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SES AI Corporation (SES) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $397M

SA SES AI Corporation logo SES AI Corporation SES · US
Price$0.9051
Fair Value$0.4900
Upside-45.9%
Quality95/100
Evidence: Low Range $0.3200 – $0.6100

Fair value as of: Jun 25, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 4 days ago

Fair value updated Jun 25, 2026 — revised from $2.64 to $0.4900 (−81.4%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −27.1% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$3.35 $0.7994 Fair Value $0.4900 Jun 2025 Jun 2026

12‑month range $0.7994 – $3.35 · fair‑value band $0.3200 – $0.6100 · the $0.9051 price screens above the $0.4900 fair value. As of Jun 25, 2026.

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Analysis

SES AI Corporation (SES) currently trades at $0.9051, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.4900 — implying the stock looks roughly 45.9% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $21.9M. Revenue grew 15.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -30.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $20.6M. Fundamentals as of Jun 25, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $21.9M
Revenue growth (YoY) +15.8%
Return on equity -30.7%
Free cash flow −$61.2M FY2025
Operating margin -266%
EPS (TTM) $-0.2200
More key figures
Net cash $20.6M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

SES AI Corporation develops and produces AI enhanced lithium metal and lithium-ion rechargeable battery technologies for electric vehicles, urban air mobility, drones, robotics, battery energy storage systems, and other applications. It manufactures and sells residential and commercial ESS systems, li-ion, li metal battery cells and battery materials, such as electrolytes for automotive original equipment manufacturers and others. The company operates in the United States and the Asia Pacific regions. SES AI Corporation was founded in 2012 and is headquartered in Woburn, Massachusetts.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

SES AI Corporation reported revenue of $21.0M in FY2025 versus $0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −$73.0M in FY2025.

Revenue
FY21 $0
FY22 $0
FY23 $0
FY24 $2.0M
FY25 $21.0M
Net income
FY21 −$31.3M
FY22 −$51.0M
FY23 −$53.4M
FY24 −$100M
FY25 −$73.0M

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Frequently asked questions

Is SES AI Corporation (SES) undervalued?
As of Jun 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.4900 versus a price of $0.9051 — about −46% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of SES?
Our 21-model fair value for SES AI Corporation is $0.4900 (as of Jun 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.9051.
What is the quality score of SES?
SES AI Corporation has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of SES AI Corporation (SES)?
SES AI Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $21.9M (latest available figure, as of Jun 25, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SES?
The net profit margin of SES AI Corporation is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.