Sable Offshore Corp (SOC) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · US · Market cap $2.1B
Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026
From 2 valuation models · updated 5 days ago
Share price −52.4% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $5.28 – $40.65 · fair‑value band $4.67 – $7.79 · the $8.94 price screens above the $6.23 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.
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Sable Offshore Corp (SOC) currently trades at $8.94, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $6.23 — implying the stock looks roughly 30.3% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $1.3M. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $97.7M. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026
Key figures & financial health
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Sable Offshore Corp. operates as an independent oil and gas company in the United States. The company operates through three platforms located in federal waters offshore California. It also owns and operates 16 federal leases across approximately 76,000 acres, as well as subsea pipelines that transports crude oil, natural gas, and produced water from the platforms to the onshore processing facilities. The company was formerly known as Flame Acquisition Corp. and changed its name to Sable Offshore Corp. in February 2024. Sable Offshore Corp. was incorporated in 2020 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Sable Offshore Corp reported revenue of $0 in FY2025 versus $0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −$410M in FY2025.
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Recent news
- Is Exxon Mobil’s (XOM) Support for Sable Offshore Revealing a New Approach to Legacy Liabilities?
- Sable Offshore Corp. Enters Into Senior Secured Term Loan Amendment and Limited Waiver Under the PSA
- Roth Capital Maintains Buy Rating on Sable Offshore Corp. (SOC) Amid Potential California Petroleum Reserve Opportunity
- Sector Update: Energy Stocks Decline Late Afternoon
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others) — not an editorial selection, not financial advice.
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.