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Data-driven stock valuation

1SIE fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what 1SIE is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.

  1. Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
  2. Check the quality50 and up solid, 75 and up strong
  3. Watch it or check another stockalert when fair value or trend changes

Industrials · IT · Market cap €214B · ISIN DE0007236101

At a glance

1 1SIE 1SIE · MI
Price€272.80
Fair Value€91.93
Upside−66.3%
Quality60/100

A solid business, but trading 197% above our fair value of €91.93.

As of Aug 19, 2026, the fair value of 1SIE is €91.93 per share against a price of €272.80, so the fair value sits 66% below the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.

Healthy Growth (revenue 3y +3.1 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 9.7% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
·1.96% dividend yield
!Moderate moat 46/100
Evidence: High Range €65.95 to €144.56

Fair value as of: Aug 19, 2026

From 23 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Share price −2.8% over the past month.

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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€144.56). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (€65.95 to €144.56) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€289.90 €84.88 Fair Value €91.93 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €84.88 – €289.90 · fair‑value band €65.95 – €144.56 · the €272.80 price screens above the €91.93 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

1SIE (1SIE) currently trades at €272.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €91.93, implying the stock looks roughly 196.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of €144.75 per share, and 0 of the 23 models we run sit above the €272.80 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €54.68, and 23 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, 1SIE generated revenue of €79.7B at a net margin of 9.7%. It earns a return on equity of 12.6%. Net debt stands at €38.3B. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 28.2. Fundamentals as of Aug 19, 2026

Scenario range: €65.95 (bear) to €144.56 (bull), the price of €272.80 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 39% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −49% fair-value upside, at −66%, 1SIE screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 11 months old). Earnings retained since then (€4.08 per share) are deliberately not added.

Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF €120.65 €192.16 €298.05 76
Growth DCF €126.30 €194.07 €290.67 75
Owner Earnings €117.05 €186.92 €290.37 72
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €120.65 €192.16 €298.05 76
Owner Earnings €117.05 €186.92 €290.37 72
5Y Revenue Exit €71.48 €116.02 €169.59 69
5Y EBITDA Exit €60.45 €96.61 €135.64 72
5Y P/E Exit €93.73 €155.21 €215.43 67
10Y Revenue Exit €85.35 €128.77 €180.13 64
10Y EBITDA Exit €80.91 €115.41 €155.04 66
10Y P/E Exit €102.10 €155.73 €214.00 61
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €85.76 €188.19 €239.85 63
PEG = 1.0 €29.84 €42.63 €55.42 55
EPV €57.66 €74.28 €89.05 71
Multiples
P/E Multiple €132.43 €176.57 €220.72 63
P/S Multiple €93.11 €124.15 €155.19 58
P/B Multiple €110.17 €146.89 €183.61 55
EV/EBIT €52.89 €82.69 €112.49 65
EV/EBITDA €37.13 €61.67 €86.22 65
EV/Revenue €50.40 €87.64 €124.89 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €40.80 €54.68 €81.61 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €126.30 €194.07 €290.67 75
Rev-Margin DCF €71.48 €118.40 €168.60 69
Economic Profit
Residual Income €86.88 €113.85 €337.64 62
ROIC Compounder €57.66 €74.28 €93.78 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €101.32 €144.75 €188.17 65

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (€144.75) versus Asset-Based (€54.68). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (76).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 28.2
P/S ratio 3.44 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) €9.68 price ÷ EPS = P/E 28.2
Dividend yield 2.0% payout 55.3%
Net margin 12.2% FY2025
Return on equity 12.6% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 5.8% avg 4y
Operating margin 12.7% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) €79.7B TTM
EPS growth (YoY) −8.6%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow €10.8B FY2025
Net debt €38.3B FY2025 · ≈ 3.5 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 59

Profitability 44
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 39
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 65
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 50
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 79
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 59
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 70
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 87
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Siemens Aktiengesellschaft, a technology company, focuses in the areas of automation and digitalization across the world. It operates through Digital Industries, Smart Infrastructure, Mobility, Siemens Healthineers, and Siemens Financial Services (SFS) segments.

Full company description

Siemens Aktiengesellschaft, a technology company, focuses in the areas of automation and digitalization across the world. It operates through Digital Industries, Smart Infrastructure, Mobility, Siemens Healthineers, and Siemens Financial Services (SFS) segments. The Digital Industries segment provides automation systems and software for factories, numerical control systems, servo motors, drives and inverters, and integrated automation systems for machine tools and production machines; process control systems, machine-to-machine communication products, sensors and radio frequency identification systems; production and product lifecycle management software, and simulation and testing of mechatronic system. The Smart Infrastructure segment offers products, systems, solutions, services, and software to support sustainable transition from fossil and renewable energy sources; sustainable buildings and communities; and buildings, electrification, and electrical products. The Mobility segment provides rail passenger and freight transportation, such as metro systems, trams and light rail, and commuter trains, as well as trains and passenger coaches; locomotives and solutions for automated transportation and leasing; products and solutions for rail automation and electrification; maintenance and digital services; and digital and cloud-based solutions, and related services. The Siemens Healthineers segment develops, manufactures, and sells various diagnostic and therapeutic products and services; and provides clinical consulting and training services. Its financial services segment offers debt and equity investments; leasing, lending, and working capital; structured, equipment, and project financing; and financial advisory services. It has strategic collaboration with IFS to improve product lifecycle with industrial AI. The company was founded in 1847 and is headquartered in Munich, Germany.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

