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Somnigroup International Inc (SGI) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $14.2B

SI Somnigroup International Inc logo Somnigroup International Inc SGI · US
Price$73.85
Fair Value$40.17
Upside-45.6%
Quality95/100
Evidence: High Range $23.56 – $50.22

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 5 days ago

Fair value updated Jun 24, 2026 — revised from $61.02 to $40.17 (−34.2%) since Jun 23, 2026. Share price +10.4% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$92.18 $57.96 Fair Value $40.17 Jun 2025 Jun 2026

12‑month range $57.96 – $92.18 · fair‑value band $23.56 – $50.22 · the $73.85 price screens above the $40.17 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Somnigroup International Inc (SGI) currently trades at $73.85, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $40.17 — implying the stock looks roughly 45.6% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Somnigroup International Inc generated revenue of $7.7B at a net margin of 6.8%. Revenue grew 12.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 17.7%. Net debt stands at $8.1B. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $7.7B
Revenue growth (YoY) +12.3%
Net margin 6.8%
Return on equity 17.7%
Free cash flow $633M FY2025
P/E ratio 27.0
More key figures
Operating margin 10.6%
EPS (TTM) $2.50
Dividend yield 0.9%
EPS growth (YoY) +62.4%
Net debt $8.1B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Somnigroup International Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, distributes, and retails bedding products in the United States and internationally. It provides mattresses, foundations and adjustable foundations, and adjustable bases, as well as other products comprising pillows and other accessories under the Tempur-Pedic, Sealy, Stearns & Foster, and Sleepy's brands. The company operates a portfolio of retail brands, including Mattress Firm, Dreams, Tempur-Pedic retail stores, and SOVA; and licenses Sealy, Tempur, and Stearns & Foster brands, as well as technology and trademarks to other manufacturers. It sells its products through company-owned stores, online, and call centers; and third-party retailers, including third party distribution, hospitality, and healthcare. The company was formerly known as Tempur Sealy International, Inc. and changed its name to Somnigroup International Inc. in February 2025. The company was founded in 1846 and is based in Dallas,…

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Somnigroup International Inc reported revenue of $7.5B in FY2025 versus $4.9B in FY2021, a compound +11.0%/yr. Reported net income was $384M in FY2025, compounding −11.4%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +11.0%/yr
FY21 $4.9B
FY22 $4.9B
FY23 $4.9B
FY24 $4.9B
FY25 $7.5B
Net income −11.4%/yr
FY21 $625M
FY22 $456M
FY23 $368M
FY24 $384M
FY25 $384M

Open the full interactive analysis →

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Frequently asked questions

Is Somnigroup International Inc (SGI) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $40.17 versus a price of $73.85 — about −46% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of SGI?
Our 21-model fair value for Somnigroup International Inc is $40.17 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $73.85.
What is the quality score of SGI?
Somnigroup International Inc has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Somnigroup International Inc (SGI)?
Somnigroup International Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $7.7B (latest available figure, as of Jun 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SGI?
The net profit margin of Somnigroup International Inc is about 6.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Somnigroup International Inc pay a dividend?
Somnigroup International Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.91% relative to its recent price (as of Jun 24, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.