SES AI Corporation (SES) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $397M
SES AI Corporation
SES · US
Fair value as of: Jul 25, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 16 days ago
Share price −31.6% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 13% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A fairly wide model range ($0.3200 to $0.6100) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.2700 – $11.14 · fair‑value band $0.3200 – $0.6100 · the $0.5621 price screens above the $0.4900 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.
Analysis
SES AI Corporation (SES) currently trades at $0.5621, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.4900, implying the stock looks roughly 12.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $21.9M. Revenue grew 15.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -30.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $20.6M. Fundamentals as of Jul 25, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.3200 (bear case) to $0.6100 (bull case); at $0.5621, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at -13%, SES screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 12
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
SES AI Corporation develops and produces AI enhanced lithium metal and lithium-ion rechargeable battery technologies for electric vehicles, urban air mobility, drones, robotics, battery energy storage systems, and other applications.
Full company description
SES AI Corporation develops and produces AI enhanced lithium metal and lithium-ion rechargeable battery technologies for electric vehicles, urban air mobility, drones, robotics, battery energy storage systems, and other applications. It manufactures and sells residential and commercial ESS systems, li-ion, li metal battery cells and battery materials, such as electrolytes for automotive original equipment manufacturers and others. The company operates in the United States and the Asia Pacific regions. SES AI Corporation was founded in 2012 and is headquartered in Woburn, Massachusetts.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
SES AI Corporation reported revenue of $21.0M in FY2025 versus $0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −$73.0M in FY2025.
SES screens 13% overvalued. Compare with Hyundai Mobis Co →
Peer Group
Auto Parts · 642 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 25, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hyundai Mobis Co 012330 | 482,000 KRW | 678,420 KRW | +41% |
| Magna International Inc MGAN | 1,122 MXN | 1,172 MXN | +4% |
| Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON | ₹144.17 | ₹80.63 | -44% |
| Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD | ₹41,110 | ₹14,004 | -66% |
| Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG | ₹2,117 | ₹441.74 | -79% |
| Uno Minda Limited UNOMINDA | ₹1,158 | ₹426.57 | -63% |
| Schaeffler India Limited SCHAEFFLER | ₹4,135 | ₹1,412 | -66% |
| Hankook Tire & Technology Co 161390 | 73,600 KRW | 196,479 KRW | +167% |
| MRF Limited MRF | ₹131,025 | ₹125,849 | -4% |
| Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited SONACOMS | ₹792.00 | ₹207.06 | -74% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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