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Valaris Limited (VAL) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · US · Market cap $5.4B

VL Valaris Limited logo Valaris Limited VAL · US
Price$78.78
Fair Value$63.09
Upside-19.9%
Quality58/100
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Expensive Growth
Highly profitable · 45.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
Moderate moat 64/100
Evidence: High Range $45.19 – $80.99 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 27 days ago

Share price +1.4% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 20% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • Our model range runs from $45.19 (bear) to $80.99 (bull), base $63.09. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 58/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$113.42 $20.66 Fair Value $63.09 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $20.66 – $113.42 · fair‑value band $45.19 – $80.99 · the $78.78 price screens above the $63.09 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

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Analysis

Valaris Limited (VAL) currently trades at $78.78, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $63.09, implying the stock looks roughly 19.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Valaris Limited generated revenue of $2.2B at a net margin of 45.4%. Revenue declined 25.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 37.2%. Net debt stands at $590M. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $45.19 (bear case) to $80.99 (bull case); at $78.78, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 92% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -55% fair-value upside, at -20%, VAL screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $24.57 $38.02 $56.21 80
Residual Income $93.46 $130.45 $919.05 76
Rev-Margin DCF $21.65 $37.53 $55.41 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $24.02 $39.08 $60.65 38
Owner Earnings $112.99 $171.39 $254.96 31
5Y Revenue Exit $21.65 $37.34 $57.01 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $27.78 $48.61 $72.49 41
5Y P/E Exit $87.83 $159.07 $233.14 38
10Y Revenue Exit $21.42 $35.62 $54.01 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $26.04 $43.20 $65.38 37
10Y P/E Exit $63.22 $117.50 $183.38 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $96.50 $275.86 $363.64 54
Lynch FV $56.53 $80.75 $104.98 50
PEG = 1.0 $56.53 $80.75 $104.98 46
EPV $51.66 $60.91 $68.90 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $149.01 $198.68 $248.35 63
P/S Multiple $30.79 $41.05 $51.31 58
P/B Multiple $61.79 $82.38 $102.98 55
EV/EBIT $46.78 $64.68 $82.58 53
EV/EBITDA $34.80 $48.71 $62.63 54
EV/Revenue $21.81 $34.12 $46.44 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $22.88 $30.67 $45.77 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $24.57 $38.02 $56.21 80
Rev-Margin DCF $21.65 $37.53 $55.41 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $93.46 $130.45 $919.05 76
ROIC Compounder $52.91 $67.13 $84.14 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $125.39 $179.13 $232.87 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($179.13) versus Asset-Based ($30.67). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $2.2B
Revenue growth (YoY) -25.0%
Net margin 45.4%
Return on equity 37.2%
Free cash flow $203M FY2025
P/E ratio 5.5
More key figures
Operating margin 5.4%
EPS (TTM) $14.15
EPS growth (YoY) +447%
Net debt $590M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62

Profitability 69
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 54
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 70
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 10
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 37
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 71
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 75
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Valaris Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides offshore contract drilling services in Brazil, the United Kingdom, Gulf of America, Australia, Angola, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Floaters, Jackups, ARO, and Other.

Full company description

Valaris Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides offshore contract drilling services in Brazil, the United Kingdom, Gulf of America, Australia, Angola, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Floaters, Jackups, ARO, and Other. The company owns an offshore drilling rig fleet, which includes drillships, dynamically positioned semisubmersible rigs, a moored semisubmersible rig, and jackup rigs. It also offers management services on rigs owned by third parties. The company serves international, government-owned, and independent oil and gas companies. Valaris Limited was founded in 1975 and is based in Hamilton, Bermuda.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Valaris Limited reported revenue of $2.4B in FY2025 versus $1.2B in FY2021, a compound +17.7%/yr. Reported net income was $983M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$2.4B
Latest YoY
+0.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+13.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+10.7%
Avg. growth/yr (32Y)
+7.3%
Revenue +17.7%/yr
FY21 $1.2B
FY22 $1.6B
FY23 $1.8B
FY24 $2.4B
FY25 $2.4B
Net income
FY21 −$4.5B
FY22 $177M
FY23 $865M
FY24 $373M
FY25 $983M

VAL screens 20% overvalued. Compare with Noble Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Valaris Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/VAL

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Oil & Gas Drilling · 31 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 58 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −20% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 37% · Top 25%
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 45% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Revenue growth -25% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.34× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Drilling median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 5.5× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.69× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 2.43× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 26.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 11.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 7 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 2
PAST 100 · sector 17
HEALTH 83 · sector 84
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 66

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas Drilling stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Noble Corporation NE $41.79 $23.09 -45%
Sinopec Oilfield Service Corporation 600871 ¥2.21 ¥0.4900 -78%
Transocean Ltd RIG $5.14 $2.16 -58%
Patterson-UTI Energy, Inc PTEN $9.39 $12.20 +30%
Helmerich & Payne, Inc HP $34.14 $9.25 -73%
Seadrill Limited SDRL $42.86 $10.17 -76%
Arabian Drilling Company 2381 80.70 SAR 11.09 SAR -86%
Nabors Industries Ltd NBR $84.72 $209.20 +147%
Borr Drilling Limited BORR kr 41.99 kr 27.75 -34%
Sable Offshore Corp SOC $4.14 $1.87 -55%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Valaris Limited (VAL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $63.09 versus a price of $78.78, about −20% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of VAL?
Our model-based fair value for Valaris Limited is $63.09 (as of Jul 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $78.78.
What is the quality score of VAL?
Valaris Limited has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Valaris Limited (VAL)?
Valaris Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.2B (latest available figure, as of Jul 14, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of VAL?
The net profit margin of Valaris Limited is about 45.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 45.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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