Eaton Corporation PLC (ETN) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 4, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Eaton Corporation PLC stock $157, price $353, that is 55.6% below the price, quality 70 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 24 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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IndustrialsUS · Based in Ireland · ISIN IE00B8KQN827
ECBroad dataNov 4, 2026
Eaton Corporation PLC
ETN · US
Solid,but very expensive
Our calculation puts a fair price 56% below what the stock costs today.
Quality 70/100
Healthy Growth(revenue 5y +9.0 %/yr in USD)
Solidly profitable · 12.8% net margin (TTM)
Low debt
Generates free cash flow
1.2% dividend yield · Well covered
Wide moat74/100
Positive coverage
Broad data
Revenue last quarter +21% vs. a year ago.
Mixed vs. peers(6/14)
Insiders bought $482,360 (6M) · sold $8.8M
Fair value $156.94 · Strongly overvalued (−55.6%)
Risks from the AI analysis
🚩Price drop: Stock drop on worries that hyperscalers may struggle to fund continued AI build-outs🚩Higher debt from expansions🚩Single-source supplier reliance🚩Price pressure from rivals
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 4, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $117.53 – $459.96 · fair‑value band $94.25 – $233.71 · the $353.08 price screens above the $156.94 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 4, 2026.
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Eaton Corporation plc operates as a power management company in the United States, Canada, Latin America, Europe, and the Asia Pacific. The company operates through Electrical Americas, Electrical Global, Aerospace, Vehicle, and eMobility segments.
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It offers electrical components, industrial components, power distribution and assemblies, residential products, single and three phase power quality and connectivity products, wiring devices, circuit protection products, utility power distribution products, and power reliability equipment; and hazardous duty electrical equipment, emergency lighting, fire detection, intrinsically safe explosion-proof instrumentation, and structural support systems.
It also provides pumps, motors, hydraulic power units, hoses and fittings, and electro-hydraulic pumps; valves, cylinders, electronic controls, electromechanical actuators, sensors, aircraft flap and slat systems, and nose wheel steering systems; hose, thermoplastic tubing products, fittings, adapters, couplings, and sealing and ducting products; air-to-air refueling systems, fuel pumps, fuel inerting products, sensors, and adapters and regulators; oxygen generation system, payload carriages, and thermal management products; wiring connectors and cables; hydraulic and bag filters, strainers and cartridges, and golf grips for manufacturers of commercial and military aircraft, and related after-market customers, as well as industrial applications.
In addition, the company offers transmissions, clutches, hybrid power systems, superchargers, engine valves and valve actuation systems, locking and limited slip differentials, transmission controls, and fuel vapor components for the vehicle industry; voltage inverters, converters, fuses, circuit protection units, vehicle controls, power distribution systems, fuel tank isolation valves, and commercial vehicle hybrid systems.
The company formerly known as Abeiron Limited. The company was founded in 1911 and is based in Dublin, Ireland.
Stock analysis
Eaton Corporation PLC (ETN) currently trades at $353.08, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $156.94, 56% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $190.03 per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the $353.08 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $57.16, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $94.25 (bear) to $233.71 (bull), the price of $353.08 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Eaton Corporation PLC reported revenue of $27.4B in FY2025 versus $19.6B in FY2021, a compound +8.7%/yr. Reported net income was $4.1B in FY2025, compounding +17.5%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $152B Large · P/E ratio 33.6 · P/S ratio 5.07 · EPS (TTM) $10.52 · Dividend yield 1.2% · Net margin 12.8% · Return on equity 19.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 74 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −46% fair-value upside, at −56%, ETN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$94.25Fair Value $156.94Bull$233.71
Price $353.08 · Downside -55.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($5.28 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
In the last 6 months, one officer or director bought shares worth $482,360, on Aug 13, 2026. Over the same period, 4 people sold shares worth $8.8M.
BuyGerald JohnsonDirector3× since Nov 18, 2025: 1,361 shares, avg. $404.36$550,338Aug 13, 2026
SaleHeath B. MonesmithOfficer2× since May 6, 2026: 36,403 shares, avg. $433.35$15.8MAug 11, 2026
SaleAdam A WadeckiOfficer525 shares at $440.54$231,284Aug 4, 2026
SaleDorothy C ThompsonDirector167 shares at $385.00$64,295May 22, 2026
SaleAntonio GalvaoOfficer494 shares at $405.86$200,495May 13, 2026
SalePeter DenkOfficer2,000 shares at $417.94$835,880May 6, 2026
SaleMichael YeltonOfficer3,494 shares at $374.15$1.3MMar 2, 2026
SaleSternadt Paulo RuizOfficer, Director10,707 shares at $390.26$4.2MFeb 12, 2026
Plus 4 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.88/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+10.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +2.8% a year
Revenue growth 24 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.7%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
+19.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+18.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.2%
Per share before 2001divided by the spin-off factor 1.1525
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.14.8% vs 9.6%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.13% → 19%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+22.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+12.2%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +19.9% a year for the price and +9.6% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (99 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
AI conclusion: Moderate moat from pricing power and operational scale in specialty machinery is limited by weak ownership and human capital signals.
Main risk: Elevated debt from capacity investments and acquisitions could pressure cash flows if operating margins do not rise enough to service the obligations.
Bull case: Eaton could integrate acquisitions smoothly, diversify suppliers and leverage its installed base to maintain pricing power even as rivals expand.
Bear case: Persistent margin pressure from debt servicing and rival pricing combined with supplier disruptions could limit growth and force capacity underutilization.
