Sable Offshore Corp (SOC) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · US · Market cap $2.1B

Analysis

Sable Offshore Corp (SOC) currently trades at $8.94, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $6.23 — implying the stock looks roughly 30.3% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

About the company

Sable Offshore Corp. operates as an independent oil and gas company in the United States. The company operates through three platforms located in federal waters offshore California. It also owns and operates 16 federal leases across approximately 76,000 acres, as well as subsea pipelines that transports crude oil, natural gas, and produced water from the platforms to the onshore processing facilities. The company was formerly known as Flame Acquisition Corp. and changed its name to Sable Offshore Corp. in February 2024. Sable Offshore Corp. was incorporated in 2020 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.