021, a compound +11.1%/yr. Reported net income was kr 39.8M in FY2025, compounding −0.4%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +11.1%/yr
FY21 kr 438M
FY22 kr 497M
FY23 kr 564M
FY24 kr 635M
FY25 kr 668M
Net income −0.4%/yr
FY21 kr 40.5M
FY22 kr 36.8M
FY23 kr 43.6M
FY24 kr 30.4M
FY25 kr 39.8M

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Similar stocks

6 more Railroads stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Union Pacific Corporation UNP 4,617 MXN 1,568 MXN -66%
CSX Corporation CSX $46.23 $10.82 -77%
Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited CP $85.67 $49.10 -43%
Canadian National Railway Company CNI $119.18 $63.51 -47%
Norfolk Southern Corporation NSC $304.17 $117.62 -61%
Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation WAB $276.75 $144.80 -48%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Railcare Group (RAIL) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 34.65 versus a price of kr 35.60 — about −3% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of RAIL?
Our 21-model fair value for Railcare Group is kr 34.65 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is kr 35.60.
What is the quality score of RAIL?
Railcare Group has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Railcare Group (RAIL)?
Railcare Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 714M SEK (latest available figure, as of Jun 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of RAIL?
The net profit margin of Railcare Group is about 6.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Railcare Group pay a dividend?
Railcare Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.96% relative to its recent price (as of Jun 24, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.