Eaton's electrical backlog grew 43 percent year over year with data center sales surging, yet the stock dropped sharply on worries that hyperscalers may struggle to fund continued AI build-outs. Our models currently see it as overvalued. Will the company convert that backlog into sustained margins across its broader markets, or will concentrated exposure to data center spending cap growth?
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 807 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score70 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−55.6% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)19.7% · Top 25%
Return on assets9.9% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)12.8% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)16.6% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)21.4% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months)1.2% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.45× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)33.6× · Pricier than median
P/B7.83× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
P/S (12 months)5.07× · Priciest 25%
Price / free cash flow42.8× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA24.1× · Pricier than median
PEG2.69× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 31
PAST (return on equity)79· sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)77· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)24· sector 29
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Eaton Corporation PLC (ETN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $156.94 versus a price of $353.08, about 56% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ETN?
Our model-based fair value for Eaton Corporation PLC is $156.94 (as of Nov 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $353.08.
What is the quality score of ETN?
Eaton Corporation PLC has a Quality Score of 70/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Eaton Corporation PLC (ETN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $156.94 (as of Nov 4, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $94.25, optimistic scenario $233.71. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Eaton Corporation PLC stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $156.94, about 56% lower versus a price of $353.08 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $94.25, optimistic scenario $233.71. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Eaton Corporation PLC (ETN)?
Eaton Corporation PLC reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $30.0B (latest available figure, as of Nov 4, 2026).
Does Eaton Corporation PLC pay a dividend?
Eaton Corporation PLC currently shows a dividend yield of 1.21% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 4, 2026).
What growth is priced into Eaton Corporation PLC (ETN)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Eaton Corporation PLC would have to grow free cash flow by +22.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +9.0 % per year. As of Nov 4, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ETN use?
Our models discount Eaton Corporation PLC at 9.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 1.14, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Eaton Corporation PLC that is +22.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Eaton Corporation PLC (ETN) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Eaton Corporation PLC grew +9.0 % a year. The price currently implies +22.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Eaton Corporation PLC (ETN) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Eaton Corporation PLC (+22.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Eaton Corporation PLC (ETN)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.58 %: that much free cash flow Eaton Corporation PLC produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Eaton Corporation PLC (ETN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Eaton Corporation PLC it is $156.94 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026), against a price of $353.08. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Eaton Corporation PLC stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 4, 2026, ETN trades above its calculated fair value: price $353.08, fair value $156.94, a gap of about −56% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ETN?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($353.08); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($156.94). For Eaton Corporation PLC the two are $196.14 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Eaton Corporation PLC worth?
The market values Eaton Corporation PLC at about $152B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 4, 2026). Per share that is $353.08; our models calculate a fair value of $156.94 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ETN?
Our models span a range for Eaton Corporation PLC: cautious scenario $94.25, base $156.94, optimistic $233.71 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026, price $353.08). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ETN?
Eaton Corporation PLC trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 33.6 (as of Nov 4, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $156.94 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings, 9 of the years ex one-offs: 27.6. Other multiples: PEG 2.7, P/B 7.8, P/S 5.1, EV/EBITDA 24.1.
What is the PEG ratio of ETN?
The PEG ratio of Eaton Corporation PLC is 2.69 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 4, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Eaton Corporation PLC (ETN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Eaton Corporation PLC (as of Nov 4, 2026): return on equity 19.7%, debt of 0.45 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 70/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ETN from its 52-week high?
Eaton Corporation PLC trades at $353.08, about 23% below its 52-week high of $459.96 and 13% above the low of $313.20 (as of Nov 4, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $156.94 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Eaton Corporation PLC?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value SIE, GE Vernova Inc, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, Emerson Electric Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Eaton Corporation PLC stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 4, 2026: price $353.08, calculated fair value $156.94 (−56%), Quality Score 70/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ETN calculated?
We run Eaton Corporation PLC through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $156.94, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.6% above its aggregate fair value. Eaton Corporation PLC itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Eaton Corporation PLC (ETN)?
The closing price on Nov 4, 2026 was $353.08. Our model-based fair value is $156.94, about 56% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Eaton Corporation PLC right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($233.71). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (70/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($94.25 to $233.71) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Eaton Corporation PLC (ETN) come from?
Earnings per share at Eaton Corporation PLC grew +9.7 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +3.9 %, EBIT margin +4.9 %, tax rate −1.4 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +2.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Eaton Corporation PLC
How large is the market capitalisation of Eaton Corporation PLC (ETN)?
The market capitalisation of Eaton Corporation PLC is $152B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Eaton Corporation PLC (ETN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Eaton Corporation PLC is 5.07 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Eaton Corporation PLC (ETN)?
Earnings per share at Eaton Corporation PLC are $10.52 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 33.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Eaton Corporation PLC (ETN)?
The dividend yield of Eaton Corporation PLC is 1.2% (payout 40.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Eaton Corporation PLC (ETN)?
The net margin of Eaton Corporation PLC is 12.8% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Eaton Corporation PLC (ETN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Eaton Corporation PLC is 19.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Eaton Corporation PLC (ETN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Eaton Corporation PLC is 10.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Eaton Corporation PLC (ETN)?
The operating margin of Eaton Corporation PLC is 16.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Eaton Corporation PLC (ETN)?
Revenue at Eaton Corporation PLC is growing +21.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +9.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Eaton Corporation PLC (ETN)?
Earnings per share at Eaton Corporation PLC are growing −15.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Eaton Corporation PLC (ETN) carry?
The net debt of Eaton Corporation PLC is $10.5B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Nov 4, 2026