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Senvest Capital Inc (SEC) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · CA · Market cap C$968M

SC Senvest Capital Inc SEC · TO
PriceC$430.00
Fair ValueC$800.00
Upside+86.1%
Quality63/100
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Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 32.1% net margin
generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (10/11)
Wide moat 84/100
Evidence: High Range C$600.00 – C$1,000 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 10 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Share price +8.9% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 86% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (C$600.00). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (63/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

C$430.00 C$279.00 Fair Value C$800.00 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range C$279.00 – C$430.00 · fair‑value band C$600.00 – C$1,000 · the C$430.00 price screens below the C$800.00 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Senvest Capital Inc (SEC) currently trades at C$430.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$800.00, implying the stock looks roughly 86.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Senvest Capital Inc generated revenue of C$1.3B at a net margin of 32.1%. Revenue declined 36.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 23.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of C$103M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from C$600.00 (bear case) to C$1,000 (bull case); at C$430.00, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 43% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -12% fair-value upside, at 86%, SEC screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income C$656.29 C$676.24 C$679.45 76
Growth DCF C$1,793 C$3,067 C$5,069 72
Rev-Margin DCF C$973.14 C$1,438 C$2,343 67
All 10 models by family
DCF Models
5Y P/E Exit C$1,059 C$1,926 C$3,042 38
10Y P/E Exit C$1,352 C$2,367 C$3,889 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd C$419.33 C$2,924 C$4,104 54
Lynch FV C$1,511 C$2,158 C$2,806 50
Multiples
P/E Multiple C$601.25 C$801.67 C$1,002 63
P/B Multiple C$786.25 C$1,048 C$1,310 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) C$428.50 C$574.18 C$856.99 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF C$1,793 C$3,067 C$5,069 72
Rev-Margin DCF C$973.14 C$1,438 C$2,343 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income C$656.29 C$676.24 C$679.45 76

Widest divergence: Earnings-Based (C$2,158) versus Asset-Based (C$574.18). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) C$1.3B
Revenue growth (YoY) -36.7%
Net margin 32.1%
Return on equity 23.1%
Free cash flow C$332M FY2025
P/E ratio 2.3
More key figures
Operating margin 128%
EPS (TTM) C$177.41
EPS growth (YoY) -22.6%
Net cash C$103M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 74

Profitability 37
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 18
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 41
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 80
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 87
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 61
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 80
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 91
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Senvest Capital Inc. is a privately owned hedge fund sponsor. It was founded in 1968 and is headquartered in Montreal, Quebec, Canada.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Senvest Capital Inc reported revenue of C$600M in FY2025 versus C$1.1B in FY2021, a compound −13.1%/yr. Reported net income was C$149M in FY2025, compounding −32.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 75/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
C$600M
Latest YoY
−37.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+9.9%
Avg. growth/yr (29Y)
+13.5%
Revenue −13.1%/yr
FY21 C$1.1B
FY22 −C$228M
FY23 C$432M
FY24 C$965M
FY25 C$600M
Net income −32.8%/yr
FY21 C$733M
FY22 −C$326M
FY23 C$83.6M
FY24 C$258M
FY25 C$149M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Senvest Capital Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SEC

Peer Group

Asset Management · 973 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 64 · Above median
Fair Value upside +86% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 23% · Top 25%
Return on assets 14% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 32% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 128% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -37% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 2.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.33× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.52× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 2.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 37
FUTURE 0 · sector 6
PAST 92 · sector 26
HEALTH 0 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 69

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Fondul Proprietatea SA FP $0.0420 $0.0800 +90%
BlackRock, Inc BLK $1,136 $465.75 -59%
Blackstone Inc BX $124.56 $16.35 -87%
Investor AB INVEB kr 423.70 kr 847.40 +100%
Brookfield Corporation BN C$62.45 C$10.12 -84%
KKR & Co KKR $100.94 $44.88 -56%
AB Industrivärden INDUA kr 532.50 kr 1,065 +100%
Jio Financial Services Limited JIOFIN ₹242.98 ₹40.19 -83%
Hedef Holding HEDEF 267.25 TRY 320.98 TRY +20%
Bajaj Holdings BAJAJHLDNG ₹10,398 ₹9,202 -12%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Senvest Capital Inc (SEC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$800.00 versus a price of C$430.00, about +86% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SEC?
Our model-based fair value for Senvest Capital Inc is C$800.00 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is C$430.00.
What is the quality score of SEC?
Senvest Capital Inc has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Senvest Capital Inc (SEC)?
Senvest Capital Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$1.3B (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SEC?
The net profit margin of Senvest Capital Inc is about 32.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 32.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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