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Siili Solutions Oyj (SIILI) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · FI · Market cap €24.8M

SS Siili Solutions Oyj SIILI · HE
Price€2.93
Fair Value€2.31
Upside-21.2%
Quality60/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -0.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.31% dividend yield
Trails peers (4/13)
Narrow moat 20/100
Evidence: High Range €1.62 – €3.00 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Share price +7.3% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 21% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (€1.62 to €3.00) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€15.76 €2.28 Fair Value €2.31 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €2.28 – €15.76 · fair‑value band €1.62 – €3.00 · the €2.93 price screens above the €2.31 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Siili Solutions Oyj (SIILI) currently trades at €2.93, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €2.31, implying the stock looks roughly 21.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Siili Solutions Oyj generated revenue of €108M at a net margin of 0.9%. Revenue declined 6.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of €2.6M. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €1.62 (bear case) to €3.00 (bull case); at €2.93, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 56% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -25% fair-value upside, at -21%, SIILI screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF €2.32 €3.13 €4.26 80
Residual Income €3.22 €3.04 €2.17 76
Rev-Margin DCF €1.55 €1.77 €2.07 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €2.35 €3.33 €4.79 38
Owner Earnings €7.29 €11.55 €17.96 31
5Y Revenue Exit €1.55 €1.75 €1.97 39
5Y EBITDA Exit €4.66 €8.36 €13.18 41
5Y P/E Exit €2.43 €3.62 €5.00 38
10Y Revenue Exit €1.86 €2.16 €2.54 36
10Y EBITDA Exit €3.65 €6.37 €10.80 37
10Y P/E Exit €2.37 €3.35 €4.78 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €0.7800 €4.05 €5.60 54
Lynch FV €1.11 €1.58 €2.05 50
PEG = 1.0 €1.11 €1.58 €2.05 46
EPV €0.9900 €1.00 €1.01 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €1.25 €2.10 €2.73 70
DDM Multi-Stage €1.25 €1.99 €2.26 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple €1.73 €2.31 €2.89 63
P/S Multiple €1.47 €1.96 €2.45 58
P/B Multiple €1.47 €1.96 €2.45 55
EV/EBIT €1.08 €1.15 €1.21 53
EV/EBITDA €6.69 €8.61 €10.54 54
EV/Revenue €1.02 €1.08 €1.13 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €2.49 €3.34 €4.99 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €2.32 €3.13 €4.26 80
Rev-Margin DCF €1.55 €1.77 €2.07 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income €3.22 €3.04 €2.17 76
ROIC Compounder €0.9900 €1.00 €1.01 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €1.62 €2.31 €3.01 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (€3.35) versus Economic Profit (€1.00). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €104M
Revenue growth (YoY) -14.2%
Net margin -0.3%
Return on equity -0.9%
Free cash flow €1.2M FY2025
Operating margin -2.6%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) €-0.0400
Dividend yield 2.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +40.6%
Net cash €2.6M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33

Profitability 41
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 50
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 47
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 56
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 74
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 19
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 8
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 88
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Siili Solutions Oyj provides AI-powered software development in Finland and internationally. The company offers advisory, data and AI, managed services, digital platforms and e-commerce, design services, intelligent automation, custom development, software quality, cloud solutions, and embedded solutions.

Full company description

Siili Solutions Oyj provides AI-powered software development in Finland and internationally. The company offers advisory, data and AI, managed services, digital platforms and e-commerce, design services, intelligent automation, custom development, software quality, cloud solutions, and embedded solutions. It serves the banking, industrial, insurance, public, maritime, and other industries. The company was incorporated in 2005 and is based in Helsinki, Finland.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Siili Solutions Oyj reported revenue of €108M in FY2025 versus €99.3M in FY2021, a compound +2.1%/yr. Reported net income was €936K in FY2025, compounding −34.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 59/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€108M
Latest YoY
−3.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−3.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.3%
Avg. growth/yr (16Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+19.0%
Revenue +2.1%/yr
FY21 €99.3M
FY22 €118M
FY23 €123M
FY24 €112M
FY25 €108M
Net income −34.7%/yr
FY21 €5.1M
FY22 €3.7M
FY23 €5.0M
FY24 €3.4M
FY25 €936K
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +0.2 % p.a.
Revenue per share +8.8 pp

of which total revenue +12.4 pp · buybacks/dilution −3.6 pp

EBIT margin −9.8 pp
Tax rate +3.2 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −2.0 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

SIILI screens 21% overvalued. Compare with International Business Machines Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Siili Solutions Oyj Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SIILI

Peer Group

Information Technology Services · 475 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 60 · Above median
Fair Value upside −21% · Below median
Return on assets -1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -3% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -14% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.3% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.14× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Information Technology Services median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.71× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.28× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 23.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 62.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 5 · sector 21
FUTURE 0 · sector 31
PAST 0 · sector 37
HEALTH 93 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 46 · sector 37

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Information Technology Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
International Business Machines Corporation IBM $235.92 $143.90 -39%
Accenture plc ACNN 2,460 MXN 250.95 MXN -90%
Infosys Limited INFY ₹1,156 ₹1,457 +26%
HCL Technologies Limited HCLTECH ₹1,204 ₹1,230 +2%
Wipro Limited WIPRO ₹178.43 ₹226.81 +27%
Tech Mahindra Limited TECHM ₹1,455 ₹1,086 -25%
Samsung SDS Co 018260 199,300 KRW 196,390 KRW -1%
Persistent Systems Limited PERSISTENT ₹5,059 ₹2,364 -53%
Hyundai Autoever Corporation 307950 393,000 KRW 133,088 KRW -66%
Coforge Limited COFORGE ₹1,541 ₹702.84 -54%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Siili Solutions Oyj (SIILI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €2.31 versus a price of €2.93, about −21% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SIILI?
Our model-based fair value for Siili Solutions Oyj is €2.31 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €2.93.
What is the quality score of SIILI?
Siili Solutions Oyj has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Siili Solutions Oyj (SIILI)?
Siili Solutions Oyj reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €108M (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SIILI?
The net profit margin of Siili Solutions Oyj is about 0.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Siili Solutions Oyj pay a dividend?
Siili Solutions Oyj currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.82% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 19, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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