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Smiths Group (SMGZY) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $10.4B

SG Smiths Group logo Smiths Group SMGZY · US
Price$34.57
Fair Value$26.66
Upside-22.9%
Quality66/100
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Evidence: High Range $17.19 – $34.47

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated yesterday

Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from $26.08 to $26.66 (+2.2%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +0.6% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$37.34 $28.26 Fair Value $26.66 Jul 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range $28.26 – $37.34 · fair‑value band $17.19 – $34.47 · the $34.57 price screens above the $26.66 fair value. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Smiths Group (SMGZY) currently trades at $34.57, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $26.66, implying the stock looks roughly 22.9% overvalued today. We read business quality at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Smiths Group generated revenue of $2.9B at a net margin of 8.7%. Revenue declined 1.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.5%. Net debt stands at $472M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $17.19 (bear case) to $34.47 (bull case); at $34.57, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -43% fair-value upside, at -23%, SMGZY screens cheaper than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $2.9B
Revenue growth (YoY) -1.0%
Net margin 8.7%
Return on equity 12.5%
Free cash flow $384M FY2025
P/E ratio 35.5
More key figures
Operating margin 18.5%
EPS (TTM) $0.9800
Dividend yield 1.8%
EPS growth (YoY) -17.4%
Net debt $472M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Smiths Group plc operates as an industrial technology company in Americas, Europe, the Asia Pacific, and internationally. The company operates through four segments: John Crane, Smiths Detection, Flex-Tek, and Smiths Interconnect. The John Crane business offers mechanical seals, seal support systems, power transmission couplings, and specialized filtration systems. The Flex-Tek business offers engineered components, flexible hosing, and rigid tubing that heat and move fluids and gases. The Smiths Detection business provides sensors and systems that detect and identify explosives, narcotics, weapons, chemical agents, biohazards, and contraband. The Smiths Interconnect business provides specialized electronic and radio frequency board-level and waveguide devices, connectors, cables, test sockets, and sub-systems used in secure connectivity applications. It serves general industrial, safety and security, energy, and aerospace markets. The company was formerly known as Smiths …

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Smiths Group reported revenue of $2.9B in FY2025 versus $2.4B in FY2021, a compound +4.9%/yr. Reported net income was $292M in FY2025, compounding +0.7%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +4.9%/yr
FY21 $2.4B
FY22 $2.6B
FY23 $3.0B
FY24 $3.1B
FY25 $2.9B
Net income +0.7%/yr
FY21 $284M
FY22 $1.0B
FY23 $231M
FY24 $250M
FY25 $292M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Smiths Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SMGZY

Recent news

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Frequently asked questions

Is Smiths Group (SMGZY) undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $26.66 versus a price of $34.57, about −23% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of SMGZY?
Our model-based fair value for Smiths Group is $26.66 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $34.57.
What is the quality score of SMGZY?
Smiths Group has a Quality Score of 66/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Smiths Group (SMGZY)?
Smiths Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.9B (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SMGZY?
The net profit margin of Smiths Group is about 8.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Smiths Group pay a dividend?
Smiths Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.78% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 18, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.