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RFA Financial Inc (RFAFF) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · US · Market cap $812M

Price$18.43
Fair Value$3.66
Upside-80.1%
Quality91/100
Evidence: Low Range $0.7300 – $9.45

Analysis

RFA Financial Inc (RFAFF) currently trades at $18.43, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.66 — implying the stock looks roughly 80.1% overvalued today. We read business quality at 91/100 (high quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

About the company

RFA Financial Inc. is a diversified commercial real estate investment trust and is an unincorporated closed-end real estate investment trust, created under, and governed by, the laws of the Province of Manitoba. The REIT was created pursuant to the Declaration of Trust dated November 8, 2004, as most recently amended and restated on December 19, 2021. Certain of the REIT's securities are listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange. The REIT's common units trade under the symbol AX.UN and the REIT's preferred units trade under the symbols AX.PR.E and AX.PR.I. The REIT's common units also trade in the United States on the OTCQX Best Market, under the symbol ARESF. As at November 14, 2025, there were 95,966,473 common units, 7,108,165 preferred units, 736,465 restricted units and 591,279 deferred units of Artis outstanding. RFA Financial Inc. was founded in 2004 and is based in Winnipeg, Canada.

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.