1SIE reported revenue of €78.9B in FY2025 versus €72.0B in FY2022, a compound +3.1%/yr. Reported net income was €9.6B in FY2025, compounding +37.2%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 69/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€78.9B
Latest YoY
+3.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.1%
Value creation/yr (3Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 3 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+20.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share+18.7%
Dividend yield2.0%
Operating margin (EBIT) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.10.1% (2022) → 11.5% (2025) · rising
Revenue +3.1%/yr
FY22 €72.0B
FY23 €74.9B
FY24 €75.9B
FY25 €78.9B
Net income +37.2%/yr
FY22 €3.7B
FY23 €7.9B
FY24 €8.3B
FY25 €9.6B

1SIE screens 197% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "1SIE Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1SIE

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 800 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation
Quality Score 60 · Above median
Fair Value upside −49% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 13% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 10% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 13% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.0% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.68× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 28.2× · Cheaper than median
P/B 4.00× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 3.12× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 23.0× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 23.4× · Pricier than median
PEG 5.35× · Priciest 25%

What the price implies (reverse DCF)

The inverse question: what free-cash-flow growth must 1SIE deliver for ten years so that today's price is fair in our DCF model? Same formula, same discount rate as the fair value.

Implied FCF growth, 10 years+8.5 % per year
Achieved revenue growth, 3 years+3.1 % p.a.
Sector median revenue growth+1.6 %
FCF yield on price5.08 %
Discount rate (WACC) in the models9.1 %

The price demands an acceleration versus past growth: a high bar the company still has to clear. Ranking of the largest stocks →

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc GEV $941.84 $131.95 −86%
SIE SIE €272.65 €139.77 −49%
Eaton Corporation ETN $410.85 $168.65 −59%
Parker-Hannifin Corporation PH $962.59 $398.69 −59%
Atlas Copco AB ATCOA kr 206.60 kr 112.59 −46%
Cummins Inc CMI $564.40 $348.94 −38%
Illinois Tool Works Inc ITW $270.12 $145.84 −46%
Emerson Electric Co EMR $152.82 $58.44 −62%
AMETEK, Inc AME $236.25 $125.80 −47%
Rockwell Automation, Inc ROK $417.53 $125.76 −70%

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Frequently asked questions

Is 1SIE overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €91.93 versus a price of €272.80, about −66% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1SIE?
Our model-based fair value for 1SIE is €91.93 (as of Aug 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €272.80.
What is the quality score of 1SIE?
1SIE has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for 1SIE?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €91.93 (as of Aug 19, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario €65.95, optimistic scenario €144.56. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the 1SIE stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €91.93, about −66% upside versus a price of €272.80 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €65.95, optimistic scenario €144.56. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of 1SIE?
1SIE reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €79.7B (latest available figure, as of Aug 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 1SIE?
The net profit margin of 1SIE is about 9.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 9.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does 1SIE pay a dividend?
1SIE currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.96% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 19, 2026).
What growth is priced into 1SIE?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, 1SIE would have to grow free cash flow by +8.5 % per year for ten years (discount rate 9.1 %, then 2 % perpetual growth). Over the last 3 years revenue grew +3.1 % per year. As of Aug 19, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 1SIE use?
Our models discount 1SIE at 9.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (mega), damped by beta 1.29. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is the intrinsic value of 1SIE?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For 1SIE it is €91.93 per share (as of Aug 19, 2026), against a price of €272.80. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is 1SIE stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Aug 19, 2026, 1SIE trades above its calculated fair value: price €272.80, fair value €91.93, a gap of about −66% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1SIE?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€272.80); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€91.93). For 1SIE the two are €180.87 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is 1SIE worth?
The market values 1SIE at about €214B (market capitalisation, as of Aug 19, 2026). Per share that is €272.80; our models calculate a fair value of €91.93 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1SIE?
Our models span a range for 1SIE: cautious scenario €65.95, base €91.93, optimistic €144.56 per share (as of Aug 19, 2026, price €272.80). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 1SIE?
1SIE trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 28.2 (as of Aug 19, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €91.93 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 5.4, P/B 4.0, P/S 3.1, EV/EBITDA 23.4.
What is the PEG ratio of 1SIE?
The PEG ratio of 1SIE is 5.35 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Aug 19, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of 1SIE?
Balance-sheet figures for 1SIE (as of Aug 19, 2026): return on equity 12.6%, debt of 0.68 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 60/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1SIE from its 52-week high?
1SIE trades at €272.80, about 6% below its 52-week high of €289.95 and 39% above the low of €196.02 (as of Aug 19, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €91.93 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to 1SIE?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is 1SIE stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Aug 19, 2026: price €272.80, calculated fair value €91.93 (−66%), Quality Score 60/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1SIE calculated?
We run 1SIE through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €91.93, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
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